Minnesota 3rd NFC North7-10
Philadelphia 2nd NFC East11-6
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Minnesota @ Philadelphia props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A.J. Brown Receptions Made Props • Philadelphia

A. Brown
wide receiver WR • Philadelphia
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
+105

The Philadelphia Eagles will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.0% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized). The Eagles have been the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 68.8% pass rate. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league. A.J. Brown has been among the leading wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 5.3 receptions per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.

A.J. Brown

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.1

The Philadelphia Eagles will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.0% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized). The Eagles have been the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 68.8% pass rate. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league. A.J. Brown has been among the leading wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 5.3 receptions per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.

D'Andre Swift Receptions Made Props • Philadelphia

D. Swift
running back RB • Philadelphia
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

The Philadelphia Eagles will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.0% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized). The Eagles have been the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 68.8% pass rate. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.5 plays per game. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.

D'Andre Swift

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.8
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.8

The Philadelphia Eagles will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.0% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized). The Eagles have been the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 68.8% pass rate. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.5 plays per game. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.

Dallas Goedert Receptions Made Props • Philadelphia

D. Goedert
tight end TE • Philadelphia
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Under
-115

The Eagles are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script. The Minnesota Vikings safeties grade out as the 7th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Dallas Goedert

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.2
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.2

The Eagles are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script. The Minnesota Vikings safeties grade out as the 7th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

T.J. Hockenson Receptions Made Props • Minnesota

T. Hockenson
tight end TE • Minnesota
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Over
-175

The Vikings are a giant 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.6 plays per game. T.J. Hockenson has been among the best TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.7 receptions per game while ranking in the 89th percentile.

T.J. Hockenson

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.4
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.4

The Vikings are a giant 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.6 plays per game. T.J. Hockenson has been among the best TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.7 receptions per game while ranking in the 89th percentile.

Justin Jefferson Receptions Made Props • Minnesota

J. Jefferson
wide receiver WR • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The Vikings are a giant 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.6 plays per game. Justin Jefferson has been among the leading WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 7.5 receptions per game while ranking in the 99th percentile.

Justin Jefferson

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
7.1

The Vikings are a giant 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.6 plays per game. Justin Jefferson has been among the leading WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 7.5 receptions per game while ranking in the 99th percentile.

Alexander Mattison Receptions Made Props • Minnesota

A. Mattison
running back RB • Minnesota
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.5
Best Odds
Over
-107
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.5
Best Odds
Over
-107
Projection Rating

The Vikings are a giant 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.6 plays per game. THE BLITZ projects Alexander Mattison to notch 3.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among RBs.

Alexander Mattison

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.5
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.5

The Vikings are a giant 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.6 plays per game. THE BLITZ projects Alexander Mattison to notch 3.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among RBs.

DeVonta Smith Receptions Made Props • Philadelphia

D. Smith
wide receiver WR • Philadelphia
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.24
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+110
Under
-105

DeVonta Smith has gone over 5.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jordan Addison Receptions Made Props • Minnesota

J. Addison
wide receiver WR • Minnesota
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.12
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-119
Under
+110

Jordan Addison has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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