Oregon vs Ohio State Picks & Props
ORE vs OSU Picks
NCAAF PicksI made this game Ohio State -12 in my power ratings, and I rarely see a discrepancy this big at this point in the season. I think we're getting a mispriced line because of the Buckeyes' quarterback situation. Things weren't pretty last week, but Ohio State still put up more than 400 yards of offense and outgained USC by over 100 yards. A few things got away from them, but I don't see that happening again coming off a loss and playing at home.
Playable to 53%.
Scoring only 18 points looks bad on the surface, but Fahey played relatively well against the Trojans in Week 9. He was 15-of-25 passing from a clean pocket and held his own under pressure, -- completing 6-of-13 pass attempts without any turnover-worthy throws. Fahey looked much better than he did during his relief appearance against the Hoosiers, and it stands to reason that he will look even better at home after another full week of practice.
Oregon's defense allowed 456 yards of total offense to Northwestern last weekend, despite playing at home. They could struggle in a hostile environment this Saturday against an Ohio State team that is more talented than last week's results suggest.
Playable to 53%.
Oregon allowed 26 points and 456 yards of total offense at home last weekend to Northwestern. Ohio State was sliced and diced by USC last weekend in the first half, allowing 20 points. The Buckeyes surrendered a 69-yard touchdown pass on the opening possession of the game and forced only one punt on six true offensive possessions for the Trojans in the first half.
We should see plenty of points between these two schools in Week 10.
Playable to 41%.
The game script got away from Ohio State last weekend against USC, leading to a final score that made the game look more lopsided than it truly was. The Buckeyes moved the ball with ease for much of the contest, but couldn't execute in key moments near the goal line.
This total has moved too aggressively towards the under with Ohio State starting a backup quarterback. Expect the Buckeyes to have success throwing the football, helping earn them a win in a high-scoring affair.
ORE vs OSU Consensus Picks
ORE vs OSU Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
OSU
L. Fahey
(QB)
o213.5 Passing Yards
237.33 OVER
PROJECTION
+23.8
DIFFERENCE
25.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
ORE
D. Raiola
(QB)
o216.5 Passing Yards
217.66 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
3.27%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
OSU
B. Jackson
(RB)
o85.5 Rushing Yards
102.12 OVER
PROJECTION
+16.6
DIFFERENCE
25.85%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
ORE
D. Hill Jr.
(RB)
o58.5 Rushing Yards
60.24 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.7
DIFFERENCE
16.64%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
OSU
I. West
(RB)
u40.5 Rushing Yards
37.47 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.0
DIFFERENCE
13.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
E. Stewart
(WR)
o44.5 Receiving Yards
59.42 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.9
DIFFERENCE
26.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
J. Smith
(WR)
o96.5 Receiving Yards
111.72 OVER
PROJECTION
+15.2
DIFFERENCE
25.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ORE
J. Johnson
(TE)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
48.30 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.8
DIFFERENCE
24.89%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
OSU
B. Jackson
(RB)
o13.5 Receiving Yards
17.39 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.9
DIFFERENCE
24.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
OSU
D. McCuin
(WR)
u33.5 Receiving Yards
31.97 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.5
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
OSU
N. Roberts
(TE)
u1.5 Receptions
1.26 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
16.93%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
E. Stewart
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
4.96 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
13.37%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
D. Moore
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
5.39 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
8.87%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
ORE
J. Johnson
(TE)
o3.5 Receptions
4.20 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
3.4%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
OSU
D. McCuin
(WR)
u2.5 Receptions
2.43 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
OSU
B. Jackson
(RB)
o18.5 Carries
20.65 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.2
DIFFERENCE
17.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
OSU
I. West
(RB)
o7.5 Carries
8.33 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
3.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
ORE
D. Raiola
(QB)
o19.5 Completions
21.55 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.0
DIFFERENCE
15.35%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Under is 7-0 in Buckeyes last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Ducks last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Buckeyes last 4 home games.
Over is 4-0 in Buckeyes last 4 games as a home favorite.
Buckeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 8-1 in Buckeyes last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-1 in Buckeyes last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.