Arkansas @ Texas Picks & Props
ARK vs TEX Picks
NCAAF Picks
Spread
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
Texas had been playing with fire for the last several weeks and were somewhat lucky to head into last week's game against Georgia at 7-2. So things came to a head against the Bulldogs with the Longhorns losing 35-10. Arkansas is in a slump but the Razorbacks still have an elite offence with QB Taylen Green. Green and the Hogs will do enough to keep this one enough to cover this spread.
Rushing Yards
QW
Quintrevion Wisner o71.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Arkansas checks in at 128th in EPA per rush and 133rd in rushing success rate allowed, repeatedly getting beaten on the ground. Wisner is Texas' most reliable skill position player at current and should capitalize on the matchup.
Receptions
RS
Raylen Sharpe u4.5 Receptions (-120)
Projection 3.6252 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
RW
Ryan Wingo u4.5 Receptions (-110)
Projection 3.9985 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
OB
O'Mega Blake u4.5 Receptions (-120)
Projection 3.9921 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Passing Yards
Taylen Green o218.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 237.5155 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
Arch Manning u275.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 254.0564 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
RW
Ryan Wingo u73.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 64.1491 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
OB
O'Mega Blake o54.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 60.4144 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
RS
Raylen Sharpe o47.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 49.6191 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
DM
DeAndre Moore Jr. o48.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 49.2599 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Rushing Yards
Arch Manning o14.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 27.0793 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
ARK vs TEX Consensus Picks
ARK vs TEX Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
A. Manning
quarterback QB • Texas
Prop
292.5
Pas and Rus Yards
Season Avg.
256.00
Taylen Green Pas and Rus Yards Props • Arkansas
T. Green
quarterback QB • Arkansas
Prop
278.5
Pas and Rus Yards
Season Avg.
325.60
ARK vs TEX Trends
Arkansas Trends
Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 44% ROI)
ARK
TEX
Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 1% ROI)
ARK
TEX
Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.10 Units / 56% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 12 games (-8.45 Units / -17% ROI)
ARK
TEX
Arkansas has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.40 Units / -43% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.90 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.85 Units / -30% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has only hit the Team Total Over in 2 of their last 7 games (-3.80 Units / -47% ROI)
Texas Trends
Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 4% ROI)
ARK
TEX
Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 1% ROI)
ARK
TEX
Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Over
Under
Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Texas has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.50 Units / 7% ROI)
ARK
TEX
Texas have only covered the Spread in 4 of their last 16 games (-9.20 Units / -52% ROI)
ARK
TEX
Texas has only hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 10 games (-5.35 Units / -46% ROI)
Texas has only hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 16 games (-5.00 Units / -28% ROI)
Over
Under
Texas has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 16 games (-3.60 Units / -19% ROI)
Over
Under
Texas has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 16 games (-2.30 Units / -12% ROI)
Over
Under