Final OT Oct 13
MIA 118 -4.5 o227.0
ATL 119 4.5 u227.0
Final Oct 13
SA 124 2.5 o235.5
IND 108 -2.5 u235.5
Final Oct 13
WAS 120 5.0 o219.5
NY 103 -5.0 u219.5
Final Oct 13
DAL 114 -4.0 o236.0
UTA 101 4.0 u236.0
Indiana 4th East65-39
Cleveland 1st East69-22

Indiana @ Cleveland Picks & Props

IND vs CLE Picks

NBA Picks
Spread
Indiana Pacers logo IND -6.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

We’ve got a predictably long injury report to digest today, with neither team willing to take too many chances on the eve of the playoffs. But it sounds as if the Indiana Pacers aren’t shutting down quite as many key cogs as the Cleveland Cavaliers, and that should put the visitors — confirmed as the No. 4 seed — in position for their 50th win of the season. Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam will rest, but Myles Turner, Andrew Nembhard and Aaron Nesmith could see some minutes, surrounded by feisty second-unit players who’ve been sparkplugs all year. The Indiana backups have shown they won’t back down from anyone. They proved that again last month by taking down the Minnesota Timberwolves in overtime without their first-choice starting five, and I’m laying this small spread with Rick Carlisle’s squad this afternoon.

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IND vs CLE Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

66% picking Indiana vs Cleveland to go Over

66%
34%

Total PicksIND 180, CLE 92

Total
Over
Under

IND vs CLE Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bennedict Mathurin Points Scored Props • Indiana

Bennedict Mathurin
B. Mathurin
small forward SF • Indiana
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bennedict Mathurin has made 38.8% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 6.8% less than he's converted over the course of the year. The Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Bennedict Mathurin will likely suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Bennedict Mathurin

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Bennedict Mathurin has made 38.8% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 6.8% less than he's converted over the course of the year. The Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Bennedict Mathurin will likely suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

T.J. McConnell Points Scored Props • Indiana

T.J. McConnell
T. McConnell
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds

Out of all players in the league, T.J. McConnell lands in the 16th percentile for 3-point attempts while playing on the road, averaging 0.7 per game this year. The Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). T.J. McConnell has made a lowly 73.1% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 82.9 rate last season. T.J. McConnell will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production across the board.

T.J. McConnell

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Out of all players in the league, T.J. McConnell lands in the 16th percentile for 3-point attempts while playing on the road, averaging 0.7 per game this year. The Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). T.J. McConnell has made a lowly 73.1% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 82.9 rate last season. T.J. McConnell will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production across the board.

Jaylon Tyson Points Scored Props • Cleveland

Jaylon Tyson
J. Tyson
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaylon Tyson has tallied 9.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 14th percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the NBA.

Jaylon Tyson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Jaylon Tyson has tallied 9.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 14th percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the NBA.

Obi Toppin Points Scored Props • Indiana

Obi Toppin
O. Toppin
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 44.1% on field goal attempts (4th-weakest in the league) vs. the Cavaliers, marking this as a challenging matchup. The Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Obi Toppin stands to see a decline in output for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Obi Toppin

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 44.1% on field goal attempts (4th-weakest in the league) vs. the Cavaliers, marking this as a challenging matchup. The Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Obi Toppin stands to see a decline in output for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Jarace Walker Points Scored Props • Indiana

Jarace Walker
J. Walker
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9). The Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Jarace Walker will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

Jarace Walker

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9). The Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Jarace Walker will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

Craig Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Cleveland

Craig Porter Jr.
C. Porter Jr.
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Craig Porter Jr. has attempted 2.4 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the league. Craig Porter Jr. has averaged 9.4 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA: 14th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, resulting in a hard matchup. The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the league).

Craig Porter Jr.

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Craig Porter Jr. has attempted 2.4 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the league. Craig Porter Jr. has averaged 9.4 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA: 14th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, resulting in a hard matchup. The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the league).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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