Memphis vs South Florida Picks & Props
MEM vs USF Picks
NCAAF PicksMemphis opened as a 6.5-point favorite, but the number has dropped considerably as bettors buy into South Florida's stout defense. However, the Tigers' explosive offense presents a difficult matchup. I'm waiting to see if this number drops below 3.5 before attacking Memphis.
South Florida's run-heavy offense should find success against a Memphis defense allowing 5.0 yards per carry. Meanwhile, the Tigers' up-tempo offense should create plenty of opportunities on the other side. With both teams bringing favorable offensive conditions to the table, I'm expecting points throughout this matchup.
The price tag on this is just marvelous, especially when this Bulls rushing attack draws a defense allowing the fifth-most explosive rushes in the conference this season. Memphis is also allowing more than this number to its opponents. We just need South Florida to step up a bit more on its end, as the Bulls are averaging only 21.8 points per game this season. With Memphis' pace, this should easily go over.
3.11x payout for the Tigers to secure the win, paired with a fast-moving football game that should give both sides plenty of opportunities to put points on the board. Taking this game well Over the 50.5-point total is absolutely worth adding to the card.
MEM vs USF Consensus Picks
MEM vs USF Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
MEM
M. Stokes
(QB)
u254.5 Passing Yards
219.43 UNDER
PROJECTION
-35.1
DIFFERENCE
26.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
MEM
J. Carter
(RB)
o81.5 Rushing Yards
95.85 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.3
DIFFERENCE
25.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
MEM
M. Covey
(RB)
o32.5 Rushing Yards
42.20 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.7
DIFFERENCE
24.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
MEM
M. Stokes
(QB)
o19.5 Rushing Yards
24.20 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.7
DIFFERENCE
23.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
USF
D. Crowther
(RB)
o86.5 Rushing Yards
92.83 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.3
DIFFERENCE
19.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
USF
B. Rodgers
(WR)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
57.19 OVER
PROJECTION
+17.7
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
USF
C. Seldon
(WR)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
38.22 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.7
DIFFERENCE
25.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MEM
H. Tipton
(TE)
o38.5 Receiving Yards
41.41 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.9
DIFFERENCE
23.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MEM
J. Davis
(WR)
u44.5 Receiving Yards
42.32 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.2
DIFFERENCE
21.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MEM
J. Carter
(RB)
o14.5 Receiving Yards
15.98 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
19.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MEM
J. Hayes
(WR)
o44.5 Receiving Yards
45.98 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
8.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MEM
S. Burnside
(WR)
o43.5 Receiving Yards
46.27 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.8
DIFFERENCE
-0.4%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
USF
C. Seldon
(WR)
u3.5 Receptions
2.91 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
3.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MEM
J. Carter
(RB)
o1.5 Receptions
1.88 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-22.45%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
MEM
J. Carter
(RB)
o16.5 Carries
16.65 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.62%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in South Florida.
Tigers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in South Florida.
Under is 4-0 in Bulls last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 3-0-1 in Bulls last 4 games as a home underdog.
Road team is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 home games.
Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 games as a home favorite.
Under is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 games overall.