Our NBA player prop projections are all ready for you before a pivotal Game 4 matchup between the Denver Nuggets & Minnesota Timberwolves tips off, with the model flagging several high-value opportunities.
By breaking down the data and stacking it up against current market lines, we’ve identified where the strongest edges lie.
These Nuggets vs. Timberwolves predictions aren’t based on feel — they’re backed by the numbers.
If you’re building out your card, here are the model’s top NBA picks for Saturday, April 25.
Nuggets vs Timberwolves computer picks for Game 4
 Nuggets |
 Timberwolves |
|---|---|
| Jokic u30.5 points -120 |
Randle u25.5 points -500 |
| Gordon o2.5 assists +110 |
Edwards o3.5 3-pointers -105 |
| Jokic o13.5 rebounds -115 |
Dosunmu o3.5 assists -115 |
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Nuggets Game 4 computer picks
Nikola Jokic Under 30.5 points (-120)
Projection: 28.17 points
Nikola Jokic impacts the game in every area of the floor, and as long as he’s on the court, the Denver Nuggets feel his presence.
Even with him going Under in 7 of his last 10 games at a 30.5-point line against a highly competitive Minnesota Timberwolves defense, Jokic remains just as dangerous by influencing the game in other ways when scoring isn’t at its highest peak.
Aaron Gordon Over 2.5 assists (+110)
Projection: 2.97 assists
To avoid falling into a 1–3 hole, the Nuggets need Aaron Gordon badly & in a big way for Game 4.
With the Timberwolves playing at the sixth-fastest pace over their last five games, possessions should come in waves, giving Denver more transition chances and Gordon an opportunity to shine as a facilitator within that flow.
If he’s on the floor, his recent production suggests strong value here as well, having cleared his 2.5-assist line in 8 of his last 10 games.
Nikola Jokic Over 13.5 rebounds (-115)
Projection: 15.13 rebounds
Death, taxes, and Nikola Jokic cleaning up the glass. There may not be a more reliable angle heading into Game 4.
When it comes to his impact beyond scoring, this is exactly where the Nuggets star consistently dominates, turning missed shots into second chances and controlling possessions on the boards.
Jokic has cleared his 13.5-rebound line in 7 of his last 10 games, and with another heavyweight matchup against the T-wolves, there’s every reason to expect him to be active on the glass once again.
Timberwolves Game 4 computer picks
Julius Randle Under 25.5 points (-500)
Projection: 20.11 points
There’s no better time for the T-wolves. They’ve got the Nuggets exactly where they want them — on the ropes and feeling the pressure in Minnesota.
The question now is whether Julius Randle can elevate his game. He’s come up short of this points line throughout the series despite favorable conditions, but if Minnesota is going to push toward a 3–1 advantage, they’ll need more offensive production from him in Game 4.
Anthony Edwards Over 3.5 3-pointers
Projection: 3.7 3-pointers
The nagging knee issue for Anthony Edwards will be something to watch closely in Game 4, but when he’s on the floor, there’s not much that can slow him down.
If the injury doesn’t limit him, expect Ant Man to bring the fireworks from deep and put extra pressure on the Denver Nuggets from beyond the arc.
Ayo Dosunmu Over 3.5 assists (-115)
Projection: 3.7 assists
The Timberwolves are expected to see a boost in pace-driven opportunities tonight against one of the fastest road teams in the league over the last five games, the Nuggets.
That uptempo environment has helped Ayo Dosunmu settle into a strong playmaking rhythm, as he’s cleared his assist line in both Game 2 and Game 3.
With home court energy and the stakes rising in Game 4, the expectation is that he stays involved and clears the mark again.
How to watch Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 4
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Saturday, April 25, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
Not intended for use in MA.
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