Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game Nov. 14, 2026
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
122.65 |
-12.5 -108 
|
o234.5 -115 
|
-649 
|
|
111.29 |
+12.5 -105 
|
u235.5 -108 
|
+500
|
Denver
New Orleans
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
115.44 |
-4.5 -105
|
o227.5 -110
|
-177
|
|
117.42 |
+4.5 -106
|
u229.5 -117
|
+170
|
Dallas
Cleveland
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
117.03 |
-2.5 -135 
|
o228.5 -110
|
-165
|
|
110.79 |
+2.5 +105
|
u229.5 -110
|
+150 
|
Detroit
Miami
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
111.54 |
+15.5 -108
|
o234.5 -105
|
+750
|
|
124.68 |
-15.5 -108
|
u235.0 -110 
|
-950
|
Chicago
Minnesota
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
112.48 |
+2.5 -105
|
o227.5 -115
|
+130
|
|
116.31 |
-2.5 -110
|
u228.5 -110
|
-145
|
Brooklyn
Memphis
DEN
@
NO
Sat, Nov 14 • 7:00 PM ET
Jeremiah Fears u18.5 Points Scored (-125)
Play up to 62%.
With Dejounte Murray reportedly demanding a trade, the keys to the ignition are now firmly in the hands of sophomore guard Jeremiah Fears moving forward.
That doesn't mean there won't be growing pains, though. Fears has gone Under Saturday's points prop of 18.5 points in three-straight games, shooting just 41% from the field during that span.
Nikola Jokic u1.5 3-Pointers Made (-130)
Play up to 65%.
This feels like one of those nights where heavy usage from Nikola Jokic won't be required to fend off such feeble competition.
The three-time league Most Valuable Player didn't even attempt a single 3-pointer in New Orleans earlier in the season, and has only converted multiple triples in one of his six appearances since.
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DAL
@
CLE
Sat, Nov 14 • 7:30 PM ET
Peyton Watson o1.5 3-Pointers Made (+118)
Watson attempted five threes against Miami, and Dallas allows opposing forwards to make 4.7 threes per game. Cleveland's depleted frontcourt should provide Watson with opportunities to convert multiple perimeter looks tonight.
Cooper Flagg o1.5 3-Pointers Made (+108)
Flagg has made multiple threes in five of his last 10 games. Cleveland's vulnerable perimeter defense and difficult back-to-back create opportunities for the Mavericks rookie to find open looks tonight.
DET
@
MIA
Sat, Nov 14 • 8:00 PM ET
Davion Mitchell o2.5 Total Rebounds (+125)
Play up to 51%.
Rebounds aren't the first number that comes to mind when thinking about Mitchell, with his 16.9 points and 9.2 assists both career highs through 12 appearances.
All he'll need to grab is three on Saturday, though, which he's done in each of the last three games, with exactly five in each of his last two appearances.
Ausar Thompson u9.5 Points Scored (-106)
Play up to 55%.
This scoring prop for Ausar Thompson feels a touch inflated, likely due to the season-high 17 points he just posted on Thursday, albeit in a game that had two overtimes.
He had four points on five shot attempts in just 19 minutes during Detroit's 128-111 win over the Heat several weeks ago. Tired or not, both Adebayo and Antetokounmpo will still be hovering around the rim tonight, and Thompson isn't going to bring them away from the net, having not made a 3-pointer all season.
CHI
@
MIN
Sat, Nov 14 • 8:00 PM ET
LaMelo Ball o3.5 3-Pointers Made (-108)
Play to 58%. LaMelo Ball is shooting an impressive 40.6% from deep this season, averaging 3.6 makes on 8.8 attempts. He's cleared this line in four of his last five games, while Chicago is allowing opponents to shoot 37.5% from three. With 10 attempts in consecutive outings, I'm backing Ball's volume.
Matas Buzelis o2.5 3-Pointers Made (+140)
Matas Buzelis has found his shooting touch lately, draining three triples on seven attempts in three consecutive games. He's shooting nearly 36% from deep in November, and his increased volume is encouraging.
BK
@
MEM
Sat, Nov 14 • 8:00 PM ET
DAL
@
BOS
Sun, Nov 15 • 6:00 PM ET
BOS (-579)
I'll take the Celtics at 82%, as I price Boston closer to an 88% favorite. This roster is built to contain a player like Cooper Flagg, with multiple switchable wing defenders to make his life difficult and Mitchell Robinson and Neemias Queta providing additional rim protection.
ATL
@
MIL
Sun, Nov 15 • 8:00 PM ET
MIL (+234)
I price the Bucks closer to a 31% underdog, making Atlanta at 75% a clear negative-EV play. Milwaukee is now 1-12 and becoming increasingly difficult to back, but I'll stick with the numbers and take them at 26%. Backing Atlanta at that price is the type of negative-EV trade that can do serious damage to your transparency report over the long run.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
The table above displays our sports betting computer’s picks based on the last 100 NBA games played. It gives basketball bettors a data-backed look into which games and NBA odds could hold some hidden value.
It can be tricky to nail down the “perfect” bet, but our expert predictions will teach you how to bet on basketball matchups with confidence.
Following the computer picks blindly is not a surefire way to make gains when betting on NBA action. If anything, it's merely a guide to place bettors in the best position possible to achieve success, whether you're betting the moneyline, spread, or OVER/UNDER.
We use statistical analysis and machine-learning projections to make our selections, but don't forget to do your own research to find the best value!
Betting the moneyline in the NBA means you're picking the winner of the game, no strings attached. If the team you bet on emerges victorious, then so do you.
| Team | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers | -120 |
| Golden State Warriors | +150 |
In this example, the Los Angeles Lakers are the favorites to win the game as their moneyline odds have a minus sign (-) in front of the number. The favorites will have the minus sign present, and the underdogs will have a plus sign (+).
Betting $100 on the Lakers would pay you $180, your original $100 bet, plus $80 in winnings. If you bet $100 on the Warriors, since oddsmakers believe they're less likely to win this game, the payout would be $250, with a profit of $150.
Betting the spread in the NBA provides more wiggle room to bettors for games that may appear one-sided on paper. Rather than simply picking the winner like you would with the moneyline, you can instead pick the point differential to give underdogs more of a fighting chance with your wagers.
| Team | Spread |
|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers | -4.5 (-110) |
| Golden State Warriors | +4.5 (-110) |
In this example, the Lakers are favored to not only win the game against the Warriors, but to do so by at least 4.5 points. As a gentle reminder, the minus sign (-) determines the favorite for the game in question.
Should the Lakers win by five points, that would mean Los Angeles "covered the spread," resulting in a win for those who bet in their favor. However, if the Lakers won by four points, that would mean the Warriors "covered the spread" instead.
The -110 betting line enclosed in parentheses is fairly common for spread bets. That is the number bettors would follow to determine potential gains and losses, just like the moneyline. Odds are usually equal on both sides of the line, but can range from -105 to -120 (or more) in either direction.
An Over/Under bet in the NBA has nothing to do with which team wins the game. Instead, all that matters is the total combined score for that game and whether it exceeds a preset number established by oddsmakers.
| Team | Total |
|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers | O 240.5 (-110) |
| Golden State Warriors | U 240.5 (-110) |
In this example, oddsmakers have set the total score for the Lakers and Warriors at 240.5 points.
As a bettor, you can select the Over if you believe the two teams will combine to score more than 240.5 points, 241 or more, or bet the Under if they'll score fewer than 240.5 points, 240 or fewer.
If the set number was a whole number like 240 points, for example, and the two teams combined to score exactly that amount, then the result would be a push and you'd get your money back on the wager.
Our moneyline picks, point spread predictions, and Over/Under estimates are solid tools to start betting with. Don't glance over other tools, though, especially NBA analytics. You can find a collection of resources below, ranging from databases to NBA betting tips; browse through them and find the best value on every NBA betting site.
Covers NBA picks generally release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
Covers provides free NBA picks covering many markets, including point spreads, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
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