DAL +8.5 (-110)
The injuries for Dallas certainly aren’t good, but they’re not entirely new. The frontcourt has been banged up all year, with Dereck Lively now done for the season, but Anthony Davis and Cooper Flagg will at least be active for the Mavericks. Furthermore, it appears that Klay Thompson, Dwight Powell, and Max Christie will play, shoring up some depth on the wings and at forward, where several key players are out.
The Mavericks may be cooling off a bit as we finish the month of December, but their defense should do more than enough to support some inspired play on offense. This is a team that has had some bad fortune recently, but the quality of play has been there.
Cooper Flagg o19.5 Points Scored (-128)
Cooper Flagg’s points prop is priced at -128 for over 19.5 points, and while that number may seem high for the ookie, his recent box scores tell a different story. Flagg has logged 40+ minutes in three of his last six games and has attempted more than 20 field goals in three of those contests as well. This prop is closely tied to the presence of Anthony Davis on the floor. The Warriors’ undersized frontcourt will be forced to send help toward AD, putting their defense in rotation and opening up cleaner looks for Flagg. That environment plays directly into the shots Flagg is most comfortable taking. Given the setup, this prop feels mispriced and should be closer to -170.
Total PicksDAL 338, GS 211
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 8thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Mavericks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). When it comes to getting to the charity stripe, the Dallas Mavericks's terrific 26.0 free throw attempts per game measures as the 7th-best in the league this year.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The Warriors have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 8thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
In terms of shooting, the Golden State Warriors's poor 112.8 points per game places 8th-worst in the league over the last 25 games. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
The Mavericks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). When it comes to getting to the charity stripe, the Dallas Mavericks's terrific 26.0 free throw attempts per game measures as the 7th-best in the league this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.3 free throws per game over the last 5 games (6th-most in the league).
The matchup vs. Golden State is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Golden State Warriors are at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 2nd-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8). The Mavericks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). When it comes to getting to the charity stripe, the Dallas Mavericks's terrific 26.0 free throw attempts per game measures as the 7th-best in the league this year.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
In terms of shooting, the Golden State Warriors's poor 112.8 points per game places 8th-worst in the league over the last 25 games.
Klay Thompson has gone over 10.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Will Richard has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
Daniel Gafford has gone over 4.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
De'Anthony Melton has gone over 5.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
Al Horford has gone over 5.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.
Max Christie has gone over 4.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.
Dallas TrendsGolden State Trends| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hoosier | 9-1-0 | +12250 |
| 2 | cashbb1030 | 8-2-0 | +9000 |
| 3 | pskerry | 6-3-1 | +8150 |
| 4 | TheTotalMan | 9-1-0 | +7800 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 6-4-0 | +7450 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +6750 |
| 7 | uradonkey | 8-2-0 | +6700 |
| 8 | deweyay9 | 7-3-0 | +6700 |
| 9 | lewnyjune | 7-3-0 | +6500 |
| 10 | COFFEE29 | 6-4-0 | +6380 |
| All Mavericks Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Warriors Money Leaders | |||
