SF 8.0 o45.0
LA -8.0 u45.0
MIN -3.5 o36.0
CLE 3.5 u36.0
DAL -2.5 o47.5
NYJ 2.5 u47.5
DEN 3.5 o43.5
PHI -3.5 u43.5
HOU -1.0 o40.0
BAL 1.0 u40.0
NYG 2.5 o42.0
NO -2.5 u42.0
LV 7.0 o48.5
IND -7.0 u48.5
MIA -1.0 o44.5
CAR 1.0 u44.5
TB 3.5 o44.5
SEA -3.5 u44.5
TEN 7.5 o41.5
ARI -7.5 u41.5
WAS 3.0 o48.0
LAC -3.0 u48.0
DET -10.5 o49.5
CIN 10.5 u49.5
NE 8.0 o48.5
BUF -8.0 u48.5
KC -3.5 o45.5
JAC 3.5 u45.5
Dallas 3rd NFC East1-2
New York 4th AFC East0-4

Dallas @ New York Picks & Props

DAL vs NYJ Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Mason Taylor logo Mason Taylor Score a Touchdown (Yes: +360)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

If I’m backing anyone else in this offense, I want a big number, and rookie TE Mason Taylor at +360 fits the bill. Taylor saw just one fewer target than Garrett Wilson last week vs. Miami and turned that into 5 catches for 65 yards—both season highs. No red-zone looks yet, but no Jets pass-catcher saw one last week. This matchup is ideal: Dallas has been great at giving up TE volume. Dallas Goedert caught 7 passes in Week 1. The Giants threw for 450 yards in Week 2. Colston Loveland looked set for a big game in Week 3 before exiting early after a 31-yard catch. Last week, Tucker Kraft posted 5 catches for 56 yards. Taylor’s usage is trending up, and +360 is a great price for a player who could see 6–7 targets in a plus matchup.

Score a Touchdown
Justin Fields logo Justin Fields Score a Touchdown (Yes: +175)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Fields is two weeks removed from a concussion, which should see his designed runs tick up in Week 5. He still rushed seven times for 81 yards and a touchdown versus Miami on Monday and Dallas has had trouble containing QBs when they take off, allowing the sixth most rushing yards and two rushing TDs to the position. Braelon Allen’s injury could also leave more runs for Fields, whose projections are very positive for paydirt. 

Receiving Yards
Jake Ferguson logo
Jake Ferguson o41.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 47.15 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football has been the Cowboys.. The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 63.5 plays per game.. The predictive model expects Jake Ferguson to garner 7.8 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 97th percentile among TEs.. Jake Ferguson has been a much bigger part of his team's passing offense this year (23.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (16.6%).. Jake Ferguson has compiled significantly more air yards this season (45.0 per game) than he did last season (26.0 per game).
Receiving Yards
George Pickens logo
George Pickens o67.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 74.74 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football has been the Cowboys.. The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 63.5 plays per game.. The leading projections forecast George Pickens to notch 8.0 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.. George Pickens has compiled a monstrous 104.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile when it comes to WRs.. With a stellar 71.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (94th percentile) since the start of last season, George Pickens stands as one of the top WRs in the league in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Garrett Wilson logo
Garrett Wilson o67.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 72.23 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 7th-most in football.. In this week's game, Garrett Wilson is forecasted by the projections to land in the 96th percentile among wide receivers with 9.5 targets.. Garrett Wilson's 36.1% Target Share this year signifies a remarkable boost in his passing game usage over last year's 27.3% mark.. Garrett Wilson has been one of the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging an impressive 63.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.. Garrett Wilson's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 67.3% to 74.7%.
Receiving Yards
Javonte Williams logo
Javonte Williams u18.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 16.77 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
The projections expect the Cowboys to call the 7th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.. In regards to air yards, Javonte Williams ranks in just the 9th percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -10.0 per game.. The Cowboys offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.. Javonte Williams ranks as one of the least effective receivers in football among running backs, averaging a lowly 4.72 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 25th percentile.
Rushing Yards
Justin Fields logo
Justin Fields o48.5 Rushing Yards (-135)
Projection 63.14 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jets to run on 50.1% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects Justin Fields to total 10.6 carries in this week's game, on average: the most among all QBs.. While Justin Fields has accounted for 27.4% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in New York's ground game in this week's contest at 33.5%.. Justin Fields has run for a lot more yards per game (44.0) this season than he did last season (29.0).. This year, the porous Cowboys run defense has yielded a whopping 131.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 9th-most in the NFL.
Rushing Yards
Javonte Williams logo
Javonte Williams u68.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 61 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
The Cowboys have been the 10th-least run-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 37.6% run rate.. The projections expect the Cowboys to call the 7th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's DT corps has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.
Rushing Attempts
Javonte Williams logo
Javonte Williams u17.5 Rushing Attempts (-130)
Projection 15.44 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
The Cowboys have been the 10th-least run-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 37.6% run rate.. The projections expect the Cowboys to call the 7th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's DT corps has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.
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DAL vs NYJ Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

67% picking Dallas

67%
33%

Total Picks DAL 459, NYJ 229

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DAL
NYJ
Total

64% picking Dallas vs N.Y. Jets to go Over

64%
36%

Total PicksDAL 267, NYJ 148

Total
Over
Under

DAL vs NYJ Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Justin Fields Score a Touchdown Props • N.Y. Jets

Justin Fields
J. Fields
quarterback QB • N.Y. Jets
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.54
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.54
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 7th-most in football. This year, the porous Cowboys defense has surrendered a massive 81.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the worst rate in the NFL. The Dallas Cowboys defense has given up the most TDs through the air in the NFL: 2.50 per game this year.

Justin Fields

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.54
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.54

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 7th-most in football. This year, the porous Cowboys defense has surrendered a massive 81.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the worst rate in the NFL. The Dallas Cowboys defense has given up the most TDs through the air in the NFL: 2.50 per game this year.

Javonte Williams Score a Touchdown Props • Dallas

Javonte Williams
J. Williams
running back RB • Dallas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.65
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.65
Best Odds
Projection Rating

With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football has been the Cowboys. The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 63.5 plays per game. Javonte Williams's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 78.0% to 94.1%. This year, the porous New York Jets defense has yielded a massive 0.25 TDs through the air per game to opposing running backs: the 8th-largest rate in the NFL. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's DT corps has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

Javonte Williams

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.65
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.65

With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football has been the Cowboys. The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 63.5 plays per game. Javonte Williams's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 78.0% to 94.1%. This year, the porous New York Jets defense has yielded a massive 0.25 TDs through the air per game to opposing running backs: the 8th-largest rate in the NFL. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's DT corps has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

Breece Hall Score a Touchdown Props • N.Y. Jets

Breece Hall
B. Hall
running back RB • N.Y. Jets
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.55
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.55
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 7th-most in football. When it comes to air yards, Breece Hall grades out in the lofty 98th percentile among RBs this year, averaging a massive 10.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards). Breece Hall's 28.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 21.8. Breece Hall's 80.3% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a substantial improvement in his pass-catching talent over last year's 76.6% mark. This year, Breece Hall has not scored a single TD on the ground.

Breece Hall

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.55
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.55

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 7th-most in football. When it comes to air yards, Breece Hall grades out in the lofty 98th percentile among RBs this year, averaging a massive 10.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards). Breece Hall's 28.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 21.8. Breece Hall's 80.3% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a substantial improvement in his pass-catching talent over last year's 76.6% mark. This year, Breece Hall has not scored a single TD on the ground.

Braelon Allen Score a Touchdown Props • N.Y. Jets

Braelon Allen
B. Allen
running back RB • N.Y. Jets
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.25
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.25
Best Odds

Jalen Cropper Score a Touchdown Props • Dallas

Jalen Cropper
J. Cropper
wide receiver WR • Dallas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

DAL vs NYJ Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Total

'Batch9' picks Dallas vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (46.5)

Batch9 is #1 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.

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'Batch9' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+2.5)

Batch9 is #1 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.

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NYJ
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'Lucknuts' picks Dallas vs N.Y. Jets to go Over (46.5)

Lucknuts is #1 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'Lucknuts' is picking Dallas to cover (-2.5)

Lucknuts is #1 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'jenjay23' picks Dallas vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (46.5)

jenjay23 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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Under
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'jenjay23' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+2.5)

jenjay23 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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NYJ
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'cllarson' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+2.5)

cllarson is #3 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'Kansas2014' is picking Dallas to cover (-2.5)

Kansas2014 is #3 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'Kansas2014' picks Dallas vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (46.5)

Kansas2014 is #3 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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Under
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'jaydidy919625' is picking Dallas to cover (-2.5)

jaydidy919625 is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'jaydidy919625' picks Dallas vs N.Y. Jets to go Over (46.5)

jaydidy919625 is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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Under
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'jsmith0398' is picking Dallas to cover (-1.5)

jsmith0398 is #7 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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NYJ

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