Philadelphia @ Dallas Picks & Props
PHI vs DAL Picks
NBA Picks
We could break down the matchup against the Mavericks and point to several reasons to like the Over on VJ Edgecombe’s points prop, but this really comes down to one thing: his role with the 76ers isn’t being priced correctly by the market. Edgecombe is a starter whose minutes can push into the high 30s, and you really only need low 30s to create a strong edge on Over 14.5 points. He doesn’t need plays run for him — he scores off the gravity of Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey, which has already led to multiple 20+ shot-attempt games recently. I price the Over 14.5 much closer to -170, making this my favorite prop on the board for New Year’s Day.
Flagg is averaging 6.4 rebounds per game this season, but the Over 6.5 is worth a bet a plus money. Philadelphia is a bad shooting team, ranking 27th in eFG% and is sub-par on the glass, ranking 17th in rebounding rate. That should mean plenty of boards up for grabs for the Mavs standout rookie.
Tyrese Maxey has cashed the Over in points in five of his last seven games, and he also dropped 38 on the Mavericks on December 20. He should dominate again.
PHI vs DAL Consensus Picks
50% picking Philadelphia
Total Picks PHI 313, DAL 307
65% picking Philadelphia vs Dallas to go Over
Total PicksPHI 289, DAL 154
PHI vs DAL Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
Paul George
(PF)
o12.5 Points Scored
17.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.6
DIFFERENCE
28.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Max Christie
(SG)
u13.5 Points Scored
9.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.8
DIFFERENCE
26.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
P.J. Washington
(PF)
o12.5 Points Scored
14.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.0
DIFFERENCE
21.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Brandon Williams
(PG)
o11.5 Points Scored
13.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.4
DIFFERENCE
19.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Quentin Grimes
(SG)
o9.5 Points Scored
11.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
19.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Joel Embiid
(C)
u28.5 Points Scored
26.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.1
DIFFERENCE
18.47%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Cooper Flagg
(SF)
o18.5 Points Scored
20.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.7
DIFFERENCE
13.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Anthony Davis
(PF)
o20.5 Points Scored
21.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.85%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
VJ Edgecombe
(SG)
o15.5 Points Scored
16.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
1.76%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Tyrese Maxey
(PG)
o26.5 Points Scored
26.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-7.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Paul George
(PF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
6.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
23.39%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Cooper Flagg
(SF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
6.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
17.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Joel Embiid
(C)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
8.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.7
DIFFERENCE
17.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
VJ Edgecombe
(SG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
16.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Tyrese Maxey
(PG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
14.79%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Quentin Grimes
(SG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
14.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
P.J. Washington
(PF)
u7.5 Total Rebounds
7.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
10.76%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Anthony Davis
(PF)
o10.5 Total Rebounds
11.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
5.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Max Christie
(SG)
u3.5 Total Rebounds
3.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
0.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Brandon Williams
(PG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-4.35%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
VJ Edgecombe
(SG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
1.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Tyrese Maxey
(PG)
u3.5 3-Pointers Made
3.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
21.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Max Christie
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
19.73%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Anthony Davis
(PF)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
15.45%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
P.J. Washington
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
14.72%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Paul George
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
14.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Cooper Flagg
(SF)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
1.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
10.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Quentin Grimes
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
0.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Joel Embiid
(C)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.32%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Tyrese Maxey
(PG)
u9.5 Total Assists
6.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.1
DIFFERENCE
26.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Quentin Grimes
(SG)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
16.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Cooper Flagg
(SF)
o3.5 Total Assists
4.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
11.31%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Joel Embiid
(C)
u4.5 Total Assists
3.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
11.18%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Paul George
(PF)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
10.07%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Anthony Davis
(PF)
u3.5 Total Assists
3.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
P.J. Washington
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
6.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
VJ Edgecombe
(SG)
o3.5 Total Assists
3.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
5.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Brandon Williams
(PG)
u4.5 Total Assists
4.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-2.99%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
PHI vs DAL Trends
PHI vs DAL Top User Picks
Philadelphia Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerrybook | 6-4-0 | +8950 |
| 2 | april420 | 6-4-0 | +8650 |
| 3 | MP2056 | 5-5-0 | +7950 |
| 4 | elmer58 | 5-5-0 | +7600 |
| 5 | time2time | 6-4-0 | +7400 |
| 6 | baberoxy17 | 6-4-0 | +7350 |
| 7 | Abbyllar | 3-7-0 | +7350 |
| 8 | bauer2015 | 6-4-0 | +6900 |
| 9 | Cheezer69 | 8-2-0 | +6400 |
| 10 | tvman | 9-1-0 | +6350 |
| All 76ers Money Leaders | |||
Dallas Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hoosier | 6-4-0 | +17800 |
| 2 | TheTotalMan | 9-1-0 | +9250 |
| 3 | rhythmpants | 8-2-0 | +9000 |
| 4 | pastorhollywood | 9-1-0 | +8570 |
| 5 | tmd122567 | 7-3-0 | +8250 |
| 6 | hallwl | 7-3-0 | +7260 |
| 7 | fsu93 | 8-2-0 | +7150 |
| 8 | checkers | 6-4-0 | +6600 |
| 9 | glen2003 | 6-4-0 | +6350 |
| 10 | cashbb1030 | 5-5-0 | +6200 |
| All Mavericks Money Leaders | |||