NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game May 16, 2026

Cleveland Cavaliers logo CLE @ Detroit Pistons logo DET Sun, May 17 • 8:00 PM ET
3 Expert Picks
Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists
Jalen Duren logo Jalen Duren o21.5 Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Zak Hanshew image
Zak Hanshew
Betting Analyst

Who doesn’t love a good redemption story? After getting benched for the entire fourth quarter and overtime of Detroit’s narrow Game 5 loss, Jalen Duren responded with 15 points and 11 rebounds in Game 6.

Cleveland’s interior defense has been exploitable on the road in these playoffs. The Cavs have the second-lowest defensive rebound percentage (63.5), and they’ve surrendered the fifth-most points in the paint (48.7) and sixth-most second-chance points.

Among players with at least 30 minutes per game this postseason, Duren ranks fourth in offensive rebounds (3.7) and second in offensive rebound percentage (12.4).

4 LEG PARLAY
Paul Reed profile picture
Paul Reed o13.5 Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists
Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists
Duncan Robinson profile picture
Duncan Robinson o1.5 3-Pointers Made
3-Pointers Made
DJ
Daniss Jenkins o1.5 3-Pointers Made
3-Pointers Made
Ausar Thompson profile picture
Ausar Thompson o2.5 Steals and Blocks
Steals and Blocks
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Pick made: 4 hours ago
Zak Hanshew image
Zak Hanshew
Betting Analyst

Detroit’s role players stepped up in Games 5 and 6. The Pistons have been more efficient from downtown (37.4%) at home than on the road, and the team has piled up more rebounds and steals there.

“B-ball” Paul Reed has gone Over his number in four straight. Duncan Robinson has hit multiple triples in 10 of 12 games this postseason and all six home appearances, and Daniss Jenkins has done the same in three of his last four at Little Caesars Arena.

Ausar Thompson has racked up four blocks and steals per game this postseason, reaching 3+ nine times.

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