SF 8.5 o44.0
LA -8.5 u44.0
MIN -3.5 o36.0
CLE 3.5 u36.0
DAL -2.5 o47.5
NYJ 2.5 u47.5
DEN 3.5 o43.5
PHI -3.5 u43.5
HOU -1.0 o40.0
BAL 1.0 u40.0
NYG 2.5 o42.0
NO -2.5 u42.0
LV 7.0 o48.5
IND -7.0 u48.5
MIA -1.0 o44.5
CAR 1.0 u44.5
TB 3.5 o44.5
SEA -3.5 u44.5
TEN 7.5 o41.5
ARI -7.5 u41.5
WAS 3.0 o48.0
LAC -3.0 u48.0
DET -10.5 o49.5
CIN 10.5 u49.5
NE 8.0 o48.5
BUF -8.0 u48.5
KC -3.5 o45.5
JAC 3.5 u45.5
San Francisco 1st NFC West3-1
New Orleans 4th NFC South0-4
FOX

San Francisco @ New Orleans Picks & Props

SF vs NO Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
San Francisco 49ers logo SF -3.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 days ago
Ed Scimia image
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

San Francisco is coming off a win, has a functioning offense, and should have no trouble containing Rattler. They should win by more than a field goal.

Passing Yards
Mac Jones logo
Mac Jones o202.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 208.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
EV Model Rating
The 49ers may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) since they be rolling out backup quarterback Mac Jones.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 133.1 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the NFL.. Since the start of last season, the weak Saints defense has conceded the 4th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to the opposing side: a whopping 5.45 YAC.
Receiving Yards
Jake Tonges logo
Jake Tonges o13.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 22.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
EV Model Rating
The 49ers may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) since they be rolling out backup quarterback Mac Jones.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 133.1 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the NFL.. While Jake Tonges has earned 0.8% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in San Francisco's passing attack in this week's contest at 10.5%.
Receiving Yards
Juwan Johnson logo
Juwan Johnson o36.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 40.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints offensive gameplan to skew 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with head coach Kellen Moore now calling the plays.. This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Saints, who are -3-point underdogs.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see 133.1 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The predictive model expects Juwan Johnson to earn 6.2 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile among TEs.
Rushing Yards
Mac Jones logo
Mac Jones o7.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
Projection 15.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
EV Model Rating
This game's line implies a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3 points.. The leading projections forecast the 49ers as the 3rd-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 47.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 133.1 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.. Since the start of last season, the fierce New Orleans Saints run defense has given up a mere 5.07 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's ground game: the 31st-smallest rate in the league.
Rushing Yards
Christian McCaffrey logo
Christian McCaffrey u79.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 69.6 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
EV Model Rating
The 49ers may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) since they be rolling out backup quarterback Mac Jones.. The San Francisco 49ers have run the 10th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 56.3 plays per game.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. The Saints safeties grade out as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.
Rushing Yards
Alvin Kamara logo
Alvin Kamara o49.5 Rushing Yards (-118)
Projection 54.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
EV Model Rating
At the present time, the 8th-most run-centric team in football (41.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Saints.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see 133.1 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.. In this week's contest, Alvin Kamara is expected by the projection model to rank in the 83rd percentile among RBs with 14.0 rush attempts.. With an impressive tally of 63.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (88th percentile), Alvin Kamara has been as one of the leading RBs in football since the start of last season.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, San Francisco's DE corps has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 7th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Rushing Attempts
Christian McCaffrey logo
Christian McCaffrey u19.5 Rushing Attempts (-130)
Projection 17 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
EV Model Rating
The 49ers may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) since they be rolling out backup quarterback Mac Jones.. The San Francisco 49ers have run the 10th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 56.3 plays per game.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. The Saints safeties grade out as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.
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SF vs NO Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

64% picking San Francisco

64%
36%

Total Picks SF 1293, NO 717

Total

66% picking San Francisco vs New Orleans to go Under

34%
66%

Total PicksSF 425, NO 810

SF vs NO Props

Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brock Purdy Score a Touchdown Props • San Francisco

Brock Purdy
B. Purdy
quarterback QB • San Francisco
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

George Kittle Score a Touchdown Props • San Francisco

George Kittle
G. Kittle
tight end TE • San Francisco
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
1.00
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
1.00
Best Odds

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

SF vs NO Top User Picks

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User Picks

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