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Free WNBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game Sept. 27, 2026
Clark is on a mission to make up for lost time after injury kept her off the court in the 2025 playoffs, and she's blown past this number in five of her last six outings.
The final stat line may not be pretty, with Clark's 3-point stroke looking a little streaky since the World Cup, but she's almost automatic at the free-throw line, and I'm penciling her in for 18-20 shots here.
I'll take the points with the Fever, who pushed the Aces to the brink in a five-game battle last year without Caitlin Clark and have already won twice at Michelob ULTRA Arena this season.
The favorite hasn't covered the spread in regulation in any of the past five meetings between these squads, and the visitors are 4-1 ATS in their last five contests. I'd bet this up to 53%, or a +3 or +2.5 at a better price.
Angel Reese set a WNBA record with 32 double-doubles this season, and she'll continue to dominate on the boards in the postseason. She averaged 15.3 rebounds per game against Washington this season, and got 13+ boards in all three contests. I'm backing Reese to get to 12+ rebounds at up to 60%.
The Atlanta Dream finished the regular season ranking 3rd in point differential (+6.9), have the league's best defensive rebounding rate (79.9%), and rank third in defensive rating (103.5). The Washington Mystics' inefficient offense -- they ranked 12th in offensive rating this season -- leaves them at a significant disadvantage against an active Dream defense. I'm backing the Dream to cover at home giving up to 7.5 points.
Salaun knocked down multiple treys in 28 of 40 appearances, reaching that mark in 14 of 19 games at Chase Center. She reached that mark in both of her home matchups with the Wings while shooting 40% from beyond the arc.
Dallas’ vulnerable perimeter defense offers Salaun a favorable matchup, and I’ll trade this line as long as it doesn’t go over 60%.
Among players with 10+ games off the bench, Janelle Salaun leads the league in points (12.7), FGA (9.7), 3PA (5.9) and 3PM (2.3). She ranks fifth in minutes (22) among those players.
Playing at home in a favorable matchup, Salaun’s chances to hit double-digit points feel closer to 65%, making this a value play that I’ll trade up to 60%.
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