Washington @ New York props

Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in football. The Jets pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (76.8%) vs. RBs this year (76.8%). The New York Jets linebackers profile as the best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

This week's spread implies a running game script for the Jets, who are favored by 3 points. The Jets offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

A passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -3-point underdog this week. The projections expect the Commanders as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.41 seconds per play, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest in football (adjusted for context) right now. The model projects Terry McLaurin to accumulate 7.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts. Terry McLaurin's 57.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 83rd percentile for WRs.

This week's spread implies a running game script for the Jets, who are favored by 3 points. Breece Hall's 21.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 26.5. The Jets offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

This week's spread implies a running game script for the Jets, who are favored by 3 points. The Jets offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

A passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -3-point underdog this week. The projections expect the Commanders as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.41 seconds per play, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest in football (adjusted for context) right now. With a sizeable 75.6% Route Participation Rate (87th percentile) this year, Logan Thomas ranks among the tight ends with the highest volume in the NFL. Logan Thomas checks in as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an excellent 3.4 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.

Curtis Samuel has gone over 3.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Allen Lazard has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jahan Dotson has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jeremy Ruckert has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Xavier Gipson has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

John Bates has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.