Aidan Chiles Pas and Rus Yards Props • Michigan State
A. Chiles
quarterback QB • Michigan State
NBC
Boston College @ Michigan State Picks & Props
BC vs MSU Picks
NCAAF Picks
Total
u45.5 (-110)
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
Dylan Lonergan is new at pivot for BC, and he looked good throwing for four TD’s against Fordham, but, it’s Michigan State’s performance that seems likely more replicable from they met a year ago. They held Western Michigan to 188 yards passing, and just 29 yards on the ground. The Spartans’ ground game was good, running for 186 yards and two scores, but Aidan Chiles threw for just 155 and a TD. Michigan State’s defense should muck this one up.
Total
u45.5 (-106)
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst
These are two bad offensive lines, and in 2025, a pair of bad offensive lines is reason enough to take an Under, particularly while still north of a key number like 45.
Spread
MSU -3.5 (-105)
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst
Neither of these rosters can be considered of quality, but Michigan State has a better long-term growth plan via Jonathan Smith and quarterback Aidan Chiles. That combination sets up the Spartans far better than anything on Boston College's ledger, and Chiles should lead the way as a short home favorite.
TD Passes
DL
Dylan Lonergan u1.5 TD Passes (-210)
Projection 0.9191 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
TD Passes
AC
Aidan Chiles u1.5 TD Passes (-154)
Projection 1.2452 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Completions
AC
Aidan Chiles o16.5 Completions (+105)
Projection 17.1318 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
DL
Dylan Lonergan u205.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 183.0932 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
AC
Aidan Chiles u211.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 201.8225 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
JV
Jack Velling o26.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 36.7675 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
OK
Omari Kelly o45.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 54.6639 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
NM
Nick Marsh o50.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 59.8222 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
LB
Lewis Bond o55.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 58.2636 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rushing Yards
TR
Turbo Richard o49.5 Rushing Yards (+100)
Projection 63.7835 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
BC vs MSU Consensus Picks
BC vs MSU Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
BC vs MSU Trends
Boston College Trends
Boston College has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 67% ROI)
Over
Under
Boston College have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 55% ROI)
BC
MSU
Boston College have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
BC
MSU
Boston College has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Over
Under
Boston College has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.10 Units / 30% ROI)
BC
MSU
Boston College has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 1 of their last 10 games (-9.35 Units / -82% ROI)
Over
Under
Boston College has only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-3.80 Units / -27% ROI)
Over
Under
Boston College has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-1.85 Units / -12% ROI)
Over
Under
Michigan State Trends
Michigan State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.35 Units / 30% ROI)
BC
MSU
Michigan State have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
BC
MSU
Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.75 Units / 38% ROI)
Over
Under
Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+0.95 Units / 4% ROI)
BC
MSU
Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)
BC
MSU
Michigan State have only covered the Spread in 1 of their last 7 games at home (-5.65 Units / -73% ROI)
BC
MSU
Michigan State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 1 of their last 6 games at home (-3.35 Units / -51% ROI)
Over
Under
Michigan State has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 7 games at home (-1.65 Units / -20% ROI)
Over
Under
Michigan State have only covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 7 games at home (-1.50 Units / -19% ROI)
BC
MSU
Michigan State has only hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 7 games at home (-1.40 Units / -18% ROI)
Over
Under
BC vs MSU Top User Picks
Boston College Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASkinsFanInDixi | 8-2-0 | +5800 |
| 2 | dispnum1 | 6-4-0 | +5750 |
| 3 | djmdthedoc | 8-2-0 | +4750 |
| 4 | whooped | 9-1-0 | +4700 |
| 5 | kmackie | 7-3-0 | +4300 |
| 6 | pokersquirrel | 7-3-0 | +3750 |
| 7 | uradonkey | 7-3-0 | +3750 |
| 8 | hudsoncfc | 6-4-0 | +3750 |
| 9 | vegasRich | 6-4-0 | +3700 |
| 10 | SteveA2009 | 7-3-0 | +3700 |
| All Eagles Money Leaders | |||
Michigan State Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JayAcosta20 | 9-1-0 | +6850 |
| 2 | Cartrevic | 7-3-0 | +5850 |
| 3 | Nittanymac5800 | 8-2-0 | +5350 |
| 4 | ETHYL67 | 10-0-0 | +5000 |
| 5 | spiveytexas61 | 9-1-0 | +4900 |
| 6 | TNSweep | 8-2-0 | +4850 |
| 7 | TNtoTX | 6-4-0 | +4750 |
| 8 | dissident | 9-1-0 | +4750 |
| 9 | jazzmatazz | 9-1-0 | +4750 |
| 10 | decep96 | 9-0-0 | +4500 |
| All Spartans Money Leaders | |||