Golden State @ Phoenix picks

The Phoenix Mercury have been able to solve a stout Golden State's defense, which ranks second in the league in points allowed at 72.5 per contest. Phoenix hasn’t scored less than 78 in the three previous matchups and is averaging a crisp 87.3 points in the series. And Phoenix has been able to speed up the Valkyries, playing at their top three pace, as opposed to the Valkyries, who rank last, and that’s produced plenty of points. While the Over is 2-1-0 in the three games, these teams have combined for at least 155 points in every game.

Alyssa Thomas will be facing the league’s second-best scoring defense, and ranks Top 5 in assists allowed. Thomas has gone Under her 8.5 line in two straight and in three of the last five, including against these same Valkyries on August 19. It will be tight, but she should stay just Under the line.