Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 31, 2026
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Mon, Mar 30 • 10:00 PM ET
Austin Reaves o7.5 Total Assists (+119)
Austin Reaves is priced at +119 for over 7.5 assists on Monday against the Washington Wizards, and that’s a number I’m comfortable backing—I price it closer to -145. With Luka Dončić out, Reaves steps into a much larger playmaking role than usual, and I don’t think this line fully accounts for that shift. He should operate as the primary creator, running the offense against a depleted Wizards team that lacks the defensive personnel to disrupt actions or prevent potential assists from turning into actual ones. Even with the Lakers installed as heavy favorites, Reaves’ minutes should remain stable. In a blowout scenario, LeBron James is more likely to be the one who sits earlier, while Reaves continues to handle creation duties for the second unit. That combination of role expansion and projected minutes makes this a strong spot for him to clear the number.
LeBron James o16.5 Rebounds and Assists (-110)
In the last four games without Luka in the lineup, James has handed out 12, 10, 10, and eight assists. His projections for Monday range from 8.0 to 9.0 dimes against a Washington defense watching opponents record an assist on 65.2% of their successful field goals (27th). In the last four games without Doncic, the veteran forward has cleaned the glass for rebounding totals of 10, nine, seven and six. The Wizards give up a league-high 57 total rebounds an outing to foes and enter tonight with a patchwork lineup.
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