Chiefs @ Cowboys Picks & Props

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.5 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Cowboys rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 60.6% red zone pass rate. The Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 58.9 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Cowboys rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 60.6% red zone pass rate. The Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 58.9 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.5 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Cowboys rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 60.6% red zone pass rate. The Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 58.9 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.5 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Cowboys rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 60.6% red zone pass rate. The Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 58.9 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.5 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The projections expect Patrick Mahomes to attempt 37.7 passes in this game, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all QBs.