Kewan Lacy Longest Rush Props • Mississippi
K. Lacy
running back RB • Mississippi
ESPN
Arkansas @ Mississippi Picks & Props
ARK vs MISS Picks
NCAAF PicksNew Mexico State transfer running back Mike Washington was the story of Arkansas’ offseason, and thus far, he’s looked as good as advertised, racking up 221 yards from scrimmage on 11.1 yards per touch while finding the end zone twice.
He stands to benefit against a Rebels defense that ranks 127th in EPA per rush allowed and has gotten little push up front (130th in line yards, 130th in stuff rate).
Washington is Arkansas' most reliable offensive playmaker, and Ole Miss' defensive front has significantly regressed, ranking 127th in EPA per rush allowed and 130th in defensive line yards.
Rushing Yards
MW
Mike Washington Jr. o53.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
I'm low on the Mississippi's rushing defense, and this is a fairly low threshold to exceed for Arkansas RB Mike Washington Jr.
Receptions
OB
O'Mega Blake u4.5 Receptions (-115)
Projection 3.6986 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
CB
CJ Brown o2.5 Receptions (-120)
Projection 3.4969 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
DS
De'Zhaun Stribling u2.5 Receptions (-105)
Projection 2.3073 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
RS
Raylen Sharpe o2.5 Receptions (+105)
Projection 2.8705 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
JB
Jalen Brown u2.5 Receptions (-165)
Projection 2.1865 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
TD Passes
TC
Trinidad Chambliss o1.5 TD Passes (+130)
Projection 2.1238 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Completions
AS
Austin Simmons o17.5 Completions (-105)
Projection 20.7387 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Completions
Taylen Green o17.5 Completions (-105)
Projection 20.4793 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Passing Yards
TC
Trinidad Chambliss o183.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 272.0031 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
AS
Austin Simmons o244.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 273.1734 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
ARK vs MISS Consensus Picks
ARK vs MISS Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
Mike Washington Jr. Longest Rush Props • Arkansas
M. Washington Jr.
running back RB • Arkansas
Taylen Green Longest Rush Props • Arkansas
T. Green
quarterback QB • Arkansas
ARK vs MISS Trends
Arkansas Trends
Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+6.40 Units / 3% ROI)
ARK
MISS
Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 8% ROI)
ARK
MISS
Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
ARK
MISS
Arkansas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.20 Units / 3% ROI)
ARK
MISS
Arkansas have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
ARK
MISS
Arkansas have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.70 Units / 44% ROI)
ARK
MISS
Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.95 Units / 6% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas have only covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 12 games (-3.45 Units / -24% ROI)
ARK
MISS
Arkansas has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.65 Units / -20% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has only hit the Game Total Over in 1 of their last 4 away games (-2.30 Units / -52% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 13 games (-1.80 Units / -12% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 2 games (-0.25 Units / -10% ROI)
Mississippi Trends
Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Over
Under
Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Over
Under
Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Over
Under
Ole Miss have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
ARK
MISS
Ole Miss has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (-9.50 Units / -11% ROI)
ARK
MISS
Ole Miss has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 13 games (-7.45 Units / -49% ROI)
Over
Under
Ole Miss has only hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.95 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Ole Miss has only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (-5.45 Units / -3% ROI)
ARK
MISS
Ole Miss has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 8 games at home (-4.90 Units / -53% ROI)
Over
Under
Ole Miss have only covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 7 games at home (-3.80 Units / -46% ROI)
ARK
MISS
ARK vs MISS Top User Picks
Arkansas Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSL21 | 5-4-1 | +5200 |
| 2 | Squirrel74wkgn | 9-1-0 | +4850 |
| 3 | TDRO1 | 6-4-0 | +4650 |
| 4 | p_66 | 8-2-0 | +4400 |
| 5 | joe303 | 9-1-0 | +4350 |
| 6 | Lakerfan3232 | 8-2-0 | +4300 |
| 7 | Cubbybear21 | 5-5-0 | +4250 |
| 8 | april420 | 7-3-0 | +4250 |
| 9 | JCAV | 8-0-0 | +4000 |
| 10 | hotone | 7-3-0 | +3850 |
| All Razorbacks Money Leaders | |||
Mississippi Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | midsro49 | 9-1-0 | +5850 |
| 2 | bigsmoke21169 | 8-2-0 | +5300 |
| 3 | Mungo404 | 9-1-0 | +4800 |
| 4 | bwdraper | 9-1-0 | +4800 |
| 5 | luke44 | 7-3-0 | +4650 |
| 6 | PlusOdds | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 7 | CHOP | 8-2-0 | +4400 |
| 8 | vupham | 6-4-0 | +3800 |
| 9 | patelnydevil289 | 8-2-0 | +3750 |
| 10 | Paintedface | 7-3-0 | +3650 |
| All Rebels Money Leaders | |||