Oklahoma @ Tennessee Picks & Props

I'll take a shot on such an explosive playmaker against a defense that has struggled all season with giving up the big play 

Too low of a number for a player that I suspect will get a decent workload in this spot. 

I'll back one of the more consistent parts of the OU offense against a defense that's well below average. 

Tennessee's rush defense is middling at best and bad at worst, and that kind of weakness raises the floor for the road underdog. Oklahoma should see many short-yardage late downs, part of why the Volunteers' defense ranks No. 85 in the country in late-down conversions, and those extended drives from the Sooners should wear out Tennessee.

Every Tennessee game so far this season has gone over this number, and that won't change on Saturday.

Joey Aguilar is 21 of 37 for 834 yards and 11 touchdowns on throws of 20+ yards, and Ole Miss hit three such throws in its win over Oklahoma. Meanwhile, the Tennessee defense has allowed 32 such completions on the season—the eighth most of any team in college football. 

If Oklahoma doesn't get pressure on Aguilar, the Vols will post another big number on offense. When the Sooners protect Mateer, there will be chunk plays available. Take the Over to cash here easily.

Oklahoma gave Ole Miss quarterback Trinidad Chambliss time to throw this weekend, and he tore the Sooners up from a clean pocket. If that happens against Tennessee, it will be serious trouble for the Sooners.

Joey Aguilar and the Tennessee passing attack are posting big numbers, and the Volunteer defense is racking up quarterback pressures and sacks. The Sooners have struggled to protect John Mateer, who simply hasn't been the same since his injury.

The Sooners aren't capping off enough drives with points, and are struggling on early downs. With how quickly the Volunteers can put up points, that will lead to another defeat at Rocky Top.