Philadelphia @ Seattle props

Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Seahawks have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 55.5 plays per game. Noah Fant's 16.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 24.6. The Philadelphia defensive ends rank as the 4th-best DE corps in the league this year in regard to pass rush.

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 62.8% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week. The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the NFL (41.6 per game) this year. Kenneth Walker's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 77.5% to 83.0%.

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Eagles are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on passing than their normal game plan. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Eagles to pass on 50.1% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week. At the present time, the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Philadelphia Eagles.

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Eagles are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on passing than their normal game plan. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Eagles to pass on 50.1% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week. At the present time, the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Philadelphia Eagles. D'Andre Swift's 16.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 22.2. The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (77%) to RBs this year (77.0%).

Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Seahawks have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 55.5 plays per game. D.K. Metcalf's 60.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates a significant decline in his receiving ability over last season's 65.0% figure. This year, the fierce Eagles defense has allowed a measly 62.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.

The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year. In this game, Dallas Goedert is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 83rd percentile among tight ends with 5.3 targets. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Eagles grades out as the best in the NFL this year. With a terrific 4.2 adjusted catches per game (87th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert has been as one of the best pass-catching tight ends in the NFL. The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.4%) versus tight ends this year (77.4%).

Tyler Lockett has gone over 3.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Zach Charbonnet has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Will Dissly has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Colby Parkinson has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Kenneth Gainwell has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Quez Watkins has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

DeVonta Smith has gone over 4.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.