Las Vegas 2nd AFC West8-9
Buffalo 1st AFC East11-6
CBS

Las Vegas @ Buffalo props

Highmark Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dalton Kincaid Receptions Made Props • Buffalo

D. Kincaid
tight end TE • Buffalo
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
+135
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
+135
Projection Rating

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 69.2% pass rate. Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL. THE BLITZ projects Dalton Kincaid to accumulate 4.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among TEs. THE BLITZ projects Dalton Kincaid to be a more integral piece of his team's pass game this week (14.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (0.0% in games he has played). The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in football (75.1%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (75.1%).

Dalton Kincaid

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.6

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 69.2% pass rate. Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL. THE BLITZ projects Dalton Kincaid to accumulate 4.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among TEs. THE BLITZ projects Dalton Kincaid to be a more integral piece of his team's pass game this week (14.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (0.0% in games he has played). The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in football (75.1%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (75.1%).

Josh Jacobs Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

J. Jacobs
running back RB • Las Vegas
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The Raiders are a huge 7.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to accrue 4.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among running backs. Josh Jacobs has been a key part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 11.5% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 89th percentile among running backs. Josh Jacobs has been among the leading pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.0 receptions per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.

Josh Jacobs

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.4

The Raiders are a huge 7.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to accrue 4.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among running backs. Josh Jacobs has been a key part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 11.5% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 89th percentile among running backs. Josh Jacobs has been among the leading pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.0 receptions per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.

Davante Adams Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

D. Adams
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The Raiders are a huge 7.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to accrue 11.3 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among WRs. Davante Adams has been a big part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 30.9% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers. Davante Adams has been among the top pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 5.9 receptions per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Davante Adams

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
7.2

The Raiders are a huge 7.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to accrue 11.3 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among WRs. Davante Adams has been a big part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 30.9% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers. Davante Adams has been among the top pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 5.9 receptions per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Stefon Diggs Receptions Made Props • Buffalo

S. Diggs
wide receiver WR • Buffalo
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 69.2% pass rate. Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL. THE BLITZ projects Stefon Diggs to notch 10.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers. Stefon Diggs has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 28.6% since the start of last season, which places him in the 97th percentile among WRs. Stefon Diggs has been among the best WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 6.8 receptions per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.

Stefon Diggs

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 7
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
7

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 69.2% pass rate. Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL. THE BLITZ projects Stefon Diggs to notch 10.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers. Stefon Diggs has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 28.6% since the start of last season, which places him in the 97th percentile among WRs. Stefon Diggs has been among the best WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 6.8 receptions per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.

James Cook Receptions Made Props • Buffalo

J. Cook
running back RB • Buffalo
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 69.2% pass rate. Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL. THE BLITZ projects James Cook to accumulate 3.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Completion% in football (85.6%) to running backs since the start of last season (85.6%).

James Cook

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.8
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.8

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 69.2% pass rate. Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL. THE BLITZ projects James Cook to accumulate 3.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Completion% in football (85.6%) to running backs since the start of last season (85.6%).

Austin Hooper Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

A. Hooper
tight end TE • Las Vegas
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.5
Best Odds
Over
+125
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.5
Best Odds
Over
+125
Projection Rating

The Raiders are a huge 7.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Austin Hooper's 29.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in football: 81st percentile for TEs. Austin Hooper has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league among TEs, catching a terrific 75.9% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.

Austin Hooper

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.5
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.5

The Raiders are a huge 7.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Austin Hooper's 29.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in football: 81st percentile for TEs. Austin Hooper has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league among TEs, catching a terrific 75.9% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.

Gabe Davis Receptions Made Props • Buffalo

G. Davis
wide receiver WR • Buffalo
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.65
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+129
Under
-179
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Season Avg.
2.65
Best Odds
Over
+129
Under
-179

Gabe Davis has gone over 3.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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