HOU 5.0 o205.5
GS -5.0 u205.5
Los Angeles 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43

Los Angeles @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Anthony Davis Points Scored Props • Dallas

A. Davis
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Under
-115

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, making it tough to draw fouls.

Anthony Davis

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, making it tough to draw fouls.

Dorian Finney-Smith Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Finney-Smith
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Dorian Finney-Smith has converted 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season without the home court advantage. Out of all players in the NBA, Dorian Finney-Smith slots into the 77th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 28.8 minutes per game this year. The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The 10th-quickest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Dorian Finney-Smith

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Dorian Finney-Smith has converted 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season without the home court advantage. Out of all players in the NBA, Dorian Finney-Smith slots into the 77th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 28.8 minutes per game this year. The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The 10th-quickest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
+110

Spencer Dinwiddie has posted 15.5 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.4 more than he's posted over the course of the year. Spencer Dinwiddie has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Spencer Dinwiddie has posted 15.5 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.4 more than he's posted over the course of the year. Spencer Dinwiddie has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has converted 74.6% of his field goal attempts playing at home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Dereck Lively II stands to see a spike in performance for all stats due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

Dereck Lively II has converted 74.6% of his field goal attempts playing at home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Dereck Lively II stands to see a spike in performance for all stats due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Jaxson Hayes Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

J. Hayes
center C • L.A. Lakers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Under
-129
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Under
-129
Projection Rating

Jaxson Hayes has made 0.0% of his attempts from downtown while on the road this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile among all players in the league. Jaxson Hayes has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The faceoff with Dereck Lively II places in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs converting just 0.4 3-pointers per game this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 3rdworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with just 9.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Jaxson Hayes will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

Jaxson Hayes

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.1

Jaxson Hayes has made 0.0% of his attempts from downtown while on the road this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile among all players in the league. Jaxson Hayes has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The faceoff with Dereck Lively II places in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs converting just 0.4 3-pointers per game this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 3rdworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with just 9.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Jaxson Hayes will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

Rui Hachimura Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

R. Hachimura
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-125

Rui Hachimura has successfully made 2.7 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's converted from three overall this season away from his home court. In comparison to last season's 26.9 rate, Rui Hachimura's playing time has surged this season to 31.5 minutes per game. The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a positive one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The 10th-quickest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

Rui Hachimura

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Rui Hachimura has successfully made 2.7 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's converted from three overall this season away from his home court. In comparison to last season's 26.9 rate, Rui Hachimura's playing time has surged this season to 31.5 minutes per game. The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a positive one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The 10th-quickest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. Doncic
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
31.5 Points Scored
Projection
29.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic has registered just 27.6 points per game this season, significantly less than his 32.7 points per game last season. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have tallied 4.6 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a hard matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 3rdworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with just 9.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league). Luka Doncic will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.1
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.1

Luka Doncic has registered just 27.6 points per game this season, significantly less than his 32.7 points per game last season. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have tallied 4.6 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a hard matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 3rdworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with just 9.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league). Luka Doncic will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
center C • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 95th percentile for field goal performance when playing at home with a great 63.7% rate this year. Daniel Gafford has played 26.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.5 more than he's played overall this year. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Out of all players in the league, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 95th percentile for field goal performance when playing at home with a great 63.7% rate this year. Daniel Gafford has played 26.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.5 more than he's played overall this year. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

P.J. Washington Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington Jr.
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-130

P.J. Washington has notched 19.4 points per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 5.6 more than he's notched over the course of the season at home. P.J. Washington has successfully made 2.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's converted over the course of the season while at home. P.J. Washington has averaged 31.7 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

P.J. Washington Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

P.J. Washington has notched 19.4 points per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 5.6 more than he's notched over the course of the season at home. P.J. Washington has successfully made 2.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's converted over the course of the season while at home. P.J. Washington has averaged 31.7 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

LeBron James Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. James
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

LeBron James has converted 9.2 shots made from the field per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. LeBron James has converted 58.2% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 22.7% more than he's made in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, LeBron James comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 35.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The 10th-quickest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

LeBron James

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.8

LeBron James has converted 9.2 shots made from the field per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. LeBron James has converted 58.2% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 22.7% more than he's made in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, LeBron James comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 35.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The 10th-quickest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

Austin Reaves Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Reaves
shooting guard SG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-125

Austin Reaves has logged 26.0 points per game over the last 15 games, 5.7 more than he's logged overall this season. Austin Reaves has sunk 4.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's converted over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Austin Reaves slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 34.9 minutes per game this year. The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.8 three-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a positive matchup.

Austin Reaves

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Austin Reaves has logged 26.0 points per game over the last 15 games, 5.7 more than he's logged overall this season. Austin Reaves has sunk 4.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's converted over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Austin Reaves slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 34.9 minutes per game this year. The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.8 three-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a positive matchup.

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-124

Naji Marshall has made 7.5 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 2.2 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Naji Marshall has averaged 34.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 7.2 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Naji Marshall has made 7.5 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 2.2 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Naji Marshall has averaged 34.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 7.2 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-118

Klay Thompson has attempted 10.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Klay Thompson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 8.2% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Klay Thompson has attempted 10.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Klay Thompson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 8.2% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

J. Vanderbilt
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.76
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-115
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
3.76
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-115

Jarred Vanderbilt has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jordan Goodwin Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

J. Goodwin
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.97
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-125
Under
-105
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
4.97
Best Odds
Over
-125
Under
-105

Jordan Goodwin has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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