NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 3, 2026

WAS @

ORL Tue, Mar 3 • 7:00 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Total Assists

Jalen Suggs u5.5 Total Assists (+105)

Projection 4.64 (Under)

Best Odds

u6.5 -155

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u6.5 -155

u5.5 +105

u5.5 +116

u5.5 +109

The 4th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Magic.. The Orlando Magic have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

-155 at DraftKings

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DAL @

CHA Tue, Mar 3 • 7:00 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Points Scored

Brandon Williams u16.5 Points Scored (-110)

Projection 13.57 (Under)

Best Odds

u16.5 -110

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u16.5 -110

u16.5 -112

u16.5 -110

u16.5 -112

The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a difficult one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.3).. The Mavericks are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from facing the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Hornets).. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 5thworst in in the league while on the road with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.. The matchup against the Hornets is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game this year (3rd-least in the NBA).

-110 at DraftKings

Points Scored

Max Christie u14.5 Points Scored (-103)

Projection 12.65 (Under)

Best Odds

u15.5 -130

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u14.5 -103

u14.5 -105

u15.5 -130

u14.5 +100

The Mavericks are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from facing the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Hornets).. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 5thworst in in the league while on the road with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

-130 at FanDuel

View 3 Picks

DET @

CLE Tue, Mar 3 • 7:00 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 2 Computer Picks

Total

u227.5 (-115)

Best Odds

u227.5 -115

Pick made: an hour ago

u226.5 -108

u226.5 -110

u226.5 -106

u227.5 -115

u226.5 -110

Cleveland will lean on its own elite defense to compete. These head-to-head battles usually turn into low-scoring wars, which is why the Under is the play tonight.

Points Scored

Jaylon Tyson u13.5 Points Scored (-112)

Projection 11.66 (Under)

Best Odds

u13.5 -112

Pick made: 7 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u13.5 -112

u12.5 -112

u13.5 -114

u13.5 -118

View 3 Picks

BK @

MIA Tue, Mar 3 • 7:30 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Points Scored

Michael Porter Jr. u23.5 Points Scored (-120)

Projection 21.25 (Under)

Best Odds

u23.5 -120

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u22.5 -103

u23.5 -120

u23.5 -128

u23.5 -121

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nets.. The Nets rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

-120 at bet365

Total Rebounds

Nic Claxton o6.5 Total Rebounds (+116)

Projection 7.49 (Over)

Best Odds

o6.5 +116

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o6.5 +109

o6.5 +105

o6.5 +116

o6.5 -105

The Heat have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should boost plays for the Brooklyn Nets.

+116 at FanDuel

View 3 Picks

NY @

TOR Tue, Mar 3 • 7:30 PM ET

1 Expert Pick

MoneyLine

NY (-126)

Best Odds

-140

Pick made: 8 hours ago

-148

-140

-142

-145

-150

The New York Knicks have beaten the Raptors in all three meetings so far this season, and this one will end the same way. The Knicks have too much depth and scoring punch for the Raptors to overcome. They are playing some good basketball right now, winning four of their last five games. Take the team that feels like a true contender in this spot.

View Pick

MEM @

MIN Tue, Mar 3 • 8:00 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Points Scored

Anthony Edwards u30.5 Points Scored (-110)

Projection 27.91 (Under)

Best Odds

u30.5 -110

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u30.5 -119

u30.5 -110

u30.5 -118

This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 4.3 buckets per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, marking this as a hard matchup.. The Timberwolves check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

-110 at bet365

Points Scored

Ty Jerome u17.5 Points Scored (-112)

Projection 15.72 (Under)

Best Odds

u17.5 -112

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u17.5 -122

u17.5 -112

u17.5 -130

u17.5 -124

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the lowest FG% in the NBA this year (39.8%).. The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).. Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, struggling to get to the foul line.

-112 at bet365

View 3 Picks

SA @

PHI Tue, Mar 3 • 8:00 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 8 Computer Picks

Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists

Luke Kornet o11.5 Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-120)

Best Odds

o11.5 -125

Pick made: 7 hours ago

o11.5 -125

The Philadelphia 76ers’ interior defense will be exposed again with Joel Embiid on the sideline. The team’s defensive rating without Embiid is a dreadful 117.1 this season. Philly surrendered 114 points, 59 total rebounds and a whopping 19 offensive boards in Sunday’s blowout loss to the Boston Celtics.

Kornet is averaging a career-best 15.5 PRA, and he’s gone for 12+ in 38 of 50 games overall, including six of his last nine. This line is wildly mispriced, and Kornet could see additional run if San Antonio runs away with the game in this favorable matchup.

Points Scored

Andre Drummond o7.5 Points Scored (+103)

Projection 9.63 (Over)

Best Odds

o6.5 -136

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o7.5 +103

o7.5 -110

o6.5 -136

o7.5 -103

The 76ers will likely get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 9th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Spurs).. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 9th-best in in the league when playing at home with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

-136 at FanDuel

View 9 Picks

OKC @

CHI Tue, Mar 3 • 8:00 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 6 Computer Picks

Spread

OKC -10.5 (-105)

Best Odds

-10.5 -105

Pick made: an hour ago

-10.5 -105

-10.5 -110

-10.5 -105

OKC boasts the league’s No. 1 Defensive Rating and covers 57% of their road games. Facing a "tanking" Bulls “G-League” roster, the Thunder’s elite defensive efficiency and transition offense should pull away for a double-digit cover.

Points Scored

Chet Holmgren o18.5 Points Scored (-125)

Projection 21.93 (Over)

Best Odds

o18.5 -124

Pick made: 38 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o18.5 -124

o18.5 -125

o18.5 -129

The Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.. The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Bulls).. The matchup against the Chicago Bulls may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.9 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the league).

-124 at DraftKings

View 7 Picks

NO @

LAL Tue, Mar 3 • 10:30 PM ET

7 Computer Picks

Points Scored

Deandre Ayton o8.5 Points Scored (-130)

Projection 10.99 (Over)

Best Odds

o8.5 -130

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o9.5 -103

o8.5 -130

o9.5 +102

o9.5 -121

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games as the home team.. The Lakers are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

-130 at bet365

Points Scored

Austin Reaves o18.5 Points Scored (+100)

Projection 20.49 (Over)

Best Odds

o18.5 +100

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o18.5 -123

o18.5 +100

o18.5 -132

o18.5 -127

In comparison to last season's 20.0 rate, Austin Reaves's points per game have risen this season to 24.1.. The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games as the home team.. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Pelicans, identifying this as a strong matchup.. The Lakers are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

+100 at bet365

View 7 Picks

PHO @

SAC Tue, Mar 3 • 11:00 PM ET

4 Computer Picks

Points Scored

DeMar DeRozan o11.5 Points Scored (-125)

Projection 14.24 (Over)

Best Odds

o11.5 -125

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o12.5 -106

o11.5 -125

o12.5 -110

The matchup against Phoenix is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have put up the 8th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (41.1%).. The 10th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.. The Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

-125 at bet365

Points Scored

Mark Williams o9.5 Points Scored (+100)

Projection 10.9 (Over)

Best Odds

o9.5 +100

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o9.5 -124

o9.5 +100

o9.5 -122

o9.5 -145

The Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 10th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).. The Suns check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

+100 at bet365

View 4 Picks

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