North Carolina ACC0-0

TCU Big 120-0

12:00PM ET 12:00PM ET · Aug 29, 2026

North Carolina vs TCU Picks & Props

UNC vs TCU Picks

NCAAF Picks

Total

u46.5 (-103)

Best Odds

u50.5 -115

Pick made: 2 hours ago

u46.5 -105

u49.5 -108

u50.5 -115

u46.5 -110

u47.0 -109

u46.5 -106

u46.5 -115

u46.5 -105

Not only is this the first game of the season for two offenses with transfer QBs, but it's overseas in a game that could have tough field conditions due to rain in Ireland. On top of that, both defenses are ranked Top 40 by SP+ heading into the season, and the last three games at Aviva Stadium all hit an exact game total of 45 points.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

UNC (+266)

Best Odds

+300

Pick made: 7 hours ago

+290

+280

+290

+275

+250

+290

+300

Despite an embarrassing first season under NFL legend Bill Belichick, the North Carolina Tar Heels are an easy fade target to kick off the 2026 college football season. However, everything surrounding this matchup, including the travel, preparation and the looming possibility of visiting the Guinness Brewery, could lead to TCU overlooking them after demolishing the Tar Heels by 34 points at home nearly a year ago. North Carolina made some positive moves this offseason, including bringing in Bobby Petrino to spark the offense. Its defense was the team's saving grace last season and should be good enough to keep this game close. With weather potentially limiting scoring, the Tar Heels have an opportunity.

Spread

TCU -7.5 (-111)

Best Odds

-9.5 -105

Pick made: 3 days ago

-9.5 -108

-9.5 -105

-9.5 -112

-8.5 -110

-9.5 -110

-9.5 -109

-9.5 -108

-8.5 -110

-9.5 -110

North Carolina was competitive at times last season because of its defense, but with coordinator Steve Belichick on medical leave and the Tar Heels ranked No. 102 in returning defensive production (42%), UNC is in a tough spot. TCU's additions of Jaden Craig at QB and Gordon Sammis at OC should make the Horned Frogs offense potent enough to win by 8+ in Ireland.

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2 LEG PARLAY

TCU -9.5

Spread

u46.5

Total

Bet now

+310

Pick made: 2 hours ago

The games at Aviva Stadium in Dublin have historically been lower-scoring, with the last three each hitting 45 total points. This year's should be similar, with both North Carolina and TCU breaking in new transfer QBs. Weather will also be a factor, with the forecast calling for rain throughout the day that could impact field conditions. But TCU is also in better shape offensively after UNC finished 124th in SP+ on offense last year. The Horned Frogs have the QB advantage with Jaden Craig, who was a star at Harvard last year.

Passing Yards

Billy Edwards Jr. o161.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Projection 195.3997 (Over)

Best Odds

o161.5 -115

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o161.5 -115

o170.5 -114

o174.5 -105

o174.5 +112

o169.5 -115

o169.5 -120

Passing Yards

Jaden Craig o224.5 Passing Yards (+115)

Projection 248.7517 (Over)

Best Odds

o209.5 -115

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o209.5 -115

o210.5 -114

o224.5 +115

o224.5 +102

o211.5 -115

Rushing Yards

Demon June o31.5 Rushing Yards (-122)

Projection 42.732 (Over)

Best Odds

o29.5 -125

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o35.5 -115

o30.5 -114

o29.5 -125

o32.5 -124

o31.5 -122

Rushing Yards

Benjamin Hall u49.5 Rushing Yards (-125)

Projection 38.8994 (Under)

Best Odds

u49.5 -125

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u45.5 -115

u46.5 -114

u43.5 -115

u49.5 -125

Rushing Yards

Jon Denman o22.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 30.8321 (Over)

Best Odds

o22.5 -115

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o22.5 -115

o27.5 -114

o29.5 +105

o29.5 -103

o27.5 -113

Rushing Yards

Jaden Craig u8.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Projection 8.0745 (Under)

Best Odds

u9.5 -115

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u9.5 -115

u8.5 -114

u7.5 -112

Receiving Yards

Trech Kekahuna o22.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 33.2691 (Over)

Best Odds

o22.5 -115

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o22.5 -115

o25.5 -114

o29.5 +106

o25.5 -115

o24.5 -130

Receiving Yards

Jeremy Scott o33.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

Projection 44.2882 (Over)

Best Odds

o33.5 -113

Pick made: 13 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o39.5 -120

o33.5 -114

o39.5 +115

o39.5 +110

o33.5 -113

Receiving Yards

Major Everhart o22.5 Receiving Yards (+100)

Projection 23.5792 (Over)

Best Odds

o22.5 +100

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o22.5 +100

o22.5 -120

Spread

65% picking TCU

35% 35%

65% 65%

Total Picks UNC 114, TCU 215

Spread

UNC

TCU

Spread

+9.5 -108

-9.5 -105

Total

49% picking North Carolina vs TCU to go Under

51% 51%

49% 49%

Total PicksUNC 100, TCU 96

Total

Over

Under

Total

46.5 -105

50.5 -115

UNC vs TCU Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS	PROJECTIONS				ANALYSIS	BEST ODDS
SPREAD TCU -9.5 spread -8.53 PROJECTION +1.0 DIFFERENCE 4.42% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds -9.5 -105 -9.5 -108 -9.5 -105 -9.5 -112 -8.5 -110 -9.5 -110 -9.5 -109 -9.5 -108 -8.5 -110 -9.5 -110 TCU -9.5 spread PROJECTION -8.53 PROJECTION +1.0 DIFFERENCE 4.42% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. -9.5 -105
TOTAL Under 46.5 Total 47.55 OVER PROJECTION +1.1 DIFFERENCE -2.6% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds u50.5 -115 - u46.5 -105 u49.5 -108 u50.5 -115 u46.5 -110 u47.0 -109 u46.5 -106 u46.5 -115 u46.5 -105 Under 46.5 Total PROJECTION 47.55 OVER PROJECTION +1.1 DIFFERENCE -2.6% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. u50.5 -115
MONEYLINE TCU -330 moneyline TCU PROJECTION - DIFFERENCE 13.14% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds -250 -350 -360 -250 -255 -350 -357 -330 -380 -400 TCU -330 moneyline PROJECTION TCU PROJECTION - DIFFERENCE 13.14% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. -250
PASSING YARDS BE B. Edwards Jr. (QB) o161.5 Passing Yards 195.40 OVER PROJECTION +33.9 DIFFERENCE 27.2% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o161.5 -115 - o161.5 -115 - o170.5 -114 o174.5 -105 o174.5 +112 o169.5 -115 o169.5 -120 - BE B. Edwards Jr. (QB) o161.5 Passing Yards PROJECTION 195.40 OVER PROJECTION +33.9 DIFFERENCE 27.2% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o161.5 -115
PASSING YARDS JC J. Craig (QB) o224.5 Passing Yards 248.75 OVER PROJECTION +24.3 DIFFERENCE 27.2% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o209.5 -115 - o209.5 -115 - o210.5 -114 o224.5 +115 o224.5 +102 o211.5 -115 - - JC J. Craig (QB) o224.5 Passing Yards PROJECTION 248.75 OVER PROJECTION +24.3 DIFFERENCE 27.2% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o209.5 -115
RUSHING YARDS DJ D. June (RB) o31.5 Rushing Yards 42.73 OVER PROJECTION +11.2 DIFFERENCE 25.42% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook Best Odds o29.5 -125 - o35.5 -115 - o30.5 -114 o29.5 -125 o32.5 -124 o31.5 -122 - - DJ D. June (RB) o31.5 Rushing Yards PROJECTION 42.73 OVER PROJECTION +11.2 DIFFERENCE 25.42% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o29.5 -125
RUSHING YARDS BH B. Hall (RB) u49.5 Rushing Yards 38.90 UNDER PROJECTION -10.6 DIFFERENCE 24.82% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds theScore Bet Best Odds u49.5 -125 - u45.5 -115 - u46.5 -114 - - u43.5 -115 u49.5 -125 - BH B. Hall (RB) u49.5 Rushing Yards PROJECTION 38.90 UNDER PROJECTION -10.6 DIFFERENCE 24.82% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. u49.5 -125
RUSHING YARDS JD J. Denman (RB) o22.5 Rushing Yards 30.83 OVER PROJECTION +8.3 DIFFERENCE 24.55% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o22.5 -115 - o22.5 -115 - o27.5 -114 o29.5 +105 o29.5 -103 o27.5 -113 - - JD J. Denman (RB) o22.5 Rushing Yards PROJECTION 30.83 OVER PROJECTION +8.3 DIFFERENCE 24.55% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o22.5 -115
RUSHING YARDS JC J. Craig (QB) u8.5 Rushing Yards 8.07 UNDER PROJECTION -0.4 DIFFERENCE 18.36% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u9.5 -115 - u9.5 -115 - u8.5 -114 - - u7.5 -112 - - JC J. Craig (QB) u8.5 Rushing Yards PROJECTION 8.07 UNDER PROJECTION -0.4 DIFFERENCE 18.36% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. u9.5 -115
RUSHING YARDS BE B. Edwards Jr. (QB) o9.5 Rushing Yards 11.66 OVER PROJECTION +2.2 DIFFERENCE -30% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o9.5 -128 - o10.5 -115 - o9.5 -128 o19.5 -155 - - o9.5 -135 - BE B. Edwards Jr. (QB) o9.5 Rushing Yards PROJECTION 11.66 OVER PROJECTION +2.2 DIFFERENCE -30% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o9.5 -128
RECEIVING YARDS TK T. Kekahuna (WR) o22.5 Receiving Yards 33.27 OVER PROJECTION +10.8 DIFFERENCE 25.63% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o22.5 -115 - o22.5 -115 - o25.5 -114 - o29.5 +106 o25.5 -115 o24.5 -130 - TK T. Kekahuna (WR) o22.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 33.27 OVER PROJECTION +10.8 DIFFERENCE 25.63% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o22.5 -115
RECEIVING YARDS JS J. Scott (WR) o33.5 Receiving Yards 44.29 OVER PROJECTION +10.8 DIFFERENCE 25.62% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds Caesars Best Odds o33.5 -113 - o39.5 -120 - o33.5 -114 o39.5 +115 o39.5 +110 o33.5 -113 - - JS J. Scott (WR) o33.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 44.29 OVER PROJECTION +10.8 DIFFERENCE 25.62% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o33.5 -113
RECEIVING YARDS ME M. Everhart (WR) o22.5 Receiving Yards 23.58 OVER PROJECTION +1.1 DIFFERENCE 11.57% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o22.5 +100 - o22.5 +100 - - - - - o22.5 -120 - ME M. Everhart (WR) o22.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 23.58 OVER PROJECTION +1.1 DIFFERENCE 11.57% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o22.5 +100
RECEIVING YARDS BH B. Hall (RB) u5.5 Receiving Yards 4.60 UNDER PROJECTION -0.9 DIFFERENCE -30% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u5.5 -115 - u5.5 -115 - - - - - - - BH B. Hall (RB) u5.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 4.60 UNDER PROJECTION -0.9 DIFFERENCE -30% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. u5.5 -115

SPREAD

TCU -9.5 spread

-8.53 PROJECTION

+1.0 DIFFERENCE

4.42% EV

Rating:

-9.5 -105

-9.5 -108

-9.5 -105

-9.5 -112

-8.5 -110

-9.5 -110

-9.5 -109

-9.5 -108

-8.5 -110

-9.5 -110

TOTAL

Under 46.5 Total

47.55 OVER PROJECTION

+1.1 DIFFERENCE

-2.6% EV

Rating:

u50.5 -115

u46.5 -105

u49.5 -108

u50.5 -115

u46.5 -110

u47.0 -109

u46.5 -106

u46.5 -115

u46.5 -105

MONEYLINE

TCU -330 moneyline

TCU PROJECTION

- DIFFERENCE

13.14% EV

Rating:

-250

-350

-360

-250

-255

-350

-357

-330

-380

-400

PASSING YARDS

B. Edwards Jr. (QB) o161.5 Passing Yards

195.40 OVER PROJECTION

+33.9 DIFFERENCE

27.2% EV

Rating:

o161.5 -115

o170.5 -114

o174.5 -105

o174.5 +112

o169.5 -115

o169.5 -120

PASSING YARDS

J. Craig (QB) o224.5 Passing Yards

248.75 OVER PROJECTION

+24.3 DIFFERENCE

27.2% EV

Rating:

o209.5 -115

o210.5 -114

o224.5 +115

o224.5 +102

o211.5 -115

RUSHING YARDS

D. June (RB) o31.5 Rushing Yards

42.73 OVER PROJECTION

+11.2 DIFFERENCE

25.42% EV

Rating:

o29.5 -125

o35.5 -115

o30.5 -114

o29.5 -125

o32.5 -124

o31.5 -122

RUSHING YARDS

B. Hall (RB) u49.5 Rushing Yards

38.90 UNDER PROJECTION

-10.6 DIFFERENCE

24.82% EV

Rating:

u49.5 -125

u45.5 -115

u46.5 -114

u43.5 -115

u49.5 -125

RUSHING YARDS

J. Denman (RB) o22.5 Rushing Yards

30.83 OVER PROJECTION

+8.3 DIFFERENCE

24.55% EV

Rating:

o22.5 -115

o27.5 -114

o29.5 +105

o29.5 -103

o27.5 -113

RUSHING YARDS

J. Craig (QB) u8.5 Rushing Yards

8.07 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.4 DIFFERENCE

18.36% EV

Rating:

u9.5 -115

u8.5 -114

u7.5 -112

RUSHING YARDS

B. Edwards Jr. (QB) o9.5 Rushing Yards

11.66 OVER PROJECTION

+2.2 DIFFERENCE

-30% EV

Rating:

o9.5 -128

o10.5 -115

o9.5 -128

o19.5 -155

o9.5 -135

RECEIVING YARDS

T. Kekahuna (WR) o22.5 Receiving Yards

33.27 OVER PROJECTION

+10.8 DIFFERENCE

25.63% EV

Rating:

o22.5 -115

o25.5 -114

o29.5 +106

o25.5 -115

o24.5 -130

RECEIVING YARDS

J. Scott (WR) o33.5 Receiving Yards

44.29 OVER PROJECTION

+10.8 DIFFERENCE

25.62% EV

Rating:

o33.5 -113

o39.5 -120

o33.5 -114

o39.5 +115

o39.5 +110

o33.5 -113

RECEIVING YARDS

M. Everhart (WR) o22.5 Receiving Yards

23.58 OVER PROJECTION

+1.1 DIFFERENCE

11.57% EV

Rating:

o22.5 +100

o22.5 -120

RECEIVING YARDS

B. Hall (RB) u5.5 Receiving Yards

4.60 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.9 DIFFERENCE

-30% EV

Rating:

u5.5 -115

Recent Form Trends

Under is 4-0 in Tar Heels last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Tar Heels last 5 neutral site games.
Under is 6-1 in Tar Heels last 7 neutral site games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 neutral site games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 games on grass.
Tar Heels are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big 12.
Under is 9-3-1 in Horned Frogs last 13 neutral site games as a favorite.
Horned Frogs are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.

ROI Trends

North Carolina Trends

North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.61 Units / 42% ROI)

North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Compare odds

North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.20 Units / 57% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1Q

Compare odds

North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.70 Units / 18% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1H

Compare odds

North Carolina has only hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 12 games (-7.60 Units / -54% ROI)

North Carolina has not hit the 1H Moneyline in any of their last 9 games (-7.10 Units / -66% ROI)

UNC

TCU

Game Line - Moneyline - 1H

Compare odds

North Carolina have only covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 9 games (-6.40 Units / -60% ROI)

UNC

TCU

Game Line - Spread - 1Q

Compare odds

North Carolina have only covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 9 games (-6.25 Units / -60% ROI)

UNC

TCU

Game Line - Spread - 1H

Compare odds

North Carolina has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 9 games (-6.05 Units / -59% ROI)

UNC

TCU

Game Line - Moneyline - 1Q

Compare odds

TCU Trends

TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 54% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1Q

Compare odds

TCU has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)

TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1H

Compare odds

TCU have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 29% ROI)

UNC

TCU

Game Line - Spread - 1H

Compare odds

TCU have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)

UNC

TCU

Game Line - Spread - FT

Compare odds

TCU has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 2 of their last 12 games (-9.10 Units / -68% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1Q

Compare odds

TCU has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 12 games (-7.50 Units / -53% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1H

Compare odds

TCU has only hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 12 games (-7.13 Units / -52% ROI)

TCU have only covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 9 games (-3.75 Units / -37% ROI)

UNC

TCU

Game Line - Spread - 1Q

Compare odds

TCU has only hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 8 games (-2.50 Units / -28% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Compare odds

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

North Carolina Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	Rads5777	8-2-0	+5850
2	JLGiants38	8-2-0	+5850
3	chiefchief888	7-3-0	+5800
4	tapnitruc	6-3-1	+5300
5	jessestars	8-2-0	+5250
6	dissident	8-2-0	+5200
7	Brayy_Wyatt	7-3-0	+4700
8	fadennis6	7-3-0	+4150
9	Enelra18	5-4-1	+4150
10	TDBTX	7-3-0	+4150
All Tar Heels Money Leaders

TCU Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	ciarajo	7-3-0	+7250
2	jakringle	5-5-0	+4650
3	nobrainer	7-3-0	+4250
4	sprtnt1	8-2-0	+4200
5	djmdthedoc	5-5-0	+4150
6	Ollywood	6-4-0	+4100
7	Lemondropkid00	6-4-0	+4100
8	Chaparral	10-0-0	+3900
9	VenezUtah	8-2-0	+3900
10	midsro49	8-2-0	+3800
All Horned Frogs Money Leaders

Top User Picks

North Carolina vs TCU Picks & Props

UNC vs TCU Picks

UNC vs TCU Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

65% picking TCU

49% picking North Carolina vs TCU to go Under

UNC vs TCU Props

How is Value calculated?

Recent Form Trends

ROI Trends

North Carolina Trends

North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.61 Units / 42% ROI)

North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)

North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.20 Units / 57% ROI)

North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.70 Units / 18% ROI)

North Carolina has only hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 12 games (-7.60 Units / -54% ROI)

North Carolina has not hit the 1H Moneyline in any of their last 9 games (-7.10 Units / -66% ROI)

North Carolina have only covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 9 games (-6.40 Units / -60% ROI)

North Carolina have only covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 9 games (-6.25 Units / -60% ROI)

North Carolina has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 9 games (-6.05 Units / -59% ROI)

TCU Trends

TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 54% ROI)

TCU has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)

TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)

TCU have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 29% ROI)

TCU have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)

TCU has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 2 of their last 12 games (-9.10 Units / -68% ROI)

TCU has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 12 games (-7.50 Units / -53% ROI)

TCU has only hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 12 games (-7.13 Units / -52% ROI)

TCU have only covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 9 games (-3.75 Units / -37% ROI)

TCU has only hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 8 games (-2.50 Units / -28% ROI)

UNC vs TCU Top User Picks

User Picks

North Carolina Team Leaders

TCU Team Leaders

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