Minnesota @ Cleveland Picks & Props

A throwing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game. Right now, the 6th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Browns. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. While Jerry Jeudy has accounted for 6.2% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Cleveland's passing attack near the end zone in this game at 19.6%. Jerry Jeudy has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (106.0 per game) than he did last season (95.0 per game).

A throwing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game. Right now, the 6th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Browns. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Vikings defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

The Minnesota Vikings may lean on the pass less this week (and call more carries) given that they be forced to use backup QB Carson Wentz. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football in the red zone (63.6% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Vikings. While Justin Jefferson has accounted for 20.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Minnesota's passing attack near the goal line in this week's game at 30.1%. Justin Jefferson's 73.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the league leaders: 97th percentile for wide receivers. The Vikings O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Minnesota Vikings may lean on the pass less this week (and call more carries) given that they be forced to use backup QB Carson Wentz. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football in the red zone (63.6% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Vikings. With an elite 20.0% Red Zone Target% (89th percentile) this year, T.J. Hockenson ranks among the tight ends with the most usage near the goal line in football. The Vikings O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board. The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.50 per game) against the Cleveland Browns defense this year.

The Minnesota Vikings may lean on the pass less this week (and call more carries) given that they be forced to use backup QB Carson Wentz. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football in the red zone (63.6% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Vikings. The Vikings O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board. The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.50 per game) against the Cleveland Browns defense this year.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game. Right now, the 6th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Browns. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Vikings defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

The Minnesota Vikings may lean on the pass less this week (and call more carries) given that they be forced to use backup QB Carson Wentz. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football in the red zone (63.6% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Vikings. Our trusted projections expect Jordan Mason to be a more important option in his team's air attack near the end zone in this week's game (7.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played). The Vikings O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board. Jordan Mason's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 79.4% to 100.0%.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game. Right now, the 6th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Browns. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Vikings defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.