Northwestern @ Illinois Picks & Props

Pick made: 17 hours ago

-7.5 -108

-7.0 -110

-7.5 -110

-7.5 -109

Illinois has gone 5-1 against the spread as a multi-score favorite this season, living up to more expectations than perhaps realized amid a 7-4 outright record. With Northwestern in a ripe letdown moment, newly eligible for a bowl, trusting the Illini to again cover a multi-score spread carries plenty of logic.

Spread

ILL -6.5 (-122)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 days ago

-7.5 -108

-7.0 -110

-7.5 -110

-7.5 -109

This is the biggest disaparity of the week in my power ratings. I make this closer to a 10-point spread. This is a simple buy-low, sell-high spot where I'm selling Northwestern after back-to-back, down to the wire wins, and buying Illinois low after their upset loss as a touchdown-plus favorite against Wisconsin. Illinois needs it more and they're the fresher team.

TD Passes

Luke Altmyer u1.5 TD Passes (-130)

Projection 1.4085 (Under)

Best Odds

u1.5 -130

Pick made: 2 days ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -130

Passing Yards

Luke Altmyer u230.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Projection 197.3905 (Under)

Best Odds

u230.5 -114

Pick made: 2 days ago

EV Model Rating

u230.5 -114

Passing Yards

Preston Stone u173.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Projection 171.4438 (Under)

Best Odds

u174.5 -117

Pick made: 18 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u173.5 -114

u174.5 -117

Receiving Yards

Hank Beatty o54.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 62.3409 (Over)

Best Odds

o54.5 -114

Pick made: 2 days ago

EV Model Rating

o54.5 -114

Receiving Yards

Collin Dixon o32.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 35.7689 (Over)

Best Odds

o32.5 -114

Pick made: 2 days ago

EV Model Rating

o32.5 -114

Rushing Yards

Ca'Lil Valentine o36.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Projection 47.6548 (Over)

Best Odds

o36.5 -114

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

o36.5 -114

o36.5 -115

Rushing Yards

Kaden Feagin o28.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Projection 36.6749 (Over)

Best Odds

o28.5 -114

Pick made: 2 days ago

EV Model Rating

o28.5 -114

o28.5 -117

Rushing Yards

Caleb Komolafe u72.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Projection 68.6631 (Under)

Best Odds

u73.5 -117

Pick made: 28 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u72.5 -114

u73.5 -117

Spread

66% picking Illinois

34% 34%

66% 66%

Total Picks NW 125, ILL 238

Spread

ILL

Spread

Total

60% picking Northwestern vs Illinois to go Over

60% 60%

40% 40%

Total PicksNW 125, ILL 82

Total

Over

Under

Total

NW vs ILL Props

Player

Prop

Projection

Best Odds

Projection Rating

C. Valentine

running back RB • Illinois

Prop

36.5

Rushing Yards

Projection

47.65

Best Odds

Over

fanduel

Prop

36.5 Rushing Yards

Projection

47.65

Best Odds

Over

Over

Under

o36.5 -115

u36.5 -115

o36.5 -114

u36.5 -114

Projection Rating

K. Feagin

running back RB • Illinois

Prop

28.5

Rushing Yards

Projection

36.67

Best Odds

Over

fanduel

Prop

28.5 Rushing Yards

Projection

36.67

Best Odds

Over

Over

Under

o28.5 -117

u28.5 -113

o28.5 -114

u28.5 -114

Projection Rating

C. Komolafe

running back RB • Northwestern

Prop

73.5

Rushing Yards

Projection

68.66

Best Odds

Under

-117

caesars

Prop

73.5 Rushing Yards

Projection

68.66

Best Odds

Under

-117

Over

Under

o73.5 -114

u73.5 -117

o72.5 -114

u72.5 -114

Projection Rating

NW vs ILL Trends

Northwestern Trends

Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 11% ROI)

ILL

Game Line - MoneyLine - Full Game

Northwestern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 21% ROI)

ILL

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Period

Northwestern have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 38% ROI)

ILL

Game Line - Spread - 1st Half

Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.06 Units / 32% ROI)

ILL

Game Line - Spread - 1st Period

Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 48% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Period

Northwestern has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)

Northwestern has only hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 10 games (-4.90 Units / -43% ROI)

Northwestern has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (-4.70 Units / -2% ROI)

ILL

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Half

Northwestern has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.90 Units / -21% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Period

Northwestern has only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.70 Units / -20% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

Northwestern has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 1 of their last 4 away games (-2.50 Units / -54% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Half

Illinois Trends

Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Half

Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+6.85 Units / 11% ROI)

ILL

Game Line - MoneyLine - Full Game

Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.55 Units / 12% ROI)

ILL

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Half

Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Illinois have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)

ILL

Game Line - Spread - Full Game

Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

Illinois has not hit the 1H Game Total Over in any of their last 7 games at home (-8.05 Units / -100% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Half

Illinois has only hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 11 games (-6.30 Units / -50% ROI)

Illinois has only hit the Game Total Over in 1 of their last 7 games at home (-5.60 Units / -73% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

Illinois has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 1 of their last 7 games at home (-4.22 Units / -54% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Period

Spread

'seadogs' is picking Northwestern to cover (+7.0)

seadogs is #2 on picking games that Northwestern is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +5300 units on the season.

Spread

ILL

Spread

Total

'seadogs' picks Northwestern vs Illinois to go Over (44.5)

seadogs is #2 on picking games that Northwestern is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +5300 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Total

'fishercz' picks Northwestern vs Illinois to go Over (47.5)

fishercz is #3 on picking games that Illinois are in with a record of (8-2-0) and +5800 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'fishercz' is picking Illinois to cover (-7.0)

fishercz is #3 on picking games that Illinois are in with a record of (8-2-0) and +5800 units on the season.

Spread

ILL

Spread

Spread

'rollonotes' is picking Northwestern to cover (+7.0)

rollonotes is #4 on picking games that Illinois are in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread

ILL

Spread

Total

'rollonotes' picks Northwestern vs Illinois to go Under (47.5)

rollonotes is #4 on picking games that Illinois are in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Total

'rodger snyder' picks Northwestern vs Illinois to go Over (44.5)

rodger snyder is #5 on picking games that Illinois are in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'rodger snyder' is picking Illinois to cover (-7.5)

rodger snyder is #5 on picking games that Illinois are in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread

ILL

Spread

Spread

'Falcon4242' is picking Illinois to cover (-7.0)

Falcon4242 is #6 on picking games that Illinois are in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread

ILL

Spread

Total

'Falcon4242' picks Northwestern vs Illinois to go Over (45.5)

Falcon4242 is #6 on picking games that Illinois are in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total