North Carolina State ACC0-0

Virginia ACC0-0

3:30PM ET 3:30PM ET · Aug 29, 2026

North Carolina State vs Virginia Picks & Props

NCST vs UVA Picks

NCAAF Picks

Spread

NCST +3.5 (-103)

Best Odds

+4.5 -115

Pick made: 20 hours ago

+4.0 -110

+4.5 -120

+3.5 -114

+4.5 -115

+3.5 -105

+3.5 -109

+4.0 -112

+4.5 -115

CJ Bailey is back for NC State, behind an improved offensive line and with plenty of knowledge of Dave Doeren's playbook.

The Wolfpack ranked 21st in ned adjusted EPA/play last season behind his playmaking ability.

He burned the Cavaliers last season, and his experience gives the Wolfpack a real edge in a game that should be fairly close.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NCST (+166)

Best Odds

+160

Pick made: yesterday

+150

+160

+150

+155

+140

+158

+155

+160

The North Carolina State Wolfpack always seem to have plenty of hype surrounding them, and this year is no different. While buying into the hype again could come back to bite us, returning star quarterback CJ Bailey gives plenty of reason to believe this team can take a step forward. The Wolfpack also add tight ends Vander Poog and Hunter Provience, who could provide Bailey with reliable safety blankets. Last season, NC State was one of three FBS teams with tight ends accounting for 80 targets and 10 touchdowns. Meanwhile, Virginia head coach Tony Elliott faces another major rebuild, creating concerns over familiarity and continuity early on.

2 LEG PARLAY

NCST +3.5

Spread

u51.5

Total

Bet now

+381

Pick made: 2 hours ago

I do expect Bailey and Pribula to both need a bit of time to settle in with their new teammates. That’s a reason why folks have moved the total down by two points since my early predictions. Despite that movement, the total is still a bit too high. Virginia is returning quite a bit of production from last year’s outstanding defensive unit that finished 14th in available yards allowed and 14th in late-down success. Additionally, I expect the Hoos to try to run the ball early and often to wear down NC State’s defense and limit Bailey’s time on the field.

Read Full Analysis

Passing Yards

Beau Pribula o202.5 Passing Yards (-120)

Projection 231.2356 (Over)

Best Odds

o199.5 -135

Pick made: 22 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o199.5 -135

o209.5 -110

o208.5 -114

o224.5 +120

o202.5 -120

o208.5 -115

o224.5 +120

Rushing Yards

Peyton Lewis o39.5 Rushing Yards (+130)

Projection 45.0531 (Over)

Best Odds

o39.5 +130

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o39.5 +130

o39.5 +105

Receiving Yards

Kameron Courtney o39.5 Receiving Yards (+125)

Projection 48.8221 (Over)

Best Odds

o27.5 -115

Pick made: 22 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o27.5 -115

o31.5 -114

o32.5 -114

o39.5 +120

o29.5 -120

o39.5 +125

Receiving Yards

Da'Shawn Martin o29.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 39.6469 (Over)

Best Odds

o29.5 -110

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o29.5 -110

Receiving Yards

Keenan Jackson o29.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 40.656 (Over)

Best Odds

o23.5 -114

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o29.5 -115

o23.5 -114

o29.5 +125

o30.5 -118

o29.5 -115

Receiving Yards

Dakota Twitty o19.5 Receiving Yards (-130)

Projection 26.2133 (Over)

Best Odds

o19.5 -130

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o21.5 -115

o20.5 -115

o21.5 -114

o19.5 -130

o23.5 -118

o19.5 -135

Receiving Yards

Victor Snow o39.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Projection 44.2558 (Over)

Best Odds

o39.5 -112

Pick made: 20 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o39.5 -115

o39.5 -114

o39.5 -115

o39.5 -112

Receiving Yards

Hunter Provience o19.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

Projection 21.8571 (Over)

Best Odds

o19.5 -120

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o19.5 -120

Receiving Yards

Davion Dozier u31.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 29.634 (Under)

Best Odds

u33.5 -115

Pick made: 22 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u33.5 -115

u31.5 -114

Receptions

Kameron Courtney o3.5 Receptions (+125)

Projection 3.9697 (Over)

Best Odds

o2.5 -205

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

o3.5 +125

o2.5 -205

Spread

66% picking NC State

66% 66%

34% 34%

Total Picks NCST 238, UVA 124

Spread

NCST

UVA

Spread

+4.5 -115

-4.5 +100

Total

65% picking NC State vs Virginia to go Under

35% 35%

65% 65%

Total PicksNCST 63, UVA 115

Total

Over

Under

Total

51.5 +100

54.5 -110

NCST vs UVA Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS	PROJECTIONS				ANALYSIS	BEST ODDS
SPREAD UVA -3.5 spread -6.71 PROJECTION -3.2 DIFFERENCE 7.14% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds -4.5 +100 -4.0 -108 -4.5 +100 -3.5 -116 -4.5 -105 -3.5 -115 0.0 -180 -4.0 -109 -4.5 -105 -4.5 -105 UVA -3.5 spread PROJECTION -6.71 PROJECTION -3.2 DIFFERENCE 7.14% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. -4.5 +100
TOTAL Under 51.5 Total 53.11 OVER PROJECTION +1.6 DIFFERENCE 0.88% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds u54.5 -110 u51.5 -118 u51.5 -110 u53.5 -105 u54.5 -110 u51.5 -115 u51.5 -110 u51.5 -112 u51.5 -120 u51.5 -115 Under 51.5 Total PROJECTION 53.11 OVER PROJECTION +1.6 DIFFERENCE 0.88% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. u54.5 -110
MONEYLINE UVA -190 moneyline UVA PROJECTION - DIFFERENCE 14.49% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds -135 -185 -190 -135 -146 -190 -177 -190 -185 -200 UVA -190 moneyline PROJECTION UVA PROJECTION - DIFFERENCE 14.49% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. -135
PASSING YARDS BP B. Pribula (QB) o202.5 Passing Yards 231.24 OVER PROJECTION +28.7 DIFFERENCE 25.48% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o199.5 -135 - o199.5 -135 o209.5 -110 o208.5 -114 o224.5 +120 o202.5 -120 o208.5 -115 o224.5 +120 - BP B. Pribula (QB) o202.5 Passing Yards PROJECTION 231.24 OVER PROJECTION +28.7 DIFFERENCE 25.48% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o199.5 -135
PASSING YARDS CB C. Bailey (QB) u233.5 Passing Yards 232.06 UNDER PROJECTION -1.4 DIFFERENCE -7.14% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds u235.5 -114 - - - u235.5 -114 - - u233.5 -114 - - CB C. Bailey (QB) u233.5 Passing Yards PROJECTION 232.06 UNDER PROJECTION -1.4 DIFFERENCE -7.14% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. u235.5 -114
RUSHING YARDS PL P. Lewis (RB) o39.5 Rushing Yards 45.05 OVER PROJECTION +5.6 DIFFERENCE 25.89% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook Best Odds o39.5 +130 - - - - o39.5 +130 - - o39.5 +105 - PL P. Lewis (RB) o39.5 Rushing Yards PROJECTION 45.05 OVER PROJECTION +5.6 DIFFERENCE 25.89% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o39.5 +130
RECEIVING YARDS KC K. Courtney (WR) o39.5 Receiving Yards 48.82 OVER PROJECTION +9.3 DIFFERENCE 27.2% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o27.5 -115 - o27.5 -115 o31.5 -114 o32.5 -114 o39.5 +120 o29.5 -120 - o39.5 +125 - KC K. Courtney (WR) o39.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 48.82 OVER PROJECTION +9.3 DIFFERENCE 27.2% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o27.5 -115
RECEIVING YARDS DM D. Martin (WR) o29.5 Receiving Yards 39.65 OVER PROJECTION +10.1 DIFFERENCE 26.5% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook Best Odds o29.5 -110 - - - - o29.5 -110 - - - - DM D. Martin (WR) o29.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 39.65 OVER PROJECTION +10.1 DIFFERENCE 26.5% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o29.5 -110
RECEIVING YARDS KJ K. Jackson (WR) o29.5 Receiving Yards 40.66 OVER PROJECTION +11.2 DIFFERENCE 25.63% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o23.5 -114 - o29.5 -115 o29.5 -115 o23.5 -114 o29.5 +125 o30.5 -118 - o29.5 -115 - KJ K. Jackson (WR) o29.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 40.66 OVER PROJECTION +11.2 DIFFERENCE 25.63% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o23.5 -114
RECEIVING YARDS DT D. Twitty (TE) o19.5 Receiving Yards 26.21 OVER PROJECTION +6.7 DIFFERENCE 22.95% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook Best Odds o19.5 -130 - o21.5 -115 o20.5 -115 o21.5 -114 o19.5 -130 o23.5 -118 - o19.5 -135 - DT D. Twitty (TE) o19.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 26.21 OVER PROJECTION +6.7 DIFFERENCE 22.95% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o19.5 -130
RECEIVING YARDS VS V. Snow (WR) o39.5 Receiving Yards 44.26 OVER PROJECTION +4.8 DIFFERENCE 21.42% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds BetRivers Best Odds o39.5 -112 - o39.5 -115 - o39.5 -114 o39.5 -115 o39.5 -112 - - - VS V. Snow (WR) o39.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 44.26 OVER PROJECTION +4.8 DIFFERENCE 21.42% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o39.5 -112
RECEIVING YARDS HP H. Provience (TE) o19.5 Receiving Yards 21.86 OVER PROJECTION +2.4 DIFFERENCE 15.21% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook Best Odds o19.5 -120 - - - - o19.5 -120 - - - - HP H. Provience (TE) o19.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 21.86 OVER PROJECTION +2.4 DIFFERENCE 15.21% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o19.5 -120
RECEIVING YARDS DD D. Dozier (WR) u31.5 Receiving Yards 29.63 UNDER PROJECTION -1.9 DIFFERENCE 14.37% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u33.5 -115 - u33.5 -115 - u31.5 -114 - - - - - DD D. Dozier (WR) u31.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 29.63 UNDER PROJECTION -1.9 DIFFERENCE 14.37% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. u33.5 -115
RECEPTIONS KC K. Courtney (WR) o3.5 Receptions 3.97 OVER PROJECTION +0.5 DIFFERENCE 17.42% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o2.5 -205 - - o3.5 +125 o2.5 -205 - - - - - KC K. Courtney (WR) o3.5 Receptions PROJECTION 3.97 OVER PROJECTION +0.5 DIFFERENCE 17.42% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o2.5 -205

SPREAD

UVA -3.5 spread

-6.71 PROJECTION

-3.2 DIFFERENCE

7.14% EV

Rating:

-4.5 +100

-4.0 -108

-4.5 +100

-3.5 -116

-4.5 -105

-3.5 -115

0.0 -180

-4.0 -109

-4.5 -105

TOTAL

Under 51.5 Total

53.11 OVER PROJECTION

+1.6 DIFFERENCE

0.88% EV

Rating:

u54.5 -110

u51.5 -118

u51.5 -110

u53.5 -105

u54.5 -110

u51.5 -115

u51.5 -110

u51.5 -112

u51.5 -120

u51.5 -115

MONEYLINE

UVA -190 moneyline

UVA PROJECTION

- DIFFERENCE

14.49% EV

Rating:

-135

-185

-190

-135

-146

-190

-177

-190

-185

-200

PASSING YARDS

B. Pribula (QB) o202.5 Passing Yards

231.24 OVER PROJECTION

+28.7 DIFFERENCE

25.48% EV

Rating:

o199.5 -135

o209.5 -110

o208.5 -114

o224.5 +120

o202.5 -120

o208.5 -115

o224.5 +120

PASSING YARDS

C. Bailey (QB) u233.5 Passing Yards

232.06 UNDER PROJECTION

-1.4 DIFFERENCE

-7.14% EV

Rating:

u235.5 -114

u233.5 -114

RUSHING YARDS

P. Lewis (RB) o39.5 Rushing Yards

45.05 OVER PROJECTION

+5.6 DIFFERENCE

25.89% EV

Rating:

o39.5 +130

o39.5 +105

RECEIVING YARDS

K. Courtney (WR) o39.5 Receiving Yards

48.82 OVER PROJECTION

+9.3 DIFFERENCE

27.2% EV

Rating:

o27.5 -115

o31.5 -114

o32.5 -114

o39.5 +120

o29.5 -120

o39.5 +125

RECEIVING YARDS

D. Martin (WR) o29.5 Receiving Yards

39.65 OVER PROJECTION

+10.1 DIFFERENCE

26.5% EV

Rating:

o29.5 -110

RECEIVING YARDS

K. Jackson (WR) o29.5 Receiving Yards

40.66 OVER PROJECTION

+11.2 DIFFERENCE

25.63% EV

Rating:

o23.5 -114

o29.5 -115

o23.5 -114

o29.5 +125

o30.5 -118

o29.5 -115

RECEIVING YARDS

D. Twitty (TE) o19.5 Receiving Yards

26.21 OVER PROJECTION

+6.7 DIFFERENCE

22.95% EV

Rating:

o19.5 -130

o21.5 -115

o20.5 -115

o21.5 -114

o19.5 -130

o23.5 -118

o19.5 -135

RECEIVING YARDS

V. Snow (WR) o39.5 Receiving Yards

44.26 OVER PROJECTION

+4.8 DIFFERENCE

21.42% EV

Rating:

o39.5 -112

o39.5 -115

o39.5 -114

o39.5 -115

o39.5 -112

RECEIVING YARDS

H. Provience (TE) o19.5 Receiving Yards

21.86 OVER PROJECTION

+2.4 DIFFERENCE

15.21% EV

Rating:

o19.5 -120

RECEIVING YARDS

D. Dozier (WR) u31.5 Receiving Yards

29.63 UNDER PROJECTION

-1.9 DIFFERENCE

14.37% EV

Rating:

u33.5 -115

u31.5 -114

RECEPTIONS

K. Courtney (WR) o3.5 Receptions

3.97 OVER PROJECTION

+0.5 DIFFERENCE

17.42% EV

Rating:

o2.5 -205

o3.5 +125

o2.5 -205

Recent Form Trends

Under is 9-0 in Cavaliers last 9 games overall.
Under is 7-0 in Cavaliers last 7 games on grass.
Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 7-0 in Cavaliers last 7 conference games.
Under is 6-0 in Wolfpack last 6 games in August.
Under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 games in August.
Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in August.
Wolfpack are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

ROI Trends

NC State Trends

NC State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.70 Units / 65% ROI)

NCST

UVA

Game Line - Moneyline - FT

Compare odds

NC State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 38% ROI)

NCST

UVA

Game Line - Spread - 1Q

Compare odds

NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)

NCST

UVA

Game Line - Moneyline - 1H

Compare odds

NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 40% ROI)

NCST

UVA

Game Line - Spread - 1H

Compare odds

NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.53 Units / 26% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1Q

Compare odds

NC State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 12 games (-6.20 Units / -42% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1Q

Compare odds

NC State has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.28 Units / -38% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1H

Compare odds

NC State has only hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.26 Units / -38% ROI)

NC State has only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.70 Units / -20% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Compare odds

Virginia Trends

Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+9.30 Units / 12% ROI)

NCST

UVA

Game Line - Moneyline - FT

Compare odds

Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Compare odds

Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 86% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1H

Compare odds

Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)

NCST

UVA

Game Line - Moneyline - 1Q

Compare odds

Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.76 Units / 47% ROI)

NCST

UVA

Game Line - Spread - 1Q

Compare odds

Virginia has not hit the 1H Game Total Over in any of their last 9 games (-10.20 Units / -100% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1H

Compare odds

Virginia has not hit the Game Total Over in any of their last 9 games (-9.95 Units / -100% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Compare odds

Virginia has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 games at home (-8.50 Units / -69% ROI)

NCST

UVA

Game Line - Moneyline - 1H

Compare odds

Virginia has not hit the 1Q Game Total Over in any of their last 7 games (-7.90 Units / -100% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1Q

Compare odds

Virginia has only hit the Team Total Over in 2 of their last 8 games (-5.10 Units / -55% ROI)

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

NC State Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	pureporkchop	8-2-0	+5800
2	april420	7-3-0	+4750
3	Lemondropkid00	7-3-0	+4700
4	kermitfrog	6-4-0	+4650
5	STEINWAYSTACKS	6-4-0	+4460
6	vlkvlk2012	9-1-0	+4350
7	ronebme	8-2-0	+4350
8	DarthRaider27	8-2-0	+3900
9	Fazool	10-0-0	+3850
10	repl63	8-2-0	+3750
All Wolfpack Money Leaders

Virginia Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	YAL15M	9-1-0	+7700
2	bpcollins	10-0-0	+6800
3	minus110	7-3-0	+6700
4	Insiderone777	9-1-0	+6400
5	Alexandr1966	7-3-0	+6250
6	forkball	9-1-0	+5750
7	sportbug	8-2-0	+5250
8	jakringle	7-3-0	+5100
9	joeczar	8-2-0	+4750
10	MartinK	9-1-0	+4750
All Cavaliers Money Leaders

Top User Picks

North Carolina State vs Virginia Picks & Props

NCST vs UVA Picks

NCST vs UVA Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

66% picking NC State

65% picking NC State vs Virginia to go Under

NCST vs UVA Props

How is Value calculated?

Recent Form Trends

ROI Trends

NC State Trends

NC State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.70 Units / 65% ROI)

NC State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 38% ROI)

NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)

NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 40% ROI)

NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.53 Units / 26% ROI)

NC State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 12 games (-6.20 Units / -42% ROI)

NC State has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.28 Units / -38% ROI)

NC State has only hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.26 Units / -38% ROI)

NC State has only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.70 Units / -20% ROI)

Virginia Trends

Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+9.30 Units / 12% ROI)

Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 86% ROI)

Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)

Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.76 Units / 47% ROI)

Virginia has not hit the 1H Game Total Over in any of their last 9 games (-10.20 Units / -100% ROI)

Virginia has not hit the Game Total Over in any of their last 9 games (-9.95 Units / -100% ROI)

Virginia has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 games at home (-8.50 Units / -69% ROI)

Virginia has not hit the 1Q Game Total Over in any of their last 7 games (-7.90 Units / -100% ROI)

Virginia has only hit the Team Total Over in 2 of their last 8 games (-5.10 Units / -55% ROI)

NCST vs UVA Top User Picks

User Picks

NC State Team Leaders

Virginia Team Leaders

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