Golden State
8th West29-26
Toronto
5th East32-23
Golden State @ Toronto Picks & Props
GS vs TOR Picks
NBA Picks
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst
Mamukelashvili has finished with double-digit points in five of his last six outings, and he’s knocked down 18 of his 35 3-pointers in that span. With Poeltl ruled out again for today’s matchup with the Golden State Warriors, I expect Mamu to give Darko Rajakovic quality minutes with the starting group.
He’s gone past this combo O/U line in three of his past five contests, and he’ll be a handful here for Golden State’s creaky frontcourt.
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Points Scored
QP
Quinten Post u14.5 Points Scored (-110)
Projection 6.4 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Warriors have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year.. The 10th-most lethargic tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.. The Raptors have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Raptors have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.. The Warriors have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Toronto Raptors.. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Toronto Raptors grade out 8thworst in in the league playing at home with only 10.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.. This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 15.6 shot attempts per game (most in the league) against the Raptors, resulting in a positive matchup.. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With respect to 3-pointers, the Toronto Raptors's stellar 37.8% rate of converted threes while playing at home comes in as the 5th-most in the NBA over the last 15 games.. The matchup vs. Golden State is a good one; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (24.4).. The matchup vs. Golden State is a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 7.1 free throws per game this year when the Golden State Warriors are on the road (most in the league).
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Warriors have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year.. Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have logged 17.1 points per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Raptors, marking this as a difficult matchup for offensive production.. The 10th-most lethargic tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.. The Raptors have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Golden State Warriors.. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, finding it difficult to draw fouls.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The 10th-most lethargic tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.. The Raptors have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Raptors have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.. The Warriors have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Toronto Raptors.. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Toronto Raptors grade out 8thworst in in the league playing at home with only 10.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
3-Pointers Made
QP
Quinten Post u3.5 3-Pointers Made (-145)
Projection 1.19 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The 10th-most lethargic tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.. The Raptors have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Raptors have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.. The Warriors have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Toronto Raptors.. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Toronto Raptors grade out 8thworst in in the league playing at home with only 10.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
GS vs TOR Consensus Picks
47% picking Golden State
Total Picks GS 262, TOR 294
44% picking Golden State vs Toronto to go Under
Total PicksGS 210, TOR 162
GS vs TOR Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
QP
Quinten Post
(C)
u14.5 Points Scored
6.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-8.1
DIFFERENCE
30.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Ochai Agbaji
(SG)
u11.5 Points Scored
5.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-6.5
DIFFERENCE
29.98%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Moses Moody
(SG)
o9.5 Points Scored
12.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.6
DIFFERENCE
25.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Immanuel Quickley
(PG)
o13.5 Points Scored
16.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.3
DIFFERENCE
24.16%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Stephen Curry
(PG)
u28.5 Points Scored
26.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.5
DIFFERENCE
21.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
u21.5 Points Scored
19.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
17.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
u6.5 Points Scored
5.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
13.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Draymond Green
(PF)
o7.5 Points Scored
8.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
5.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Brandin Podziemski
(SG)
o11.5 Points Scored
12.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
1.76%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
o17.5 Points Scored
18.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-1.48%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
o11.5 Points Scored
11.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.35%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
RJ Barrett
(SF)
o13.5 Points Scored
14.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Moses Moody
(SG)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
3.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
26.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
u10.5 Total Rebounds
8.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.0
DIFFERENCE
23.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Immanuel Quickley
(PG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
21.41%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
QP
Quinten Post
(C)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
3.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
15.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
RJ Barrett
(SF)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
4.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
14.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
5.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
13.19%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Draymond Green
(PF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
6.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
5.35%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
7.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
2.31%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Brandin Podziemski
(SG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-3.35%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Ochai Agbaji
(SG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
2.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
o1.5 Total Rebounds
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-7.06%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Stephen Curry
(PG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-13.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
QP
Quinten Post
(C)
u3.5 3-Pointers Made
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.3
DIFFERENCE
27.73%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Immanuel Quickley
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
11.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Draymond Green
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-0.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Moses Moody
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Stephen Curry
(PG)
u4.5 3-Pointers Made
4.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-4.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Brandin Podziemski
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.72%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
RJ Barrett
(SF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.38%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-8.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-12.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
u7.5 Total Assists
5.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.4
DIFFERENCE
30.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
o3.5 Total Assists
4.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
19.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Draymond Green
(PF)
u5.5 Total Assists
4.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
11.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Immanuel Quickley
(PG)
o5.5 Total Assists
5.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
9.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
u4.5 Total Assists
4.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
9.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
QP
Quinten Post
(C)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
4.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Moses Moody
(SG)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
RJ Barrett
(SF)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
2.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Brandin Podziemski
(SG)
u3.5 Total Assists
3.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Ochai Agbaji
(SG)
o0.5 Total Assists
0.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-6.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Stephen Curry
(PG)
o4.5 Total Assists
4.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-8.07%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
POINTS SCORED
QP
Quinten Post
(C)
u14.5 Points Scored
6.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-8.1
DIFFERENCE
30.82%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Ochai Agbaji
(SG)
u11.5 Points Scored
5.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-6.5
DIFFERENCE
29.98%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Moses Moody
(SG)
o9.5 Points Scored
12.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.6
DIFFERENCE
25.08%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Immanuel Quickley
(PG)
o13.5 Points Scored
16.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.3
DIFFERENCE
24.16%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Stephen Curry
(PG)
u28.5 Points Scored
26.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.5
DIFFERENCE
21.03%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
u21.5 Points Scored
19.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
17.71%
EV
POINTS SCORED
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
u6.5 Points Scored
5.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
13.12%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Draymond Green
(PF)
o7.5 Points Scored
8.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
5.94%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Brandin Podziemski
(SG)
o11.5 Points Scored
12.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
1.76%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
o17.5 Points Scored
18.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-1.48%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
o11.5 Points Scored
11.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.35%
EV
POINTS SCORED
RJ Barrett
(SF)
o13.5 Points Scored
14.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.96%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Moses Moody
(SG)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
3.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
26.94%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
u10.5 Total Rebounds
8.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.0
DIFFERENCE
23.29%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Immanuel Quickley
(PG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
21.41%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
QP
Quinten Post
(C)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
3.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
15.21%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
RJ Barrett
(SF)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
4.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
14.23%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
5.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
13.19%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Draymond Green
(PF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
6.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
5.35%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
7.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
2.31%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Brandin Podziemski
(SG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-3.35%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Ochai Agbaji
(SG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
2.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.59%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
o1.5 Total Rebounds
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-7.06%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Stephen Curry
(PG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-13.23%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
QP
Quinten Post
(C)
u3.5 3-Pointers Made
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.3
DIFFERENCE
27.73%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Immanuel Quickley
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
11.61%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.6%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Draymond Green
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-0.43%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Moses Moody
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.97%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Stephen Curry
(PG)
u4.5 3-Pointers Made
4.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-4.2%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Brandin Podziemski
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.72%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
RJ Barrett
(SF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.38%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-8.9%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-12.17%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
u7.5 Total Assists
5.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.4
DIFFERENCE
30.14%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
o3.5 Total Assists
4.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
19.88%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Draymond Green
(PF)
u5.5 Total Assists
4.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
11.49%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Immanuel Quickley
(PG)
o5.5 Total Assists
5.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
9.5%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
u4.5 Total Assists
4.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
9.14%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
QP
Quinten Post
(C)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
4.17%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Moses Moody
(SG)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.77%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
RJ Barrett
(SF)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
2.97%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.57%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Brandin Podziemski
(SG)
u3.5 Total Assists
3.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.84%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Ochai Agbaji
(SG)
o0.5 Total Assists
0.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-6.23%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Stephen Curry
(PG)
o4.5 Total Assists
4.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-8.07%
EV
GS vs TOR Trends
Over
Under
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GS vs TOR Top User Picks
Golden State Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Warriors Money Leaders | |||
Toronto Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | mjpalli | 7-3-0 | +11150 |
| 2 | witt297 | 6-4-0 | +8800 |
| 3 | lusvegasluva | 7-3-0 | +8200 |
| 4 | All_in_on_RU | 6-4-0 | +6800 |
| 5 | CHEOAPONTE | 7-3-0 | +6750 |
| 6 | Rebelair90 | 6-4-0 | +6600 |
| 7 | rinv49 | 4-6-0 | +6330 |
| 8 | dr tony | 8-2-0 | +6200 |
| 9 | bauer2015 | 4-6-0 | +6000 |
| 10 | kayg | 5-5-0 | +6000 |
| All Raptors Money Leaders | |||