NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game April 4, 2026

Washington Wizards logo WAS @ Miami Heat logo MIA Sat, Apr 4 • 3:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 1 Computer Pick
Spread
Miami Heat logo MIA -18.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Shawn Krest image
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

While Washington has been covering lately, the Wizards are not performing well against top teams. Washington has failed to cover its last three as a double-digit underdog, losing by an average of 25.3 points.

They've also failed to cover the last three when getting 15 or more, losing by 28.7.

Points Scored
Andrew Wiggins logo
Andrew Wiggins o14.5 Points Scored (-130)
Projection 18.59 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This year, opposing starting PFs have logged 18.6 points per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Wizards, designating this as a favorable matchup for offensive production.. The speediest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Heat.. The Heat are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Wizards).. The Heat have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).. The matchup vs. the Washington Wizards may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).
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San Antonio Spurs logo SA @ Denver Nuggets logo DEN Sat, Apr 4 • 3:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 2 Computer Picks
Total Rebounds
Victor Wembanyama logo Victor Wembanyama o11.5 Total Rebounds (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Zak Hanshew image
Zak Hanshew
Betting Analyst

In six head-to-head matchups with Nikola Jokic, Wembanyama has averaged a whopping 14.7 boards, and he’s corralled 12+ rebounds four times. He should be well-rested after getting a maintenance day Thursday, so I expect a strong night cleaning the glass.

Points Scored
Victor Wembanyama logo
Victor Wembanyama u28.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 24.4 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
In terms of drawing fouls, the San Antonio Spurs's subpar 22.0 free throws per game comes in as the 10th-worst in the league over the last 10 games.
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Detroit Pistons logo DET @ Philadelphia 76ers logo PHI Sat, Apr 4 • 7:00 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 5 Computer Picks
Points and Rebounds
Jalen Duren logo Jalen Duren o35.5 Points and Rebounds (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Zak Hanshew image
Zak Hanshew
Betting Analyst

Cade Cunningham’s absence bodes well for Duren’s statistical output. In 55 games played with Cunningham this season, Duren has averaged 29.2 points+rebounds in 27.7 minutes. In 11 games without him, Duren’s averaged jump to 35.1 points+rebounds and 31.1 minutes. Duren has posted at least 35 points+rebounds in seven of 11 games played without Cunningham.

With Joel Embiid still banged up, Duren could feast against Andre Drummond and Adem Bona down low. I’ll bank on another big game from Detroit’s go-to option tonight.

Spread
Detroit Pistons logo DET -4.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Despite being without Cade Cunningham since March 17, Detroit hasn’t missed a beat, going 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS over its last 10 games. With four straight wins over Philly, take the Pistons to cover on the road.

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Toronto Raptors logo TOR @ Boston Celtics logo BOS Sun, Apr 5 • 3:30 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Spread
Boston Celtics logo BOS -9.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Boston is 9-1 straight up against Toronto in its last 10, including covering the spread in two of the last three head-to-head matchups. With Immanuel Quickley listed out for Toronto and the Raptors just 5-5 over their last 10, back the Celtics to prevail by double-digits. 

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