Tennessee @ Denver Picks & Props

The Broncos also have a phenomenal run defense, which means they will put more pressure on Ward. That will make it more difficult for the rookie to generate any big plays downfield.

Marvin Mims ended last season on a tear, scoring six touchdowns over the final seven regular-season games. He opens 2025 as the Broncos' No. 2 receiver behind Courtland Sutton and gets a favorable home matchup against a Titans secondary that struggled at corner last year — especially with L’Jarius Sneed falling off significantly. Sutton remains Bo Nix’s go-to target, and while Mims did deal with a groin injury in camp, he returned to practice Wednesday and appears past the issue. Troy Franklin is the clear WR3, so Mims should see solid snap share in two-wide sets. There’s also potential for the Titans to struggle with Denver’s altitude early in the season, and Mims has the speed to get behind this defense for a splash play.

 

The Titans don’t have the offensive firepower surrounding rookie Cam Ward to move the chains and put points on the board against an elite Denver defense, so I think the Broncos are up comfortably in short order. It'll provide Denver head coach Sean Payton the luxury of running the football and churning the clock in garbage time Sunday, and this total going Under the number.

Simply put, this isn’t enough points to fade an elite Denver defense at Mile High against a rookie quarterback saddled with a lackluster supporting cast. The Broncos cover the number in Week 1.

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Titans being an enormous -8-point underdog in this game.. The Broncos defense has been a glaring pass funnel last year, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (36.6 per game) last year.. Last year, the shaky Denver Broncos defense has allowed a monstrous 240.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-worst in the NFL.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos ranks as the best in the league last year.. Last year, the feeble Titans defense has yielded a colossal 72.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 8th-largest rate in football.. The Tennessee Titans cornerbacks profile as the 6th-worst CB corps in the NFL last year in covering receivers.

The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.7% pass rate.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Titans are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.. The 9th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Titans last year (a mere 56.5 per game on average).. The Tennessee Titans O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.. With a lackluster 74.4% Adjusted Catch% (8th percentile) last year, Tony Pollard ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football among RBs.

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Titans being an enormous -8-point underdog in this game.. The Broncos defense has been a glaring pass funnel last year, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (36.6 per game) last year.. In this week's contest, Calvin Ridley is anticipated by the predictive model to place in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.0 targets.. When talking about air yards, Calvin Ridley ranks in the towering 99th percentile among wideouts last year, accruing a colossal 106.0 per game.. Calvin Ridley's 66.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 93rd percentile for WRs.

In this game, Courtland Sutton is expected by the predictive model to place in the 85th percentile among wideouts with 7.5 targets.. Courtland Sutton has accumulated a whopping 105.0 air yards per game last year: 98th percentile among wide receivers.. Courtland Sutton ranks in the 96th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with a whopping 69.7 figure last year.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos ranks as the best in the league last year.. Courtland Sutton has been one of the top wide receivers in the game last year, averaging a fantastic 73.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

The Broncos are a giant 8-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Broncos to run on 46.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Last year, the feeble Tennessee Titans run defense has been gouged for a monstrous 136.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 6th-worst in the league.

At the present time, the 6th-most run-focused team in football (41.3% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Tennessee Titans.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Denver's DE corps has been dreadful last year, profiling as the 5th-worst in football. in football.

At the present time, the 6th-most run-focused team in football (41.3% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Tennessee Titans.. The model projects Tony Pollard to garner 16.7 carries this week, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Out of all running backs, Tony Pollard ranks in the 96th percentile for rush attempts last year, comprising 64.6% of the workload in his offense's run game.. Tony Pollard has generated 62.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the biggest figures in the league among RBs (85th percentile).. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Denver's DE corps has been dreadful last year, profiling as the 5th-worst in football. in football.

At the present time, the 6th-most run-focused team in football (41.3% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Tennessee Titans.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Denver's DE corps has been dreadful last year, profiling as the 5th-worst in football. in football.