Arizona @ New Orleans Picks & Props

Marvin Harrison Jr. reeled in eight touchdowns in his rookie year and was second on the Cardinals in receiving. The Saints also have one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL. 

Indoor games always get my attention for touchdown props. On the Cardinals' side, Trey McBride at +200 is a strong value. He led all tight ends in red-zone targets inside the 10 last season, and it’s hard to see him waiting until Week 17 again for his first TD.

Indoor games always get my attention for touchdown props — even when it’s Cardinals vs. Spencer Rattler and the Saints. Alvin Kamara is my favorite look in this game for a poor Saints offense at -105. He got 100% of the Saints’ inside-the-5 carries last year, and even with Kellen Moore in town, I doubt they get too creative with Rattler under center. It’s chalk, but the matchup vs. a leaky Arizona defense makes it worth it.

Both teams have explosive playmakers to spark quick-hitting drives, and while the Cardinals defense will have the upper hand against Spencer Rattler, there’s still scope for Chris Olave and speedster Rashid Shaheed to break free down the field and nudge the total closer to the Over.

The Cardinals were 11-6-1 ATS last year despite some struggles down the stretch, and they’ve got the speed to thrive indoors. But this pick is just as much about the uphill task facing the Saints in 2025. Spencer Rattler gets the nod as New Orleans’ QB to start the year, but he threw five interceptions across his seven outings last year, to go with a 57% completion rate.

 

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Cardinals are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 52.7% of their chances: the lowest clip among all teams this week.. The New Orleans Saints pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61%) to wide receivers last year (61.0%).

The Saints are a 6.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.. The projections expect the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Last year, the deficient Cardinals defense has been torched for a massive 74.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-worst rate in the league.

The Saints are a 6.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.. The projections expect the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Saints are a 6.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.. The projections expect the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Last year, the deficient Cardinals defense has been torched for a massive 74.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-worst rate in the league.

The Saints are a 6.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.. The projections expect the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Chris Olave rates as one of the leading WRs in the NFL last year, averaging an exceptional 54.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.

The Saints are a 6.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.. The projections expect the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The model projects Juwan Johnson to earn 4.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 76th percentile among TEs.

The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense last year: 6th-most in the NFL.. Our trusted projections expect James Conner to notch 3.2 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.. With a remarkable 25.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (90th percentile) last year, James Conner has been as one of the leading RB receiving threats in the league.

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Cardinals are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 52.7% of their chances: the lowest clip among all teams this week.. The New Orleans Saints pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61%) to wide receivers last year (61.0%).

The Saints are a 6.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.. The projections expect the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Arizona Cardinals defense has conceded the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (35.0) vs. RBs last year.

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Cardinals are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to run on 47.3% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest rate on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. James Conner has grinded out 68.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the highest marks in football when it comes to RBs (89th percentile).. Last year, the poor Saints run defense has been gouged for a colossal 140.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 3rd-worst in the NFL.