Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State Picks & Props
JVST vs NMSU Picks
NCAAF PicksJacksonville State's team total Over is only in play for me at 26.5 or better. The Gamecocks have scored 27+ points in five of their last six games, and New Mexico State hasn't played a quality offense in a month. The Aggies' last three opponents are three of the bottom four teams in PPG in Conference USA.
I only like the Over at 49.5 or better, but these offenses have the playmakers to make for a high-scoring matchup. Jacksonville State ranks top 50 nationally in available yards percentage (51.5%), while New Mexico State ranks top 25 in offensive explosiveness (1.317).
With the clear offensive advantage, I like Jacksonville State to cover up to -5.5 on the road. The Gamecocks are second in Conference USA in offensive success rate (46.9%) and yards per game (390.6). They're the only team in the conference averaging over 230 passing yards and 150 rushing yards. New Mexico State is 2-3 ATS in the G6 play, while Jacksonville State is 3-1 ATS in its last four.
Jacksonville State has one of the top offenses in the Group of Six, and New Mexico State hasn't played a quality offensive opponent in weeks. The last projected bowl team the Aggies played, they lost by 19. A quick start from Jax State's offense should lead it to a decisive win.
JVST vs NMSU Consensus Picks
JVST vs NMSU Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
NMSU
A. Damante
(QB)
o199.5 Passing Yards
219.57 OVER
PROJECTION
+20.1
DIFFERENCE
26.48%
EV
|
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|
PASSING YARDS
JVST
C. Creel
(QB)
u228.5 Passing Yards
211.37 UNDER
PROJECTION
-17.1
DIFFERENCE
24.35%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
JVST
C. Creel
(QB)
o58.5 Rushing Yards
76.85 OVER
PROJECTION
+18.3
DIFFERENCE
25.93%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
JVST
J. Likely
(RB)
o31.5 Rushing Yards
46.02 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.5
DIFFERENCE
25.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
NMSU
J. Jones
(RB)
u106.5 Rushing Yards
97.46 UNDER
PROJECTION
-9.0
DIFFERENCE
24.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
NMSU
T. King
(WR)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
47.78 OVER
PROJECTION
+18.3
DIFFERENCE
27.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
JVST
J. Williams
(WR)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
41.88 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.4
DIFFERENCE
26.4%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
JVST
D. Cannon
(WR)
o28.5 Receiving Yards
35.39 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.9
DIFFERENCE
24.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
NMSU
A. Williams III
(WR)
o33.5 Receiving Yards
38.53 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.0
DIFFERENCE
21.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
NMSU
J. Thomas
(TE)
u27.5 Receiving Yards
26.57 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
15.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
JVST
D. Johnson
(WR)
u56.5 Receiving Yards
55.06 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.4
DIFFERENCE
13.72%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
JVST
L. Gilbert
(TE)
o26.5 Receiving Yards
30.00 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.5
DIFFERENCE
9.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
JVST
R. Johnson
(WR)
o28.5 Receiving Yards
29.12 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-8.81%
EV
|
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- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Over is 4-0 in Gamecocks last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Gamecocks last 6 games overall.
Over is 7-1 in Aggies last 8 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.