Los Angeles @ Dallas picks

Dallas has been off since that Saturday contest with the Clips, giving Lively four days to strengthen that ankle. He’s no longer listed on the team’s injury report and he could see an increase in floor time tonight. Lively’s player prop of 4.5 rebounds sits on the side of caution, but projections set a very high ceiling for Lively. His forecast ranges from 5.6 rebounds to as many as 8.0, with my number coming in at 6.5 boards.

Someone is going to have to feed Luka the ball in his revenge return to Dallas tonight. That'll be Austin Reaves. Reaves is averaging just 5.4 assists since February after dishing out 6.1 per game before the trade. He’s topped five or more dimes in 10 of his last 16 games and had five assists when L.A. hosted Dallas back on February 26. Player projections for Reaves all sit above 4.5 assists, ranging from 5.2 to 6.1 helpers tonight. My forecast calls for 5.6 assists, which should have the Over 4.5 priced at -170. Instead, we can get EVEN money on this prop.