San Francisco 1st NFC West12-5
Kansas City 1st AFC West11-6
CBS

San Francisco @ Kansas City props

Allegiant Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rashee Rice Receptions Made Props • Kansas City

Rashee Rice
R. Rice
wide receiver WR • Kansas City
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
7.2
Best Odds

Right now, the most pass-oriented team in football (68.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Chiefs. The predictive model expects this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume. Our trusted projections expect Rashee Rice to accrue 9.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts. Rashee Rice checks in as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 5.3 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

Rashee Rice

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
7.2

Right now, the most pass-oriented team in football (68.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Chiefs. The predictive model expects this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume. Our trusted projections expect Rashee Rice to accrue 9.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts. Rashee Rice checks in as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 5.3 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

Deebo Samuel Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

Deebo Samuel
D. Samuel
wide receiver WR • San Francisco
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5
Best Odds

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see just 127.5 offensive plays run: the lowest number among all games this week. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may decline. In this contest, Deebo Samuel is expected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.9 targets. With a stellar 4.1 adjusted catches per game (79th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel places among the best WRs in the league in the league. Deebo Samuel's 71.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a material growth in his receiving ability over last season's 63.4% mark.

Deebo Samuel

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see just 127.5 offensive plays run: the lowest number among all games this week. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may decline. In this contest, Deebo Samuel is expected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.9 targets. With a stellar 4.1 adjusted catches per game (79th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel places among the best WRs in the league in the league. Deebo Samuel's 71.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a material growth in his receiving ability over last season's 63.4% mark.

Christian McCaffrey Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

Christian McCaffrey
C. McCaffrey
running back RB • San Francisco
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5
Best Odds

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see just 127.5 offensive plays run: the lowest number among all games this week. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may decline. Christian McCaffrey has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (80.9% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (70.8%). In this contest, Christian McCaffrey is forecasted by the model to slot into the 100th percentile among running backs with 7.0 targets. Christian McCaffrey's 4.4 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a remarkable progression in his receiving skills over last year's 3.1 figure.

Christian McCaffrey

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see just 127.5 offensive plays run: the lowest number among all games this week. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may decline. Christian McCaffrey has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (80.9% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (70.8%). In this contest, Christian McCaffrey is forecasted by the model to slot into the 100th percentile among running backs with 7.0 targets. Christian McCaffrey's 4.4 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a remarkable progression in his receiving skills over last year's 3.1 figure.

Isiah Pacheco Receptions Made Props • Kansas City

Isiah Pacheco
I. Pacheco
running back RB • Kansas City
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.9
Best Odds

Right now, the most pass-oriented team in football (68.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Chiefs. The predictive model expects this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume. Isiah Pacheco has been used more as a potential target this season (46.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (19.3%). The projections expect Isiah Pacheco to earn 3.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs.

Isiah Pacheco

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.9
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.9

Right now, the most pass-oriented team in football (68.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Chiefs. The predictive model expects this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume. Isiah Pacheco has been used more as a potential target this season (46.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (19.3%). The projections expect Isiah Pacheco to earn 3.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs.

George Kittle Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

George Kittle
G. Kittle
tight end TE • San Francisco
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4
Best Odds

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see just 127.5 offensive plays run: the lowest number among all games this week. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may decline. With a high 88.9% Route% (99th percentile) this year, George Kittle stands as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in football. In this week's game, George Kittle is anticipated by the projection model to slot into the 80th percentile among TEs with 6.0 targets. With a terrific 3.9 adjusted receptions per game (86th percentile) this year, George Kittle ranks as one of the leading TEs in the pass game in football.

George Kittle

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see just 127.5 offensive plays run: the lowest number among all games this week. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may decline. With a high 88.9% Route% (99th percentile) this year, George Kittle stands as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in football. In this week's game, George Kittle is anticipated by the projection model to slot into the 80th percentile among TEs with 6.0 targets. With a terrific 3.9 adjusted receptions per game (86th percentile) this year, George Kittle ranks as one of the leading TEs in the pass game in football.

Travis Kelce Receptions Made Props • Kansas City

Travis Kelce
T. Kelce
tight end TE • Kansas City
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.5
Best Odds

Right now, the most pass-oriented team in football (68.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Chiefs. The predictive model expects this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume. The projections expect Travis Kelce to earn 10.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends. With a terrific 6.6 adjusted receptions per game (99th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce places as one of the best pass-catching tight ends in the league.

Travis Kelce

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.5

Right now, the most pass-oriented team in football (68.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Chiefs. The predictive model expects this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume. The projections expect Travis Kelce to earn 10.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends. With a terrific 6.6 adjusted receptions per game (99th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce places as one of the best pass-catching tight ends in the league.

Noah Gray Receptions Made Props • Kansas City

Noah Gray
N. Gray
tight end TE • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.71
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Noah Gray has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Justin Watson Receptions Made Props • Kansas City

Justin Watson
J. Watson
wide receiver WR • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.65
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Justin Watson has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jauan Jennings Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

Jauan Jennings
J. Jennings
wide receiver WR • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.81
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Jauan Jennings has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Receptions Made Props • Kansas City

Clyde Edwards-Helaire
C. Edwards-Helaire
running back RB • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.11
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Clyde Edwards-Helaire has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Skyy Moore Receptions Made Props • Kansas City

Skyy Moore
S. Moore
wide receiver WR • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.50
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Skyy Moore has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

Brandon Aiyuk
B. Aiyuk
wide receiver WR • San Francisco
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.42
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Brandon Aiyuk has gone over 4.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Kyle Juszczyk Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

Kyle Juszczyk
K. Juszczyk
fullback FB • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Receptions Made
Projection
0.90
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Kyle Juszczyk has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Made Props • Kansas City

Marquez Valdes-Scantling
M. Valdes-Scantling
wide receiver WR • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.45
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

Weather Forecast