Lions @ Vikings Picks & Props

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to pass on 58.4% of their downs: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. With an extraordinary 39.2% Red Zone Target% (100th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown stands as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football.. After totaling 68.0 air yards per game last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown has seen marked improvement this season, currently averaging 83.0 per game.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.8% red zone pass rate.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.. While Josh Oliver has garnered 10.2% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Minnesota's offense near the end zone in this game at 18.0%.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to pass on 58.4% of their downs: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to be a more important option in his team's pass attack near the goal line in this week's contest (22.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.5% in games he has played).. Jahmyr Gibbs has notched a staggering 2.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This might not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.8% red zone pass rate.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.. Justin Jefferson has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 24.1% this year, which puts him in the 91st percentile when it comes to wideouts.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.8% red zone pass rate.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.. This year, the shaky Lions defense has been torched for a massive 1.87 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-worst rate in the league.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to pass on 58.4% of their downs: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Shane Zylstra's 9.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 0.7.. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's collection of DTs has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.8% red zone pass rate.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.. Aaron Jones's 18.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in the league: 94th percentile for RBs.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to pass on 58.4% of their downs: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Our trusted projections expect Jared Goff to attempt 36.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.. Jared Goff is not a mobile QB and has accounted for just 1.4% of his team's carries near the end zone this year, putting him in the 22nd percentile among quarterbacks.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.. Our trusted projections expect Josh Oliver to accrue 5.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to pass on 58.4% of their downs: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this game, Jahmyr Gibbs is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs with 8.3 targets.. Jahmyr Gibbs's 4.5 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a remarkable progression in his receiving talent over last year's 3.1 rate.

The Minnesota Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 51.2 plays per game.. Aaron Jones's receiving talent has diminished this season, compiling a measly 1.9 adjusted catches vs 3.0 last season.. Aaron Jones's 75.7% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a material decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 89.0% figure.. The Detroit Lions pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.3%) vs. running backs this year (78.3%).. When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Detroit's safety corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to pass on 58.4% of their downs: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to garner 10.9 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.. Amon-Ra St. Brown's 73.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 62.4.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.. Justin Jefferson has run a route on 97.0% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among WRs.. In this contest, Justin Jefferson is predicted by the model to place in the 98th percentile among wideouts with 10.9 targets.

The Minnesota Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 51.2 plays per game.. T.J. Hockenson's 29.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 41.0.. T.J. Hockenson's 3.0 adjusted receptions per game this year shows a significant diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last year's 4.1 figure.. This year, the fierce Lions defense has conceded a paltry 68.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 3rd-lowest rate in football.. When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Detroit's safety corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to pass on 58.4% of their downs: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Shane Zylstra's 39.6% Route% this year shows a noteable progression in his air attack usage over last year's 10.4% figure.. The Vikings linebackers rank as the 10th-worst LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.8% red zone pass rate.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.. This year, the shaky Lions defense has been torched for a massive 1.87 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-worst rate in the league.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to pass on 58.4% of their downs: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Our trusted projections expect Jared Goff to attempt 36.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.. With a terrific ratio of 2.00 per game (97th percentile), Jared Goff stands among the top touchdown passers in the NFL this year.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to pass on 58.4% of their downs: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Our trusted projections expect Jared Goff to attempt 36.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.. The Vikings linebackers rank as the 10th-worst LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to pass on 58.4% of their downs: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Our trusted projections expect Jared Goff to attempt 36.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.. This year, the poor Lions defense has yielded a monstrous 247.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 8th-worst in the league.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to pass on 58.4% of their downs: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Our trusted projections expect Jared Goff to attempt 36.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.. Jared Goff is positioned as one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging an excellent 251.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to pass on 58.4% of their downs: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Our trusted projections expect Jared Goff to attempt 36.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.. Minnesota's defense ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year as it relates to generating interceptions, accumulating a measly 0.43 per game.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.. Our trusted projections expect Josh Oliver to accrue 5.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.. The projections expect Josh Oliver to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense this week (15.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.0% in games he has played).

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to pass on 58.4% of their downs: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this game, Jahmyr Gibbs is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs with 8.3 targets.. While Jahmyr Gibbs has garnered 18.5% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Detroit's passing attack this week at 24.0%.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.. Justin Jefferson has run a route on 97.0% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among WRs.. This year, the feeble Detroit Lions defense has been gouged for a staggering 167.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 4th-worst in football.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to pass on 58.4% of their downs: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to garner 10.9 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.. After totaling 68.0 air yards per game last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown has seen marked improvement this season, currently averaging 83.0 per game.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to pass on 58.4% of their downs: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Shane Zylstra's 39.6% Route% this year shows a noteable progression in his air attack usage over last year's 10.4% figure.. The Vikings linebackers rank as the 10th-worst LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.. Our trusted projections expect T.J. Hockenson to notch 5.3 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.. In this game, Aaron Jones is projected by the predictive model to land in the 92nd percentile among RBs with 4.4 targets.. Aaron Jones's 18.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in the league: 94th percentile for RBs.

This week's spread implies a running game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.. The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. Jared Goff's ground efficiency has gotten a boost this season, accumulating 6.25 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 3.58 mark last season.. This year, the porous Minnesota Vikings run defense has been torched for a monstrous 129.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 9th-most in football.

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