Keyvone Lee Longest Rush Props • UNLV
K. Lee
running back RB • UNLV
UNLV @ Boise State Picks & Props
UNLV vs BSU Picks
NCAAF Picks
Total
u58.5 (-120)
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst
Both UNLV and Boise State have trended toward Unders to close the season, the Rebels cashing three Unders in their last four games while the Broncos hit four Unders in their last five games. In UNLV's case, that has been a testament of strength, its defense providing the strength to charge into the Mountain West title game. For Boise State, that has been a weakness, its offense falling short too often of late.
Boise should attempt to lean into its ground game against a UNLV defense that simply cannot stop the run (132nd in EPA per rush allowed). Madsen hasn't played in over a month, and it'll be a rainy and cold Mountain West title game.
Receptions
TO
Troy Omeire u2.5 Receptions (-115)
Projection 2.0458 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
LC
Latrell Caples u4.5 Receptions (-135)
Projection 3.7441 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
DR
Dylan Riley u1.5 Receptions (-145)
Projection 1.1885 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
JB
Jaden Bradley u4.5 Receptions (-140)
Projection 4.0011 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
TD Passes
MC
Max Cutforth o1.5 TD Passes (+114)
Projection 1.7178 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
TD Passes
AC
Anthony Colandrea u1.5 TD Passes (-130)
Projection 1.4431 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Completions
MM
Maddux Madsen u19.5 Completions (-120)
Projection 18.2741 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Completions
AC
Anthony Colandrea u17.5 Completions (-115)
Projection 17.0033 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
MC
Max Cutforth o208.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 228.918 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
MM
Maddux Madsen o223.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 233.9168 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
UNLV vs BSU Consensus Picks
UNLV vs BSU Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
Anthony Colandrea Longest Rush Props • UNLV
A. Colandrea
quarterback QB • UNLV
Dylan Riley Longest Rush Props • Boise State
D. Riley
running back RB • Boise State
Maddux Madsen Longest Rush Props • Boise State
M. Madsen
quarterback QB • Boise State
Sire Gaines Longest Rush Props • Boise State
S. Gaines
running back RB • Boise State
UNLV vs BSU Trends
UNLV Trends
UNLV has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 68% ROI)
UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 14% ROI)
UNLV
BSU
UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Over
Under
UNLV have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
UNLV
BSU
UNLV have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
UNLV
BSU
UNLV has only hit the Team Total Under in 1 of their last 11 games (-10.05 Units / -82% ROI)
UNLV has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 14 games (-9.55 Units / -40% ROI)
UNLV
BSU
UNLV has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 14 games (-7.35 Units / -46% ROI)
Over
Under
UNLV have only covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 14 games (-4.85 Units / -31% ROI)
UNLV
BSU
UNLV has only hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 14 games (-2.80 Units / -18% ROI)
Over
Under
Boise State Trends
Boise State has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 52% ROI)
Boise State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
UNLV
BSU
Boise State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.65 Units / 23% ROI)
UNLV
BSU
Boise State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Over
Under
Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Over
Under
Boise State has only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (-5.50 Units / -5% ROI)
UNLV
BSU
Boise State has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (-4.75 Units / -2% ROI)
UNLV
BSU
Boise State has only hit the Team Total Under in 1 of their last 6 games at home (-4.30 Units / -67% ROI)
Boise State have only covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 14 games (-3.60 Units / -22% ROI)
UNLV
BSU
Boise State has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 14 games (-3.20 Units / -20% ROI)
Over
Under