Oklahoma City Thunder

1st in NBA Northwest (57 - 25)

Next Game

Mon, Apr 29 20:30 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trey Murphy III Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy III
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Trey Murphy III has converted 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year. Trey Murphy III has averaged 39.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 9.1 more than he's averaged overall this season. The Pelicans will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 10th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Trey Murphy III has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.4% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Trey Murphy III

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.5

Trey Murphy III has converted 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year. Trey Murphy III has averaged 39.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 9.1 more than he's averaged overall this season. The Pelicans will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 10th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Trey Murphy III has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.4% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

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Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
+102

Luguentz Dort has notched 15.2 points per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 5.0 higher than he's notched over the course of the season on the road. Luguentz Dort has sunk 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted in all games this season. Luguentz Dort has tallied 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 4.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road. As it relates to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 115.6 points per game places 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games. The 5th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Luguentz Dort has notched 15.2 points per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 5.0 higher than he's notched over the course of the season on the road. Luguentz Dort has sunk 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted in all games this season. Luguentz Dort has tallied 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 4.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road. As it relates to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 115.6 points per game places 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games. The 5th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

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Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
-108

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams comes in at the 87th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.4 fouls per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 3.4 three attempts per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, making this a hard matchup. The Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game this year. Jalen Williams stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories due to being on the road in this contest.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams comes in at the 87th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.4 fouls per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 3.4 three attempts per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, making this a hard matchup. The Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game this year. Jalen Williams stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories due to being on the road in this contest.

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Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Under
-110

Relative to last season's 18.6 mark, Brandon Ingram's shots have tailed off this season to 15.8 per game. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games at home. The matchup against Oklahoma is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Thunder are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the lowest FG% in the NBA this year (34.7%). The 8th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. In comparison to last season's 6.2 clip, Brandon Ingram's number of free throws has tailed off this season to 4.7 free throws per game.

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

Relative to last season's 18.6 mark, Brandon Ingram's shots have tailed off this season to 15.8 per game. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games at home. The matchup against Oklahoma is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Thunder are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the lowest FG% in the NBA this year (34.7%). The 8th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. In comparison to last season's 6.2 clip, Brandon Ingram's number of free throws has tailed off this season to 4.7 free throws per game.

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.4
Best Odds
Under
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year. The Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made a lowly 7.5 free throws per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 9.8 rate last season. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.4
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.4

Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year. The Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made a lowly 7.5 free throws per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 9.8 rate last season. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-104

CJ McCollum has sunk an impressive 3.5 three-point shots per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.8 rate last year. CJ McCollum has played 37.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.4 higher than he's played overall this season. The Pelicans will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 10th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. CJ McCollum has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.2% more than he's made over the course of the season.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

CJ McCollum has sunk an impressive 3.5 three-point shots per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.8 rate last year. CJ McCollum has played 37.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.4 higher than he's played overall this season. The Pelicans will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 10th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. CJ McCollum has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.2% more than he's made over the course of the season.

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Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Josh Giddey has made 56.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 9.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this year on the road. Josh Giddey has successfully made 44.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 11.7% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year without the home court advantage. Josh Giddey has played 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 6.3 higher than he's played overall this season on the road. As it relates to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 115.6 points per game places 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. New Orleans is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the New Orleans Pelicans are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.5).

Josh Giddey

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Josh Giddey has made 56.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 9.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this year on the road. Josh Giddey has successfully made 44.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 11.7% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year without the home court advantage. Josh Giddey has played 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 6.3 higher than he's played overall this season on the road. As it relates to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 115.6 points per game places 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. New Orleans is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the New Orleans Pelicans are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.5).

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Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Under
-122

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 3.4 three attempts per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, making this a hard matchup. The Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game this year. Chet Holmgren will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 3.4 three attempts per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, making this a hard matchup. The Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game this year. Chet Holmgren will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Under
-122

Out of all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones registers in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 3.0 fouls per game this year. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games at home. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SFs have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (25.5%). The 8th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The matchup against Oklahoma may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the NBA).

Herbert Jones

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones registers in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 3.0 fouls per game this year. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games at home. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SFs have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (25.5%). The 8th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The matchup against Oklahoma may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the NBA).

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How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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