Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds for NBA Playoffs Game 4

Tom Oldfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Tom Oldfield • Betting Analyst 22+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 24, 2026 , 05:29 PM ET • 4 min read

Oldfield's prediction: Donte DiVincenzo keeps thriving against a Nuggets defense that looks increasingly short on answers.

NBA

Match starts: 25 hrs
DEN
53 %
MIN
47 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Donte DiVincenzo o11.5  Points Scored (-105) Donte DiVincenzo o11.5 Points Scored (-105)
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Minnesota Timberwolves guard Donte DiVincenzo (0).
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Minnesota Timberwolves guard Donte DiVincenzo (0).

Even with a banged-up Anthony Edwards, the Minnesota Timberwolves have found their playoff gear — and they’ve got Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets on the ropes heading into Game 4.

While Minnesota’s smothering defense got the headlines after limiting Denver to 34% shooting in Friday’s win, the offense is also rounding into form. 

My Nuggets vs. Timberwolves predictions point to another strong showing, with Donte DiVincenzo once again providing a spark.

Read on for my free NBA picks for this high-stakes battle on Saturday, April 25.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves prediction

Nuggets vs Timberwolves best bet: Donte DiVincenzo Over 11.5 points (-105)

It says a lot about the Minnesota Timberwolves’ growth that Anthony Edwards’ knee issue hasn’t submarined their chances in this first-round series. 

Instead, the rest of the Minnesota backcourt has answered the call, with Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, and Ayo Dosunmu combining for 60 points in Game 3.

The hosts will need a similar script this weekend to grab a 3-1 lead, and that means a neon green light for DiVincenzo, who’s nailed this points prop Over in all three games so far in the series.

DiVincenzo's hot streak includes 11-for-22 shooting from downtown, and the Denver Nuggets have struggled to contain his speed and quick release coming off screens and DHOs. Minnesota had a 21-7 edge in fast break points in Thursday’s victory, and the T-Wolves guard is a big part of that transition attack.

This O/U line is right around his regular-season mark of 12.2 points per game, but the T-Wolves need even more of DiVincenzo’s shotmaking without Edwards at full strength.

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Nuggets vs Timberwolves same-game parlay

The T-Wolves have been the tougher, more imposing team through three contests, and DiVincenzo continues to burn the Nuggets from downtown.

Although Nikola Jokic couldn’t get anything to fall in Game 3, I expect a bounce-back performance. The three-time MVP has averaged 27.4 ppg and 12.4 rebounds per game in his playoff career.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves SGP

  • Donte DiVincenzo Over 11.5 points
  • Timberwolves +1.5
  • Nikola Jokic to record a double-double

Our "from downtown" SGP: Jaden Keeps Backing It Up

McDaniels didn’t hold back in blasting the Denver defense earlier this week — and then backed it up with 20 points in Game 3, capped off with a monster slam.

He also chipped in 10 boards on Thursday while holding Jamal Murray to just 16 points. Put simply, McDaniels’ two-way play is key to a Minnesota victory here.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves SGP

  • Jaden McDaniels Over 15.5 points
  • Jaden McDaniels Over 4.5 rebounds
  • Jamal Murray Under 25.5 points
  • Timberwolves +1.5

Nuggets vs Timberwolves odds for Game 4

  • Spread: Nuggets -125 | Timberwolves -105
  • Moneyline: Nuggets -2.5 (-105) | Timberwolves +2.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: Over 229.5 (-110) | Under 229.5 (-110)

Nuggets vs Timberwolves betting trend to know

The Under went 28-14 in Minnesota's 42 regular-season outings at Target Center this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves.

How to watch Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 4

Location Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Date Saturday, April 25, 2026
Tip-off 8:30 p.m. ET
TV ABC

Nuggets vs Timberwolves latest injuries

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Tom Oldfield - Covers
Betting Analyst

Tom Oldfield’s sports writing journey over the past 20 years has taken him from the Premier League and Champions League to the NFL, NBA, WNBA and MLB, with a wide range of articles and betting previews. Tom has worked closely with London’s Sportsbeat sports news agency as well as (thrillingly!) covering the Toronto Raptors’ 2019 NBA championship run, and he has appeared on BBC World Service and The Back Page podcast.

A graduate of the University of Nottingham in the UK, he is the author of biographies on Cristiano Ronaldo, Rafael Nadal, Gary Neville and Cesc Fabregas, and he co-authors a long-running series of children’s soccer books with his brother, Matt.

As a regular bettor across the top sports leagues, particularly with FanDuel and bet365, he is well versed on all the major markets and the next big game is rarely far from his thoughts. The best betting advice he has received is to monitor multiple sportsbooks to grab the best possible value.

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