Washington 4th NFC East4-13
Atlanta 3rd NFC South7-10
CBS

Washington @ Atlanta props

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Pitts Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

K. Pitts
tight end TE • Atlanta
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Over
+124

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. This week, Kyle Pitts is forecasted by the projection model to position himself in the 93rd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.4 targets. Kyle Pitts has been among the leading pass-game TEs this year, averaging a terrific 3.5 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile. Kyle Pitts's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 49.3% to 58.8%. The Washington Commanders linebackers profile as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Kyle Pitts

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.2
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.2

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. This week, Kyle Pitts is forecasted by the projection model to position himself in the 93rd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.4 targets. Kyle Pitts has been among the leading pass-game TEs this year, averaging a terrific 3.5 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile. Kyle Pitts's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 49.3% to 58.8%. The Washington Commanders linebackers profile as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Bijan Robinson Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

B. Robinson
running back RB • Atlanta
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Over
+130
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Over
+130
Projection Rating

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. With a remarkable 69.3% Route% (97th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson rates among the pass-game running backs with the most usage in the NFL. The predictive model expects Bijan Robinson to garner 5.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among RBs. With a stellar 4.2 adjusted receptions per game (97th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson has been among the leading RBs in the pass game in the NFL. The Washington Commanders linebackers profile as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Bijan Robinson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.1
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.1

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. With a remarkable 69.3% Route% (97th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson rates among the pass-game running backs with the most usage in the NFL. The predictive model expects Bijan Robinson to garner 5.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among RBs. With a stellar 4.2 adjusted receptions per game (97th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson has been among the leading RBs in the pass game in the NFL. The Washington Commanders linebackers profile as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Terry McLaurin Receptions Made Props • Washington

T. McLaurin
wide receiver WR • Washington
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

The Washington Commanders have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 12.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized). Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 64.6% of their plays: the greatest frequency among all teams this week. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down. In this contest, Terry McLaurin is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 79th percentile among WRs with 7.5 targets. With a terrific 4.9 adjusted catches per game (84th percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin ranks among the leading wide receivers in the league in the league.

Terry McLaurin

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.7
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.7

The Washington Commanders have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 12.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized). Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 64.6% of their plays: the greatest frequency among all teams this week. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down. In this contest, Terry McLaurin is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 79th percentile among WRs with 7.5 targets. With a terrific 4.9 adjusted catches per game (84th percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin ranks among the leading wide receivers in the league in the league.

Drake London Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

D. London
wide receiver WR • Atlanta
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Washington Commanders linebackers profile as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Drake London

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.1
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.1

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Washington Commanders linebackers profile as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Logan Thomas Receptions Made Props • Washington

L. Thomas
tight end TE • Washington
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4
Best Odds
Over
-130

The Washington Commanders have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 12.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized). Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 64.6% of their plays: the greatest frequency among all teams this week. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down. In this week's contest, Logan Thomas is forecasted by the projection model to position himself in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.9 targets. Logan Thomas's 4.3 adjusted catches per game this year signifies a a substantial improvement in his pass-catching talent over last year's 2.9 mark.

Logan Thomas

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4

The Washington Commanders have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 12.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized). Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 64.6% of their plays: the greatest frequency among all teams this week. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down. In this week's contest, Logan Thomas is forecasted by the projection model to position himself in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.9 targets. Logan Thomas's 4.3 adjusted catches per game this year signifies a a substantial improvement in his pass-catching talent over last year's 2.9 mark.

Brian Robinson Receptions Made Props • Washington

B. Robinson
running back RB • Washington
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The Washington Commanders have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 12.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized). Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 64.6% of their plays: the greatest frequency among all teams this week. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down. Brian Robinson has been more involved as a potential target this year (31.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (20.0%). Brian Robinson's 1.8 adjusted catches per game this season signifies a an impressive improvement in his receiving ability over last season's 0.7 rate.

Brian Robinson

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.5
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.5

The Washington Commanders have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 12.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized). Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 64.6% of their plays: the greatest frequency among all teams this week. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down. Brian Robinson has been more involved as a potential target this year (31.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (20.0%). Brian Robinson's 1.8 adjusted catches per game this season signifies a an impressive improvement in his receiving ability over last season's 0.7 rate.

Tyler Allgeier Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

T. Allgeier
running back RB • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.06
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-190
Under
+145
Prop
0.5 Receptions Made
Season Avg.
1.06
Best Odds
Over
-190
Under
+145

Tyler Allgeier has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

KhaDarel Hodge Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

K. Hodge
wide receiver WR • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Receptions Made
Projection
0.82
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+163
Under
-220
Prop
0.5 Receptions Made
Season Avg.
0.82
Best Odds
Over
+163
Under
-220

KhaDarel Hodge has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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