IND 8.0 o229.0
CLE -8.0 u229.0
GS 6.5 o210.5
MIN -6.5 u210.5
Minnesota 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Atlanta 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE40-42

Minnesota @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Zaccharie Risacher Points Scored Props • Atlanta

Z. Risacher
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Under
-112

Among all players in the NBA, Zaccharie Risacher slots into the 17th percentile for scoring efficiency with a subpar 38.1% rate this year. Out of all players in the league, Zaccharie Risacher slots into the 23rd percentile for 3-point ability with the home court advantage with a poor 25.4% rate this year. The Atlanta Hawks have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on field goals (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, identifying this as a challenging matchup. The Hawks will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Zaccharie Risacher

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Among all players in the NBA, Zaccharie Risacher slots into the 17th percentile for scoring efficiency with a subpar 38.1% rate this year. Out of all players in the league, Zaccharie Risacher slots into the 23rd percentile for 3-point ability with the home court advantage with a poor 25.4% rate this year. The Atlanta Hawks have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on field goals (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, identifying this as a challenging matchup. The Hawks will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves. Relative to last season's 72.3% mark, Naz Reid's foul-shot effectiveness has surged this season to 90.3%.

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves. Relative to last season's 72.3% mark, Naz Reid's foul-shot effectiveness has surged this season to 90.3%.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-104

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert lands in the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 33.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The number of threes attempted against Clint Capela has been very high (2.8 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert lands in the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 33.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The number of threes attempted against Clint Capela has been very high (2.8 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Hawks have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.6). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves. Mike Conley has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.4% higher than he's converted overall this season.

Mike Conley

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Hawks have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.6). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves. Mike Conley has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.4% higher than he's converted overall this season.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.1
Best Odds
Under
+100

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 4thworst in in the league away from their home court with a mere 9.2 offensive boards per game this year. In comparison to last season's 6.4 clip, Anthony Edwards's number of free throw attempts has regressed this season to 4.2 free throw attempts per game. Anthony Edwards will likely suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.1
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.1

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 4thworst in in the league away from their home court with a mere 9.2 offensive boards per game this year. In comparison to last season's 6.4 clip, Anthony Edwards's number of free throw attempts has regressed this season to 4.2 free throw attempts per game. Anthony Edwards will likely suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-112

Jaden McDaniels has converted 46.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 9.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing away from home. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels registers in the 76th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 30.2 minutes per game this year. In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 60.1% on 3-pointers (highest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, designating this as a positive matchup. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Jaden McDaniels has converted 46.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 9.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing away from home. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels registers in the 76th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 30.2 minutes per game this year. In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 60.1% on 3-pointers (highest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, designating this as a positive matchup. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Under
-105

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on field goals (worst in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, marking this as a hard matchup. The Hawks will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).

Trae Young

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.6
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.6

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on field goals (worst in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, marking this as a hard matchup. The Hawks will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-122

The most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Clint Capela figures to see a spike in efficiency for all stats considering having the home court advantage in this game.

Clint Capela

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

The most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Clint Capela figures to see a spike in efficiency for all stats considering having the home court advantage in this game.

Dyson Daniels Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Daniels
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Under
-105

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Hawks will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Out of all players in the NBA, Dyson Daniels comes in at the 24th percentile for foul-shot efficiency with an unimpressive 67.3% rate this year. Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Dyson Daniels

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Hawks will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Out of all players in the NBA, Dyson Daniels comes in at the 24th percentile for foul-shot efficiency with an unimpressive 67.3% rate this year. Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

De'Andre Hunter Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Hunter
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

De'Andre Hunter has successfully made 8.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's sunk over the course of the season with the home court advantage. De'Andre Hunter has successfully made 3.4 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year while at home. The most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. De'Andre Hunter stands to see an increase in effectiveness across the board due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

De'Andre Hunter

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

De'Andre Hunter has successfully made 8.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's sunk over the course of the season with the home court advantage. De'Andre Hunter has successfully made 3.4 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year while at home. The most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. De'Andre Hunter stands to see an increase in effectiveness across the board due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. Randle
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 32.8 minutes per game this year. In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 54.1% on field goals (3rd-best in the league) against the Hawks, resulting in a positive matchup. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves. Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle ranks in the 95th percentile for getting to the foul line, compiling a massive 5.9 free throw attempts per game this year.

Julius Randle

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.3
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 32.8 minutes per game this year. In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 54.1% on field goals (3rd-best in the league) against the Hawks, resulting in a positive matchup. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves. Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle ranks in the 95th percentile for getting to the foul line, compiling a massive 5.9 free throw attempts per game this year.

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jalen Johnson has successfully made 7.1 baskets per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jalen Johnson has averaged 35.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Jalen Johnson has attempted 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Jalen Johnson

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Jalen Johnson has successfully made 7.1 baskets per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jalen Johnson has averaged 35.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Jalen Johnson has attempted 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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