Iowa State vs BYU Picks & Props
ISU vs BYU Picks
NCAAF PicksI'm using the first-quarter Over 7.5 primarily to boost the combo payout. BYU averages 9.3 first-quarter points and Iowa State scores 7.0, so an early touchdown plus another scoring drive can cash before the game slows down.
Under 45.5 is playable down to 44.5. Both offenses lean heavily on the run, while BYU is missing its best offensive player. I'm also fading recency bias from Iowa State's 45-42 shootout and last year's high-scoring matchup.
Iowa State +10.5 is playable down to +9.5. BYU is missing key contributors, including L.J. Martin, and its offense just posted its worst performance of the season. A lower-scoring game also makes it tougher for the Cougars to create margin.
An early scoring burst can cash the first-quarter Over before this settles into a slower game. BYU's injuries and both teams' run-heavy styles support the full-game Under, while fewer possessions should help Iowa State stay within double digits.
ISU vs BYU Consensus Picks
52% picking Iowa State
Total Picks ISU 259, BYU 242
ISU vs BYU Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
ISU
J. Raynor
(QB)
o174.5 Passing Yards
184.07 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.6
DIFFERENCE
20.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
ISU
A. Flora
(RB)
o69.5 Rushing Yards
89.65 OVER
PROJECTION
+20.2
DIFFERENCE
26.66%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
ISU
J. Raynor
(QB)
u23.5 Rushing Yards
23.36 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-24.98%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ISU
C. Jackson
(WR)
o24.5 Receiving Yards
32.15 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.7
DIFFERENCE
26.45%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ISU
O. Hayes
(WR)
o31.5 Receiving Yards
38.70 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.2
DIFFERENCE
25.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ISU
D. Overby
(WR)
o23.5 Receiving Yards
32.49 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.0
DIFFERENCE
25.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BYU
L. Glasker
(WR)
o44.5 Receiving Yards
55.42 OVER
PROJECTION
+10.9
DIFFERENCE
25.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BYU
W. Lyons
(TE)
o19.5 Receiving Yards
21.48 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.0
DIFFERENCE
5.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
ISU
D. Overby
(WR)
o1.5 Receptions
2.13 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-0.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
BYU
K. Kasper
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
2.62 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-18.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
ISU
O. Hayes
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
2.82 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-24.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
ISU
J. Raynor
(QB)
u10.5 Carries
10.43 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.51%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
ISU
J. Raynor
(QB)
u15.5 Completions
15.24 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-0.77%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Cougars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Cougars are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Cyclones last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Cougars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Cyclones last 4 road games.
Under is 4-0 in Cougars last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
ROI Trends
ISU vs BYU Top User Picks
'ptrixie' is picking BYU to cover (-10.5)
ptrixie is #10 on picking games that BYU is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'FoxyFoxes' is picking Iowa State to cover (+14.5)
FoxyFoxes is #2 on picking games that BYU is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.
'pastorhollywood' is picking Iowa State to cover (+14.5)
pastorhollywood is #2 on picking games that Iowa State is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3950 units on the season.
'bluetide007' is picking BYU to cover (-10.5)
bluetide007 is #4 on picking games that Iowa State is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +3450 units on the season.
'fishercz' is picking BYU to cover (-11.5)
fishercz is #6 on picking games that BYU is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'lcborn4' is picking BYU to cover (-11.5)
lcborn4 is #8 on picking games that Iowa State is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.