The Atlanta Dream are playing the second half of a back-to-back, but with the playoff race heating up, there’s no time for excuses. Sitting in a position to climb the WNBA standings, this road matchup against the struggling Dallas Wings presents a key opportunity for Atlanta to prove its postseason ambitions are real.
While our Dream vs. Wings predictions aren’t fully backing Atlanta to cover, the situational edge and playoff implications can't be ignored. Expect the Dream to lean on defense and energy early despite the short rest.
Get the full scoop on my WNBA picks before tip-off comes at 8 ET on Wednesday, July 30.
Dream vs Wings predictions
My Dream vs Wings best bet: Over 166.5 (-110 at Caesars)
The Atlanta Dream’s net rating has fallen 4.9 points in July’s nine games compared to the 17 preceding it. If this slide is not righted, it will be rather hard to believe in Atlanta in the postseason.
For tonight’s concerns though, the most pertinent comparison is that the Dallas Wings’ net rating has also fallen in July’s nine games compared to the preceding 18, down 4.2 points.
In both instances, more of the fault can be assigned to their defenses, the Dream’s at No. 7 in the WNBA in July and the Wings’ at No. 12. When the only defense worse than yours is the Chicago Sky’s, you should be doubted at every turn. For that matter, Dallas is closer to Chicago in the cellar than to Connecticut at No. 11.
These slides have not led to an outright influx in Overs, the Dream cashing five Overs in nine games while the Wings have cashed six out of nine, but with these two failing defenses facing each other, a choice becomes clear.
Add to that the Dream being on the second night of a back-to-back, their fatigue is likely to show most on defense. And Atlanta knows its offense is its better path toward a win.
Paige Bueckers pick: Paige packs 3-point punch
My best bet
Paige Bueckers Over 1.5 threes (+126 at FanDuel)
The Dream’s defensive struggles can largely be tied to the perimeter. They restricted opponents’ looks better than anybody to start the season, foes chucking just 19.1 times per game from beyond the arc through June 30. In July, that has jumped to 24.9 attempts per game (No. 7 in the WNBA). Worse yet, opponents are now making 37.5% of their attempts from deep.
Giving Paige Bueckers a few good looks can be costly, particularly since she's cleared this prop in three of her last five games.
Dream vs Wings same-game parlay (SGP)
Over 166.5
Paige Bueckers Over 1.5 threes
Dream moneyline
Want to see some laughably wrong analysis? From a preview of Monday’s game between the Liberty and the Wings: “The Wings have won just one of their last seven games. Bueckers aside, Dallas is not much of an upset threat. Fault the organization, the coaching, Arike Ogunbowale’s shot selection. Fault whatever you want. The reality is simple: Do not trust the Wings to exceed expectations so aggressively they spring an upset.”
Dallas won.
Ascribe that to New York looking ahead to tonight’s matchup with Minnesota, not so much that the Wings have turned a corner. In fact, we're obviously doubling down on that thought.
Dream vs Wings odds
Dream vs Wings live odds
Dream vs Wings opening odds
- Spread: Atlanta -5.5 | Dallas +5.5
- Moneyline: Atlanta -230 | Dallas +160
- Over/Under: Over 165.5 | Under 165.5
Dream vs Wings trend
Seven of Dallas’ nine opponents in July have gone Over their team total. Find more WNBA betting trends for Dream vs. Wings.
How to watch Dream vs Wings
| Location | College Park Center, Arlington, TX |
| Date | Wednesday, 7-30-2025 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN3 |
Dream vs Wings latest injuries
Dream: Rhyne Howard (Out).
Wings: Maddy Siegrist (Out), Tyasha Harris (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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