Detroit @ New Orleans props

This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4.5-point underdogs. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see 133.1 total plays called: the 3rd-most on the slate this week. The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a colossal 63.7 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4-point underdogs. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see 133.8 total plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a colossal 63.7 per game on average). Alvin Kamara's play as a receiver has gotten better this season, averaging 6.7 adjusted receptions compared to a measly 3.8 last season.

This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4-point underdogs. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see 133.8 total plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a colossal 63.7 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The 4th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a colossal 61.9 per game on average). The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. Our trusted projections expect Sam LaPorta to earn 7.0 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among tight ends. Sam LaPorta ranks as one of the best pass-game TEs this year, averaging an exceptional 4.9 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.

The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The 4th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a colossal 61.9 per game on average). The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. This week, Jahmyr Gibbs is anticipated by the projections to secure a spot in the 99th percentile among running backs with 6.1 targets. With an exceptional 4.5 adjusted catches per game (99th percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks among the best pass-game running backs in football.

The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The 4th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a colossal 61.9 per game on average). The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. The predictive model expects Amon-Ra St. Brown to accumulate 10.9 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among wideouts. Amon-Ra St. Brown's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this year, notching 8.2 adjusted catches compared to a mere 6.7 last year.

Kalif Raymond has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Juwan Johnson has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jameson Williams has gone over 2.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

David Montgomery has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Keith Kirkwood has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Josh Reynolds has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Lynn Bowden Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.