Los Angeles @ Jacksonville Picks & Props

A passing game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a -3-point underdog this week. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 60.1% of their downs: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week. The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 59.3 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 35.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 10th-most in football.

Right now, the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the league (63.2% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Rams. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to run the 3rd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 68.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in football. With an impressive 17.1% Red Zone Target% (92nd percentile) this year, Kyren Williams rates among the pass-catching RBs with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL. Kyren Williams has put up far more air yards this season (10.0 per game) than he did last season (-2.0 per game).

A passing game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a -3-point underdog this week. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 60.1% of their downs: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week. The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 59.3 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 35.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 10th-most in football.

A passing game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a -3-point underdog this week. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 60.1% of their downs: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week. The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 59.3 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 35.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 10th-most in football.

Right now, the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league (63.2% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Rams. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to run the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in football. The projections expect Puka Nacua to be much more involved in his team's pass attack near the goal line this week (27.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (17.1% in games he has played). Puka Nacua has notched significantly more air yards this year (97.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).

Right now, the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the league (63.2% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Rams. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to run the 3rd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 68.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in football.

Right now, the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the league (63.2% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Rams. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to run the 3rd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 68.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in football. Davante Adams has been a big part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 37.1% this year, which ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts. After averaging 84.0 air yards per game last year, Davante Adams has been rising this year, now averaging 117.0 per game.

A passing game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a -3-point underdog this week. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 60.1% of their downs: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week. The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 59.3 plays per game. The predictive model expects Trevor Lawrence to throw 38.1 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.