Packers @ Bears Picks & Props

The predictive model expects Luke Musgrave to be much more involved in his team's passing offense near the goal line in this contest (9.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (1.6% in games he has played). Luke Musgrave has totaled many more air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (9.0 per game). Luke Musgrave's 15.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 9.6. The Bears pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (81%) versus tight ends this year (81.0%).

The leading projections forecast the Bears to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 61.9 per game on average). Opposing QBs have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. The Chicago offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all air attack metrics across the board. This year, the tough Packers run defense has given up a measly 0.71 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the 5th-best rate in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast the Bears to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 61.9 per game on average). Opposing QBs have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. Our trusted projections expect DJ Moore to be a more important option in his team's pass game near the goal line in this week's contest (25.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (18.5% in games he has played). The Chicago offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

The leading projections forecast the Bears to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 61.9 per game on average). Opposing QBs have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. D'Andre Swift has been in the 81st percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 14.2 figure this year. The Chicago offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

Josh Jacobs ranks in the 84th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) with a superb 15.6 mark this year. This year, the poor Bears defense has been torched for a massive 73.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-largest rate in the league. The Chicago Bears defense has been torched for the 10th-most receiving touchdowns in the NFL to running backs: 0.21 per game this year.

The model projects Jayden Reed to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack near the goal line in this game (18.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (10.0% in games he has played). Jayden Reed's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 75.1% to 80.1%. With a remarkable ratio of 0.25 per game through the air (75th percentile), Jayden Reed ranks as one of the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to wideouts this year. This year, the poor Bears defense has been torched for a massive 73.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-largest rate in the league. This year, the weak Bears defense has allowed a colossal 1.29 TDs through the air per game to opposing wideouts: the 3rd-biggest rate in football.

The leading projections forecast the Bears to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 61.9 per game on average). Opposing QBs have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. The Chicago offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all air attack metrics across the board. This year, the tough Packers run defense has given up a measly 0.71 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the 5th-best rate in the NFL.

Accounting for just 1.4% of his team's red zone rushing play calls this year (20th percentile among quarterbacks), Jordan Love's one-dimensionality makes him no threat in Green Bay's rushing attack near the end zone. With an outstanding rate of 1.53 per game (87th percentile), Jordan Love rates as one of the top TD throwers in the league this year. The running touchdown column reads "0" on the back of Jordan Love's trading card this year. This year, the poor Bears defense has been torched for a massive 73.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-largest rate in the league. The Chicago Bears defense has given up the 5th-most passing touchdowns in the league: 1.86 per game this year.