Atlanta @ Dallas picks

Both the Wings and the Dream have regressed in the last month, and for both teams, a sliding defensive rating deserves more of the fault than their respective offenses, though both offenses have also slipped. Thus, Dallas has cashed six of nine Overs in July, while Atlanta has cashed five of nine. Neither trend is overwhelming on its own, but when they face each other, it makes for a clear choice.

Paige Bueckers has not been the most prolific 3-point shooter in her rookie season, hitting more than two threes in just one of 21 games, but she has cracked this prop in three of her last five games. Tonight should make that four of six thanks to Atlanta's perimeter defense devolving in the last month. Opponents have hit 37.5% of their threes against the Dream in July.