Atlanta @ Indianapolis Picks & Props

A throwing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -6.5-point underdog this week. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 60.9% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off. The Colts defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (39.2 per game) this year. With a sizeable 17.2% Red Zone Target Rate (82nd percentile) this year, Kyle Pitts has been as one of the tight ends with the highest volume near the end zone in football.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the projections to run 66.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. When it comes to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Colts profiles as the best in the league this year.

A throwing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -6.5-point underdog this week. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 60.9% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off. The Colts defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (39.2 per game) this year. With a high 39.3% Red Zone Target Share (99th percentile) this year, Drake London has been among the WRs with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the projections to run 66.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Our trusted projections expect Daniel Jones to throw 35.7 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-most out of all quarterbacks. When it comes to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Colts profiles as the best in the league this year. Daniel Jones's 67.8% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a substantial improvement in his passing accuracy over last year's 63.4% mark.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the projections to run 66.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. With an elite 7.7% Red Zone Target Share (76th percentile) this year, Jonathan Taylor has been as one of the RB receiving threats with the highest volume near the goal line in the league. When it comes to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Colts profiles as the best in the league this year. Jonathan Taylor's 93.1% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a noteworthy gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 56.7% rate.

A throwing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -6.5-point underdog this week. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 60.9% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off. The Colts defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (39.2 per game) this year. When it comes to air yards, Bijan Robinson grades out in the lofty 95th percentile among RBs this year, averaging a colossal 7.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).

A throwing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -6.5-point underdog this week. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 60.9% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off. The Colts defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (39.2 per game) this year. The Falcons offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.