Indiana @ Denver Picks & Props
IND vs DEN Picks
NBA Picks
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst
Jokic leads the NBA with 11.6 apg, and he’s cashed this prop in six of his eight outings this season. Surrounded by capable 3-point shooters, he’s perfectly placed to pull the strings, and the Nuggets have reached the 120-point mark in seven of their eight games. The Joker racked up 32 assists in his two matchups against the Pacers last season, and I expect another eye-popping total tonight at Ball Arena, particularly if Denver is red hot from beyond the arc.
Spread
Zak Hanshew
Betting Analyst
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 10th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.. The matchup vs. the Pacers may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.5 free throws per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the NBA).
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Pacers have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.. The Nuggets have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Pacers.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Nuggets.. The Nuggets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Nuggets.. The Nuggets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Nuggets.. The Nuggets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Pacers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
IND vs DEN Consensus Picks
66% picking Denver
Total Picks IND 237, DEN 461
Spread
IND
DEN
45% picking Indiana vs Denver to go Under
Total PicksIND 253, DEN 203
Total
Over
Under
IND vs DEN Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
Jalen Pickett
(SG)
u10.5 Points Scored
6.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.9
DIFFERENCE
27.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Ben Sheppard
(SG)
u7.5 Points Scored
6.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
20.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Isaiah Jackson
(C)
u11.5 Points Scored
9.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
17.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Cameron Johnson
(PF)
o12.5 Points Scored
14.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.7
DIFFERENCE
15.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Peyton Watson
(SF)
o9.5 Points Scored
10.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Aaron Nesmith
(SF)
o15.5 Points Scored
16.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.4
DIFFERENCE
14.52%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Christian Braun
(SG)
o14.5 Points Scored
16.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
14.47%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Jarace Walker
(PF)
o12.5 Points Scored
13.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
9.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Bruce Brown
(PG)
u10.5 Points Scored
10.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.18%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Jonas Valanciunas
(C)
o8.5 Points Scored
8.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Pascal Siakam
(PF)
u24.5 Points Scored
24.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.45%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Nikola Jokic
(C)
u28.5 Points Scored
28.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Peyton Watson
(SF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
23.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Christian Braun
(SG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
20.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jonas Valanciunas
(C)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
7.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
20.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Pascal Siakam
(PF)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
8.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
18.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Nikola Jokic
(C)
o13.5 Total Rebounds
14.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
14.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Aaron Nesmith
(SF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
13.27%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Ben Sheppard
(SG)
u3.5 Total Rebounds
3.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
9.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jarace Walker
(PF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
6.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
8.99%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Bruce Brown
(PG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
5.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Cameron Johnson
(PF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
3.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Isaiah Jackson
(C)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
6.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-3.99%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Aaron Nesmith
(SF)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
15.7%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Ben Sheppard
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
8.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Jalen Pickett
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
4.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Jarace Walker
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
3.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Bruce Brown
(PG)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Nikola Jokic
(C)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Cameron Johnson
(PF)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Peyton Watson
(SF)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-6.48%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Pascal Siakam
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Christian Braun
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.83%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Nikola Jokic
(C)
u11.5 Total Assists
9.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.2
DIFFERENCE
22.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jarace Walker
(PF)
o3.5 Total Assists
4.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
17.35%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Pascal Siakam
(PF)
o4.5 Total Assists
5.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
11.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Bruce Brown
(PG)
u2.5 Total Assists
2.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
10.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Peyton Watson
(SF)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-12.34%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Christian Braun
(SG)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-12.7%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jalen Pickett
(SG)
o3.5 Total Assists
3.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Ben Sheppard
(SG)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jonas Valanciunas
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.5 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
POINTS SCORED
Jalen Pickett
(SG)
u10.5 Points Scored
6.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.9
DIFFERENCE
27.12%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Ben Sheppard
(SG)
u7.5 Points Scored
6.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
20.12%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Isaiah Jackson
(C)
u11.5 Points Scored
9.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
17.84%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Cameron Johnson
(PF)
o12.5 Points Scored
14.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.7
DIFFERENCE
15.81%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Peyton Watson
(SF)
o9.5 Points Scored
10.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
15%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Aaron Nesmith
(SF)
o15.5 Points Scored
16.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.4
DIFFERENCE
14.52%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Christian Braun
(SG)
o14.5 Points Scored
16.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
14.47%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Jarace Walker
(PF)
o12.5 Points Scored
13.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
9.84%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Bruce Brown
(PG)
u10.5 Points Scored
10.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.18%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Jonas Valanciunas
(C)
o8.5 Points Scored
8.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.22%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Pascal Siakam
(PF)
u24.5 Points Scored
24.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.45%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Nikola Jokic
(C)
u28.5 Points Scored
28.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.71%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Peyton Watson
(SF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
23.24%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Christian Braun
(SG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
20.15%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jonas Valanciunas
(C)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
7.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
20.11%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Pascal Siakam
(PF)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
8.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
18.91%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Nikola Jokic
(C)
o13.5 Total Rebounds
14.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
14.15%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Aaron Nesmith
(SF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
13.27%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Ben Sheppard
(SG)
u3.5 Total Rebounds
3.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
9.28%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jarace Walker
(PF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
6.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
8.99%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Bruce Brown
(PG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
5.01%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Cameron Johnson
(PF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
3.78%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Isaiah Jackson
(C)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
6.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-3.99%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Aaron Nesmith
(SF)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
15.7%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Ben Sheppard
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
8.29%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Jalen Pickett
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
4.36%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Jarace Walker
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
3.96%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Bruce Brown
(PG)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.81%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Nikola Jokic
(C)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.09%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Cameron Johnson
(PF)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.74%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Peyton Watson
(SF)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-6.48%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Pascal Siakam
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.23%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Christian Braun
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.83%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Nikola Jokic
(C)
u11.5 Total Assists
9.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.2
DIFFERENCE
22.08%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jarace Walker
(PF)
o3.5 Total Assists
4.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
17.35%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Pascal Siakam
(PF)
o4.5 Total Assists
5.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
11.53%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Bruce Brown
(PG)
u2.5 Total Assists
2.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
10.04%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Peyton Watson
(SF)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-12.34%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Christian Braun
(SG)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-12.7%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jalen Pickett
(SG)
o3.5 Total Assists
3.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Ben Sheppard
(SG)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jonas Valanciunas
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.5 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
IND vs DEN Trends
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IND vs DEN Top User Picks
Indiana Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | any007 | 5-5-0 | +11700 |
| 2 | whooped | 4-6-0 | +10150 |
| 3 | Cartrevic | 5-5-0 | +9900 |
| 4 | Rossi35 | 8-2-0 | +9700 |
| 5 | livelywee55 | 5-5-0 | +9400 |
| 6 | brandydump1 | 7-3-0 | +8900 |
| 7 | jakringle | 6-4-0 | +8700 |
| 8 | gutterrat69 | 4-6-0 | +8400 |
| 9 | stakay125 | 6-4-0 | +7500 |
| 10 | plastikman200 | 5-5-0 | +7350 |
| All Pacers Money Leaders | |||
Denver Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abbyllar | 8-2-0 | +13000 |
| 2 | ldcpicks | 5-5-0 | +12700 |
| 3 | aerison12 | 4-6-0 | +12550 |
| 4 | sniperpick | 5-5-0 | +11100 |
| 5 | Varart | 7-3-0 | +10950 |
| 6 | Badger66 | 6-4-0 | +10250 |
| 7 | CigarSt22 | 5-5-0 | +10010 |
| 8 | ASkinsFanInDixi | 4-6-0 | +9550 |
| 9 | vladislav1968 | 7-3-0 | +9400 |
| 10 | lisovik | 9-1-0 | +9400 |
| All Nuggets Money Leaders | |||