Nate Sheppard Longest Rush Props • Duke
N. Sheppard
running back RB • Duke
Duke @ Virginia Picks & Props
DUKE vs UVA Picks
NCAAF Picks
Passing Yards
CM
Chandler Morris o229.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Duke’s bottom-tier, explosion-prone pass defense and a possible chase script for Virginia make this yardage number simply too low, playable up to 234.5.
Receiving Yards
TH
Trell Harris o67.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
A Virginia passing attack that hasn't been necessarily efficent but explosive should be able to get it's best passcatcher involved at a decent clip against such a bad defense.
Spread
UVA -3.5 (-120)
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst
Virginia beat Duke, 34-17, in mid-November in what seemed like a must-win game. And that was with the Blue Devils enjoying an interception return for a touchdown in the fourth quarter. This matchup favors the Cavaliers, certainly by more than 3.5 points. Their passing game alone exposes too many holes in Duke's defense.
Harris dominated this matchup just a few weeks ago, catching eight passes for 161 yards and a score in Week 12. He’s ready for another big game against a defense checking in at 113th in coverage grade (per PFF) and 131st in EPA per pass allowed.
Receptions
TH
Trell Harris u4.5 Receptions (+106)
Projection 4.1053 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
CB
Cooper Barkate u4.5 Receptions (-110)
Projection 4.2644 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
NS
Nate Sheppard o2.5 Receptions (-160)
Projection 3.3198 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
QB
Que'Sean Brown o3.5 Receptions (-115)
Projection 3.9567 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
SH
Sahmir Hagans o2.5 Receptions (+100)
Projection 2.7452 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
TD Passes
CM
Chandler Morris o1.5 TD Passes (+145)
Projection 1.624 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
TD Passes
Darian Mensah o1.5 TD Passes (-115)
Projection 1.8162 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Completions
CM
Chandler Morris u20.5 Completions (-110)
Projection 19.6435 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
Darian Mensah u257.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 247.8575 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
JE
Jahmal Edrine o29.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Projection 42.6921 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
DUKE vs UVA Consensus Picks
DUKE vs UVA Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
DUKE vs UVA Trends
Duke Trends
Duke has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+6.10 Units / 74% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
Duke have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.70 Units / 8% ROI)
DUKE
UVA
Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.50 Units / 6% ROI)
DUKE
UVA
Duke have only covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.65 Units / -58% ROI)
DUKE
UVA
Duke has only hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 13 games (-7.95 Units / -56% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.50 Units / -43% ROI)
DUKE
UVA
Duke has not hit the 1Q Game Total Under in any of their last 7 away games (-7.25 Units / -87% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.65 Units / -44% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.30 Units / -15% ROI)
DUKE
UVA
Virginia Trends
Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+10.70 Units / 36% ROI)
DUKE
UVA
Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.11 Units / 71% ROI)
DUKE
UVA
Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.45 Units / 12% ROI)
DUKE
UVA
Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 92% ROI)
Over
Under
Virginia has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 24% ROI)
DUKE
UVA
Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Over
Under
Virginia has not hit the 1H Moneyline in any of their last 2 games at home (-7.95 Units / -100% ROI)
DUKE
UVA
Virginia has not hit the 1H Game Total Over in any of their last 7 games (-8.05 Units / -100% ROI)
Over
Under
Virginia has not hit the Game Total Over in any of their last 7 games (-7.75 Units / -100% ROI)
Over
Under
Virginia has not hit the 1Q Game Total Over in any of their last 5 games (-5.55 Units / -100% ROI)
Over
Under